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Niger vs Guinea Prediction & Betting Tips - African Nations Championship

Africa - African Nations Championship

Niger
04/08/2025 10:00
Guinea

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in African Nations Championship Predictions

Niger and Guinea will face off, to start their 2024 African Nations Championship (CHAN) campaigns. The two nations are pooled in a tough Group C alongside co-hosts Uganda, Algeria and South Africa. Below is our brief analysis and a perediction of the match.

Niger are making their fifth Chan appearance. In the last tournament held in Algeria, the Menas made the semi-finals and finished fourth. Now under Zaki Badou, the West Africans will target nothing less than the final.

They defeated Togo over two legs to secure qualification. Theo Jules’ goal in the first leg to secure a 1-1 draw on the road proved enough to win the tie on away goals. Niger, who are ranked 33rd on the continent and 121st in the world, drew 0-0 with CAR in their final build-up match.

Guinea won the most recent meeting with Niger 2-1. This was a friendly played four years ago. Guinea have lost just once since they first battled against Niger 13 years ago and will be eager to maintain their strong showing.

Michel Dussuyer’s men qualified for this tourney thanks to an emphatic 6-2 humbling of neighbours Guinea-Bissau. The Syli National won the first leg 4-1 as hosts before completing the mission with a 2-1 success in Bissau.

Guinea, ranked 16th in Africa, finished third in Cameroon five years ago.

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The Best Betting Odds for Niger v Guinea Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.2 2.9 1.85
Betfred
4.33 3 1.9
William Hill
4.2 2.9 1.91
Betway
4.2 3 1.88
Ladbrokes
4.2 3.2 1.95
Check all Niger vs Guinea odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Niger and Guinea?

Our prediction for the Niger vs Guinea match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/08/2025 between Niger and Guinea in African Nations Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.35% for a win of Niger against Guinea with odds of 4.59 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Niger vs Guinea is 20.19% with odds of 3.2 at Ladbrokes.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Guinea vs Niger with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.

Niger - Guinea Prediction and Best Odds:

Niger Guinea Prediction Probability Odds
Niger wins 45.35% 4.59 at LSbet
Under 2.5 59.4% 1.44 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 26.19% 2.38 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time : Niger/Niger 17.54% 8 at Bet365

Niger vs Guinea Form

Niger and Guinea's standings in the African Nations Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Guinea
Guinea
4 4 1 1 2 -3
5
Niger
Niger
2 4 0 2 2 -3

Niger and Guinea Last Matches

Niger
Niger Last matches
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Niger
4 :  3
Gabon

25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies

Niger
6 :  0
Bonaire

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Niger
1 :  2
Morocco

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Ghana
1 :  2
Niger

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Niger
4 :  0
Sudan

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Niger
0 :  1
Angola
D L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Niger
4 :  3
Gabon

25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies

Niger
6 :  0
Bonaire

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Niger
1 :  2
Morocco

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Niger
4 :  0
Sudan

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Niger
0 :  1
Angola

9 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Niger
1 :  1
Ghana
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Ghana
1 :  2
Niger

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Angola
2 :  0
Niger

4 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Sudan
1 :  0
Niger

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Congo Republic
0 :  3
Niger

18 Jun 2023 - AFCON

Tanzania
1 :  0
Niger

23 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Algeria
2 :  1
Niger
Guinea
Guinea Last matches
L W D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
1 :  0
Guinea

4 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Guinea

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Uganda
1 :  0
Guinea

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Guinea
0 :  0
Somalia

20 Dec 2024 - International Friendlies

Guinea
4 :  1
Guinea-Bissau

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Tanzania
1 :  0
Guinea
L L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Guinea
0 :  0
Somalia

20 Dec 2024 - International Friendlies

Guinea
4 :  1
Guinea-Bissau

16 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
1 :  0
Congo DR

12 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
4 :  1
Ethiopia

10 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
1 :  2
Tanzania

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea
0 :  1
Mozambique
L W L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
1 :  0
Guinea

4 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Guinea

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Uganda
1 :  0
Guinea

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Tanzania
1 :  0
Guinea

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  3
Guinea

6 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Congo DR
1 :  0
Guinea
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Niger - Guinea Key Points

  1. Guinea haven’t scored in their last two competitive games.
  2. Niger scored just one goal in Chan qualification.
  3. Two of Niger’s last three competitive fixtures have seen under 2.5 goals.
  4. Niger haven’t scored more than one goal a game in their last three competitive outings.
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Our Niger vs Guinea Prediction

Niger have in the past proved to be a not-so-potent scoring side. Recently, while qualifying for this tournament, they scored just one goal in two fixtures. 

This isn’t something that can be said of Guinea, who won their most recent matchup with Niger; however, in recent outings, they have struggled. Among Guinea's top qualities, they are a strong defensive side, meaning they will be an absolute menace for Niger to break down. Our prediction for Niger vs Guinea is for under 2.5.            

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Niger Guinea

Niger vs Guinea Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Niger wins 2.8 4.2 +50.0%
Draw 2.8 2.9 +3.6%
Guinea wins 2.5 1.85 -26.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Niger is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 50.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 23.8% (-11.9%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Niger vs. Guinea game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Niger and Guinea? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's African Nations Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Niger vs Guinea Prediction

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