Nigeria vs South Africa Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions
The Africa Cup of Nations has reached the last four, and the first semi-final of the competition will see Nigeria taking on South Africa on Wednesday evening. The winner of this match will move on to face either the Ivory Coast or DR Congo in the grand final on Sunday, February 11, at the Olympic Stadium of Ebimpe.
The Super Eagles have won this competition three times and are current tournament favourites according to the latest AFCON odds. Bafana Bafana secured the title only once in their past, back in 1996, and are the ranked outsiders. Don’t forget to check out our AFCON betting tips for the second semi-final between Ivory Coast and DR Congo when you’re done with this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nigeria v South Africa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.4 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.3 | 6 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.35 | 6 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.43 | 6.05 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.43 | 6.05 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.4 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.2 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.42 | 6.35 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.5 | 5.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nigeria and South Africa?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2024 between Nigeria and South Africa in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.22% for a win of Nigeria against South Africa with odds of 1.68 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nigeria vs South Africa is 33.81% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.96% chance ⭐ for a win of South Africa vs Nigeria with odds of 6.35 at Melbet.
Nigeria - South Africa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nigeria South Africa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 50.22% | 1.68 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 80.96% | 1.48 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 31.25% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nigeria | 21.3% | 4 at Bet365 |
Nigeria vs South Africa Form
Nigeria and South Africa Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2024 - AFCON
27 Jan 2024 - AFCON
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jan 2024 - AFCON
14 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2024 - AFCON
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
10 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
Nigeria against South Africa : Head to Head (H2H)
10 Jul 2019 - AFCON
Nigeria - South Africa: Form Analysis
Arch rivals Nigeria and South Africa have reached the penultimate round of this competition by leveraging their excellent defences. Ranked 42nd in the current FIFA Rankings, Nigeria are the highest-ranked side left in the competition following the exit of Morocco (13th) and outgoing champions Senegal (20th). The Super Eagles came through through the group stages unbeaten, starting with a 1-1 win against Equatorial Guinea. Since then, they have won each of their next four matches without conceding a single goal. That run included back-to-back 1-0 wins over the Ivory Coast and Guinea-Bissau before a 2-0 victory against Cameroon in the Round of 16. Last week, Nigeria booked their spot in this match by beating an impressive Angola side 1-0 courtesy of an Ademola Lookman goal just before halftime. Since clinching their last AFCON title just over a decade ago, Nigeria have only reached the final four once, and in their last six AFCON semifinals, they have suffered five defeats.
South Africa have been waiting for an AFCON title since 1996, and their current journey to the last four marks their first appearance in this stage since 2000. Like their opponents, Bafana Bafana have relied heavily on their defence to get them through. The only goals they’ve conceded came in their opening match, which they lost 2-0 to Mali. Since then, South Africa locked up shop, beating Namibia 4-0 and drawing 0-0 against Tunisia in their final group-stage match. Heading to the Round of 16, Bafana Bafana were drawn against tournament favourites Morocco and pulled off an excellent 2-0 win to progress to the quarter-final. Against Cape Verde last week, South Africa were carried to victory by their captain and Mamelodi Sundowns keeper Ronwen Williams, who saved an incredible four of five penalties in a nail-biting shootout. Bafana Bafana are the lowest-ranked side left in the competition and have failed to beat Nigeria in their last two meetings. Still, they certainly cannot be ruled out of this one.
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Nigeria against South Africa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
U. Sadiq
L. Mothiba
Nigeria & South Africa Squad Analysis
Ademola Lookman has emerged as one of the standout players for Nigeria in this competition, scoring three goals in his last two matches, and the Atalanta BC forward will be looking to add to that tally in this one. Victor Osimhen was substituted late in the match against Angola due to an apparent injury but was pictured in training and has not been ruled out of contention for this match.
South Africa’s entire backline is made up of players from Sundowns and is likely to remain unchanged after keeping four consecutive clean sheets. In attack, Hugo Broos is still searching for his best lineup and may consider shaking things up, which could open up a gap for the likes of Zakhele Lepasa and Jayden Adams to make it into the starting 11.
Nigeria - South Africa Key Points
- Nigeria have kept clean sheets in each of their last four matches in this competition
- Under 1.5 goals were scored in the first half of each of Nigeria’s last four matches
- South Africa have kept four consecutive clean sheets heading into this match
- Under 1.5 goals were scored in the first half in four of South Africa’s five matches in this competition
- In the last five matches between these sides, only one ended with two or more goals at halftime
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Our Nigeria vs South Africa Prediction
While Nigeria heads into this match as the favorites, they will be well aware that South Africa is a very difficult side to break down, especially after seeing them shutting out the likes of Morocco and Cape Verde in their last two matches. Both these sides are likely to prioritize keeping a clean sheet, and we feel that the first goal could easily end up being the winner here. Therefore, our Nigeria vs South Africa prediction: First Half - Under 1.5.
Nigeria vs South Africa - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5
Both these sides have kept four clean sheets in five matches in this competition.
Double Chance - Draw or South Africa
South Africa have only lost two of their last 13 matches in all competitions.
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Nigeria vs South Africa match : Frequently asked questions
The AFCON semi-final between Nigeria and South Africa will take place on Wednesday, February 7, at 17:00 GMT.
Nigeria and South Africa will face off at Stade de Bouake, Ivory Coast.
The top two teams in each group and the four best-ranked third-placed teams advanced to the last 16.
In the UK, the game will be televised live on Sky Sports. Subscribers can also catch the contest live online via the Sky Go app.
TV viewers in the United States will be able to watch the game on beIN SPORTS CONNECT, Fanatiz USA.
African viewers can tune in to DSTV, Supersport, or the Nigerian Television Authority for live broadcasts.
You can also keep up to date with the AFCON livescores here if you are not near a TV set.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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