New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

Prediction published on 20/12/2025, 16:26  by Geoffrey Ejiga | Modified on 21/12/2025 at 04:50 in NBA Predictions

Although the New York Knicks are favorites to beat the Miami Heat in their next NBA game, our analysis tells a different story. Miami scores a ton of points per game and has a notably strong defense, which should see them capitalizing on their already high defensive rebound. Find out why we bet the Heat to hit 112+ points in our match prediction.​

Offensively, the Heat have been a problem for every team this season. Miami is 4th for points per game (PPG) so far, averaging 120.5. It's true that the Knicks are solid defensively, but they still allow only 112.8 points per game. This matchup is particularly interesting because the Knicks must rely on offense if they hope to beat the Heat.

While Miami is 20th in points per game allowed this season (117.3), the Heat currently has the 4th-highest defensive rating (111.7). Miami has also climbed to third in field goal percentage allowed, allowing just 44.6%. The Heat also allows the third-lowest three-point percentage (33.4%).

You can already tell that Miami gets a lot of defensive rebounds, and they are, in fact, 5th in RPG (45.9). The Knicks’ high output should create a lot of defensive rebounds that Miami will convert to points upfront.