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New Zealand vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matchs

International - Test Matchs

New Zealand
12/07/2025 02:05
France

Prediction :

 

France +17.5 handicap point

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

New Zealand will aim to continue on winning ways and reclaim the Dave Gallaher trophy when they take on France in a highly anticipated second-Test cracker on Saturday. The All Blacks scraped to a narrow victory over the Blues in the first Test. Can they secure a second straight victory against the reigning Six Nations champions? Here is our prediction for the match. 

New Zealand will be brimming with confidence heading into this match. Scott Robertson’s side ended their three-match losing streak against France in the first Test, defeating the European champions 31-27 in Dunedin. A dominant first-half performance was enough to secure victory for the hosts despite losing the second half by four points. 

Notably, the win in Dunedin saw the team rack up a seventh test win in their last eight matches. They have also won six of their last seven home matches.

France's three-match winning streak came to an end following the first Test defeat in Dunedin. The Blues, ranked two places below their Pacific hosts, will aim to avenge that loss on Saturday.

They boast a dominant record against New Zealand, winning three of their last four matches and have kept their losses on the road within respectable margins. Hence, our tip for the spread.

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The Best Betting Odds for New Zealand v France Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.07 41 8
Betway
1.1 21 8
Ladbrokes
1.11 41 7
Unibet
1.1 41 8
Vbet
1.06 36 7.1
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New Zealand vs France Form

New Zealand and France Last Matches

New Zealand
New Zealand Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
31 :  27
France

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Italy
11 :  29
New Zealand

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
30 :  29
New Zealand

8 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Ireland
13 :  23
New Zealand

2 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

England
22 :  24
New Zealand

26 Oct 2024 - Test Matchs

Japan
19 :  64
New Zealand
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
31 :  27
France

28 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  13
Australia

17 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
42 :  10
Argentina

10 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
30 :  38
Argentina

19 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
47 :  5
Fiji

13 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
24 :  17
England
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Italy
11 :  29
New Zealand

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
30 :  29
New Zealand

8 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Ireland
13 :  23
New Zealand

2 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

England
22 :  24
New Zealand

26 Oct 2024 - Test Matchs

Japan
19 :  64
New Zealand

21 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
28 :  31
New Zealand
France
France Last matches
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
31 :  27
France

15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

France
35 :  16
Scotland

8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Ireland
27 :  42
France

23 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
24 :  73
France

8 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

England
26 :  25
France

31 Jan 2025 - Six Nations

France
43 :  0
Wales
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

France
35 :  16
Scotland

31 Jan 2025 - Six Nations

France
43 :  0
Wales

22 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
37 :  23
Argentina

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
30 :  29
New Zealand

9 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
52 :  12
Japan

16 Mar 2024 - Six Nations

France
33 :  31
England
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
31 :  27
France

8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Ireland
27 :  42
France

23 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
24 :  73
France

8 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

England
26 :  25
France

13 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Argentina
33 :  25
France

10 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Uruguay
28 :  43
France

New Zealand vs France Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

New Zealand

25 %

Draw

0 %

France

75 %

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
31 :  27
France

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
30 :  29
New Zealand

8 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
27 :  13
New Zealand

20 Nov 2021 - Test Matchs

France
40 :  25
New Zealand

New Zealand - France Key Points

  1. New Zealand have won seven of their last eight matches, including the first Test against France.
  2. New Zealand have lost three of their last four matches against France.
  3. France have won seven of their last nine Test matches.
  4. France have not lost an away test match by more than 13 points since 2021, and seven of their eight defeats in this stretch have been by single-digit margins.
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Our New Zealand vs France Prediction

New Zealand, ranked two places above their French opponents and playing at home, are considered favourites to win this match. However, France are no pushovers heading into this tie. The reigning European champions demonstrated their fighting spirit in the first Test and are likely to put up another strong performance on Saturday.

Also, they have won three of their last four matches against New Zealand and have kept their defeats on the road within respectable margins since 2021. Given these indicators, our New Zealand vs France prediction is France +17.5 handicap points.

Prediction :

 

France +17.5 handicap point

 
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Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between New Zealand and France? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New Zealand vs France Prediction
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