New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

New Zealand vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matchs

International - Test Matchs

New Zealand
05/07/2025 03:05
France

Prediction :

 

New Zealand to win on a -16.5 points handicap

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions

New Zealand and France are going to get to know each other rather well in the next couple of weeks. The two nations are facing each other in three Test matches on New Zealand soil. Here's our prediction for the first of the three matches.

It's an important time for New Zealand as they prepare for the next Rugby Championship. That sees them facing Argentina and Australia with the first of six matches taking place on August 16. These three matches against France will hopefully be excellent preparation for the All-Blacks.

Les Bleus are probably still celebrating winning the 2025 Six Nations. They haven't played an international fixture since beating Scotland in March to clinch that title. These three matches against New Zealand will be a big test for them as they prepare to defend their Six Nations title next year. As you will read in the form section of this preview, France will want to continue their impressive run of results against New Zealand.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

The Best Betting Odds for New Zealand v France Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.03 51 11
Betway
1.02 21 13
Ladbrokes
1.03 51 11
Unibet
1.04 46 12.5
Vbet
1.03 34 9.5
Check all New Zealand vs France odds
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

New Zealand vs France Form

New Zealand and France Last Matches

New Zealand
New Zealand Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Italy
11 :  29
New Zealand

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
30 :  29
New Zealand

8 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Ireland
13 :  23
New Zealand

2 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

England
22 :  24
New Zealand

26 Oct 2024 - Test Matchs

Japan
19 :  64
New Zealand

28 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  13
Australia
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

28 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  13
Australia

17 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
42 :  10
Argentina

10 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
30 :  38
Argentina

19 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
47 :  5
Fiji

13 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
24 :  17
England

6 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

New Zealand
16 :  15
England
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Italy
11 :  29
New Zealand

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
30 :  29
New Zealand

8 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Ireland
13 :  23
New Zealand

2 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

England
22 :  24
New Zealand

26 Oct 2024 - Test Matchs

Japan
19 :  64
New Zealand

21 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
28 :  31
New Zealand
France
France Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

France
35 :  16
Scotland

8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Ireland
27 :  42
France

23 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
24 :  73
France

8 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

England
26 :  25
France

31 Jan 2025 - Six Nations

France
43 :  0
Wales

22 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
37 :  23
Argentina
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

France
35 :  16
Scotland

31 Jan 2025 - Six Nations

France
43 :  0
Wales

22 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
37 :  23
Argentina

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
30 :  29
New Zealand

9 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
52 :  12
Japan

16 Mar 2024 - Six Nations

France
33 :  31
England
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Ireland
27 :  42
France

23 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
24 :  73
France

8 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

England
26 :  25
France

13 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Argentina
33 :  25
France

10 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Uruguay
28 :  43
France

6 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Argentina
13 :  28
France

New Zealand vs France Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

New Zealand

0 %

Draw

0 %

France

100 %

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
30 :  29
New Zealand

8 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
27 :  13
New Zealand

20 Nov 2021 - Test Matchs

France
40 :  25
New Zealand

New Zealand - France: Form Analysis

New Zealand are playing their first Test Match of 2025. Their last international was a win over Italy during their European tour in the final months of 2024. The All-Blacks have won six of their last seven matches.

That run began with two wins over Australia in their final two fixtures in the 2024 Rugby Championship. They finished second behind South Africa in that tournament. They then went on their travels for the rest of the year.

Wins came against Japan, England and the highlight was inflicting a rare home loss on Ireland. Their only recent loss was in France, and it was a disappointing one for them. They led by seven points at the break but ended up losing by a single point.

New Zealand have a highly impressive home record against France.

That win meant France have won their last three matches against New Zealand. However, all of those games were played in France. It's a different story when Les Bleus travel to the southern hemisphere with no win since 2009.

127 points have been scored by New Zealand in their last three home wins over France. The French side are playing their first match since winning this year's Six Nations Championship. They won four of their five matches but did lose away to England. 

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

New Zealand & France Squad Analysis

France may have won the Six Nations this year, but a very different line-up will be facing New Zealand this weekend. They have named five debutants in their starting line-up with three more uncapped players beginning the match on the bench.

Several players are absent as they only ended their Top 14 season last weekend but are expected to be back for the remaining matches.

On the right win, Tom Spring will be making his international debut. He's joined by Joris Segonds at flyhalf with Alexandre Fischer, Giorgi Beria and Tyler Duguid also making their first international appearances.

Can a depleted French side cope against the All-Blacks?

There is still plenty of experience in the team with Gael Fickou still captaining the side and playing his 94th match for Les Bleus. Even so, fielding a depleted side in an away match against New Zealand is not exactly a recipe for success.

The All-Blacks have also made changes for this match. Four players are set to make their debuts including Ollie Norris and Fabian Holland. While that is the case, they will still have a very experienced front row in place for this match.

That should be crucial for the All-Blacks as the French side have a couple of debutants in that area.

New Zealand - France Key Points

  1. New Zealand have not lost at home to France since 2009.
  2. France will be fielding a depleted side for this match.
  3. New Zealand look to have a far more dominant front row than their opponents.
  4. New Zealand have scored 127 points in their last three home games against France.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our New Zealand vs France Prediction

Getting good performances is far more important for New Zealand at this point in time. They are preparing for the upcoming Rugby Championship tournament and will want to win that after only finishing second last year.

They have an excellent home record against France and only lost by a point to them in their most recent away game against them. Both countries have made changes but it's the visitors who have the largest selection problems. Our New Zealand v France prediction is New Zealand to win on a -16.5 points handicap.

Prediction :

 

New Zealand to win on a -16.5 points handicap

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

New Zealand vs France - Other Interesting Predictions

Second half to see the most points scored

Odds 1.79
Two of the last three New Zealand matches have seen more points scored in the second half. That includes the last game played between these two sides with 32 points in the second half compared to 27 in the first.
Welcome offer

Use the New Zealand vs. France game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!

acca gold vbet

Are you looking to use the match between New Zealand and France in an upcoming accumulator bet? If so, you'll want to join Vbet to place that acca. There is an odds bonus of up to 100% when you place accumulators which contain at least three selections that are all odds of 1.3 or bigger. Look at the other games in the Test Matchs and start to build those accas!

Place your Test Matchs accas with Vbet!

New Zealand vs France match : Frequently asked questions

This First Test between New Zealand and France is being played on Saturday July 5. It is due to start at 8.05am UK time.
This match is being played at the Forsyth Barr Stadium in Dunedin, New Zealand. The last time the All-Blacks hosted France on this ground was in 2018 when New Zealand won 49-14.
This match is being shown live on Sky Sports and a subscription will be required. You can follow all that's happening in this game by going to our rugby international test matches livescore with updated statistics and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New Zealand vs France Prediction
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Please Gamble Responsibly

logo footer