World - Women's Rugby World Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Women's Rugby World Cup Predictions
It promises to be a cracker as defending champions New Zealand face off against second-ranked Canada in this 2025 Women's Rugby World Cup semi-final on Friday. The winner of this match will battle either France or England in the final. Can the Black Ferns overcome the Maple Leafs in this highly anticipated clash? Let's get into details!
New Zealand have been the most successful team in Women's Rugby World Cup history. They have won six of the last seven editions of the tournament, including the last two. Alan Bunting's side have shown no signs of slowing down and are among the strong favorites to retain the elite women's rugby title.
Canada have been regular contenders for the Women's Rugby World Cup title, but their journey has been anything but ideal. They have finished among the top four on five occasions and came closer to clinching the ultimate prize in 2014 before losing to England. Can they make their second appearance in the final with a win against New Zealand? Let's dive into detailed stats and analysis.
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The Best Betting Odds for New Zealand v Canada Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.75 | 23 | 2.1 |
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1.8 | 21 | 2.1 |
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1.8 | 21 | 2.1 |
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1.7 | 21 | 2.23 |
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1.76 | 19 | 2.05 |
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New Zealand vs Canada Form
New Zealand and Canada Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
13 Sep 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
7 Sep 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
31 Aug 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
23 May 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women
16 May 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
13 Sep 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
7 Sep 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
31 Aug 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
23 May 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women
16 May 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women
1/1 (100%)
0/1 (0%)
0/1 (0%)
10 May 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
13 Sep 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
6 Sep 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
30 Aug 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
23 May 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women
16 May 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
13 Sep 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
6 Sep 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
30 Aug 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Women's Rugby World Cup
12 Oct 2024 - WXV, Women
5 Oct 2024 - WXV, Women
2/3 (67%)
1/3 (33%)
0/3 (0%)
23 May 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women
16 May 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women
3 May 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women
New Zealand vs Canada Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
16 May 2025 - Pacific Four Series, Women
New Zealand - Canada: Form Analysis
New Zealand finished among the pool winners in the 2025 Women's Rugby World Cup. They swept all their three Pool C fixtures with bonus-point victories to rack up the maximum 15 points.
The seven-time champions smashed South Africa by 29 points in the quarterfinal, winning 46-17. A brace of tries each from Kaipo Olsen-Baker, Braxton Sorensen-McGee, and Renee Holmes saw the World No. 3 run out with a dominant 36-7 second-half win after a pulsating 10-10 draw in the first half.time champions smashed South Africa by 29 points in the quarterfinal, winning 46-17. A brace of tries each from Kaipo Olsen-Baker, Braxton Sorensen-McGee, and Renee Holmes saw the World No. 3 run out with a dominant 36-7 second-half win after a pulsating 10-10 draw in the first half.
New Zealand boast an impressive 5-1-1 record in their seven fixtures against Canada
Canada also enjoyed a remarkable pool-stage campaign, winning Pool B by the maximum 15 points. The two-time Pacific Four Series champions won all of their three pool matches by 21 points or more. They also thrashed Australia 46-5 in the quarter-finals, winning both halves with impressive margins.
Kévin Rouet's side are unbeaten in their last eight matches (W7, D1) but have largely been unfortunate against New Zealand. They have lost five of their seven meetings against the Black Ferns and will face another tough challenge in rewriting that narrative on Friday.
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New Zealand & Canada Squad Analysis
New Zealand enters this match at full strength with zero injuries or suspensions. Holmes and Olsen-Baker, who combined for four tries in the quarter-final against South Africa, are expected back to the lineup.
The Black Ferns will also bank on the services of veteran wing Portia Woodman-Wycliffe, who holds the record for the highest try tally in Women's Rugby World Cup (22). Canada will also have to checkmate Braxton Sorensen-McGee, who returns to the right wing and has the most tries (8) for Allan Bunting's side in this tournament.
Braxton Sorensen-McGee has scored two or more tries in her last three 2025 World Cup matches for New Zealand
Canada had six players – McKinley Hunt, Karen Paquin, Alysha Corrigan, Asia Hogan-Rochester, Sophie de Goede, and Fabiola Forteza – on their try scorers' list against Australia in the quarter-final. All of them are available for this cracker.
Sophie de Goede was particularly instrumental in the victory over Australia, racking up 14 points from one try and four conversions. The 26-year-old could be a problem for New Zealand with her ball-carrying skills and powerful runs.
Fullback Julia Schell remains the highest try scorer in the tournament so far for the Maple Leafs after tallying six in Pool B opener against Fiji. She is one of the key players to watch out for in Canada's backline.
New Zealand - Canada Key Points
- New Zealand have won the last two Women's Rugby World Cup tournaments, including six of the last seven editions.
- New Zealand are unbeaten in their last eight matches, winning seven.
- New Zealand have won all their four 2025 Women's Rugby World Cup matches.
- Canada have lost five of their seven encounters with New Zealand.
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Our New Zealand vs Canada Prediction
We expect a thriller as these two teams, sitting second and third in the world rankings, face off for a place in the final of the 2025 Women's Rugby World Cup. They have won their four matches in the competition by impressive margins and their last meeting ended with a pulsating 27-27 draw.
However, with a rich history in the competition and better head-to-head record against the Canadians, New Zealand are our favorites to secure victory. Our New Zealand vs Canada prediction is New Zealand wins the match.
New Zealand vs Canada - Other Interesting Predictions
Sorensen-McGee to score a try anytime
Braxton Sorensen-McGee is New Zealand's most in-form player. The Blues Women fullback leads the try scorers' list for the Black Ferns after tallying two or more in each of her last three matches. She recorded a hat-trick of tries against Japan and Spain and scored a brace in the quarter-final victory against South Africa. We predict her to score a try anytime in this match.
Use £/€50 free bets for the New Zealand vs. Canada game!
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Try your luck on this year's Women's Rugby World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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