Notts County vs Chesterfield Prediction & Betting Tips - League Two
England - League Two
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by Ian John | in Football Predictions
Notts County hold a 1-0 lead over Chesterfield from the first leg of the League Two playoff semi-final. The Magpies sole goal from Jayden Luker was enough for them to earn a narrow away win against the Spireites. Paul Cook will know his Chesterfield team are still in this, given their good form leading up to that playoff loss, and having beaten the Magpies twice in the league this season. This will be close and as such our prediction for the match suggests the draw is the result to back.
Both teams had very similar league records. Notts County finished fifth on 80 points from their 46 games (+22 goal difference) while Chesterfield were just a point worse off on 79 points but with a +15 goal difference in sixth.
Coming into this game, Notts County's form has been up and down heading into the playoffs. They were beaten 4-0 away at Cambridge United, and then lost 2-1 at home to in-form Barnet. A 1-0 win at Colchester followed before they rounded off the season with a 1-1 draw at home to Bristol Rovers.
Chesterfield were unbeaten in eight heading into the first leg of this tie. That run included a 2-1 win over Grimsby Town at home, followed by a 1-1 draw at Fleetwood. They finished their campaign with a 2-0 home win over Crewe and clinched a playoff spot thanks to a 2-1 away win over Swindon Town.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Notts County v Chesterfield Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.28 | 3.2 | 3.05 |
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|
2.32 | 3.15 | 3.14 |
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|
2.32 | 3.15 | 3.14 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
|
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2.28 | 3.1 | 3.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Notts County and Chesterfield?
Our prediction for the Notts County vs Chesterfield match is: A Draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/05/2026 between Notts County and Chesterfield in League Two :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.04% for a win of Notts County against Chesterfield with odds of 2.35 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Notts County vs Chesterfield is 17.75% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Chesterfield vs Notts County with odds of 3.15 at Shangrila.
Notts County - Chesterfield Prediction and Best Odds:
| Notts County Chesterfield Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield wins | 52.21% | 3.15 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 51.21% | 1.91 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chesterfield | 35.78% | 7 at LSbet |
Notts County vs Chesterfield Form
Notts County and Chesterfield Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - League Two
2 May 2026 - League Two
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
11 Apr 2026 - League Two
6 Apr 2026 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - League Two
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
6 Apr 2026 - League Two
21 Mar 2026 - League Two
14 Mar 2026 - League Two
28 Feb 2026 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - League Two
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
11 Apr 2026 - League Two
3 Apr 2026 - League Two
28 Mar 2026 - League Two
24 Mar 2026 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - League Two
2 May 2026 - League Two
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
14 Apr 2026 - League Two
11 Apr 2026 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - League Two
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
14 Apr 2026 - League Two
11 Apr 2026 - League Two
3 Apr 2026 - League Two
17 Mar 2026 - League Two
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - League Two
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
6 Apr 2026 - League Two
21 Mar 2026 - League Two
14 Mar 2026 - League Two
28 Feb 2026 - League Two
Notts County vs Chesterfield Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2026 - League Two
14 Mar 2026 - League Two
26 Dec 2025 - League Two
15 Mar 2025 - League Two
12 Oct 2024 - League Two
13 May 2023 - National League
Players list
J. Belshaw
DefenderL. Ness
J. Bedeau
R. McDonald
N. Tsaroulla
MidfielderJ. Luker
S. Robertson
O. Norburn
T. Iorpenda
ForwardA. Jatta
J. Jones
R. Boot
DefenderL. Gordon
S. Swinkels
K. McFadzean
J. Donacien
MidfielderS. Braybrooke
T. Naylor
R. Stirk
ForwardD. Markanday
J. Berry
L. Bonis
Substitutes
H. Griffiths
DefenderM. Dennis
MidfielderC. Grant
M. Palmer
ForwardQ. Kouhyar
K. Bennetts
L. Ndlovu
Z. Hemming
DefenderT. Pearce
S. Curtis
MidfielderJ. Fleck
D. Duffy
ForwardW. Grigg
L. Mandeville
Most goals and assists
Notts County
Chesterfield
M. Dennis
(14 Goals)
, 
A. Jatta
(14 Goals)
L. Bonis
(12 Goals)
Notts County - Chesterfield Key Points
- Notts County are unbeaten in their last three games (W2, D1).
- Prior to the first leg defeat, Chesterfield had been unbeaten in eight (W6, D2).
- Chesterfield have drawn 16 of their 46 league games this season (W21, L9).
- Notts County have won just one of their last six games against Chesterfield (D1, L4).
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Our Notts County vs Chesterfield Prediction
Our prediction for the Notts County vs. Chestefield match is: A Draw.
Notts County hold a narrow lead from the first leg of this tie and with home advantage, they will know a draw is enough for them to reach Wembley. Chesterfield have drawn a lot of games in the league this season, and their current form, that first leg tie aside is good. Paul Cook's team will go for it, but I expect County to do just enough to claim a draw from this game to reach Wembley.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Notts County Chesterfield
| Notts County vs Chesterfield | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County wins | 2.37 | 2.35 | -0.8% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.4 | +6.3% |
| Chesterfield wins | 2.8 | 3.15 | +12.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chesterfield is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 31.7% (-4.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
