USA - Major League Soccer
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by Joseph King | in Major League Soccer Predictions
Sixth-place NYCFC play host to Eastern Conference leading Inter Miami for this MLS matchup at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. Let’s break down this clash and offer a prediction for this match between the Pigeons and the Herons.
It’s been a difficult back half of the 2024 MLS season for NYCFC after looking strong in the first 16 fixtures. The Boys in Blue are now in serious danger of dropping into the play-in tournament if they are unable to stop the bleeding in the final few matches. They hold a four point lead over eighth-place Toronto with three league games remaining in the regular season.
Following a humiliating 5-1 home defeat to Philadelphia, NYCFC have now managed to win just two of their last 13 MLS fixtures over the past three months.
Inter Miami are cruising towards their first ever Supporters’ Shield title. They hold an eight point lead over both second-place Cincinnati in the East and the Western Conference leading LA Galaxy.
The visitors were unable to hold onto their lead against Atlanta United in midweek after conceding both a 1-0 and a 2-1 lead to ultimately draw 2-2. Despite not taking the full three points, the draw ensured that Inter would extend their unbeaten run to six MLS matches.
The Herons saw superstar duo Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez utilized as second half substitutes in their last outing. They’re both expected to return to the starting 11 for Saturday’s trip to the Big Apple.
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The Best Betting Odds for New York City v Inter Miami Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 4 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.7 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.05 | 4 | 3 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.62 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.33 | 4 | 2.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between New York City and Inter Miami?
Our prediction for the New York City vs Inter Miami match is: Both teams to score + over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between New York City and Inter Miami in Major League Soccer :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.8% for a win of New York City against Inter Miami with odds of 2.65 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between New York City vs Inter Miami is 27.39% with odds of 4.3 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Miami vs New York City with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.
New York City - Inter Miami Prediction and Best Odds:
| New York City Inter Miami Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| New York City wins | 38.8% | 2.65 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.47% | 1.81 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 74.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : New York City/New York City | 16.27% | 4.33 at Betsson |
New York City vs Inter Miami Form
New York City and Inter Miami's standings in the Major League Soccer
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
74 | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 30 |
|
6
|
50 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
New York City and Inter Miami Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Major League Soccer
14 Sep 2024 - Major League Soccer
31 Aug 2024 - Major League Soccer
24 Aug 2024 - Major League Soccer
17 Aug 2024 - Leagues Cup
13 Aug 2024 - Leagues Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Major League Soccer
24 Aug 2024 - Major League Soccer
28 Jul 2024 - Leagues Cup
3 Jul 2024 - Major League Soccer
28 Jun 2024 - Major League Soccer
14 Jun 2024 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Major League Soccer
31 Aug 2024 - Major League Soccer
17 Aug 2024 - Leagues Cup
13 Aug 2024 - Leagues Cup
9 Aug 2024 - Leagues Cup
5 Aug 2024 - Leagues Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Major League Soccer
14 Sep 2024 - Major League Soccer
31 Aug 2024 - Major League Soccer
24 Aug 2024 - Major League Soccer
13 Aug 2024 - Leagues Cup
8 Aug 2024 - Leagues Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Major League Soccer
24 Aug 2024 - Major League Soccer
8 Aug 2024 - Leagues Cup
20 Jul 2024 - Major League Soccer
17 Jul 2024 - Major League Soccer
19 Jun 2024 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Major League Soccer
31 Aug 2024 - Major League Soccer
13 Aug 2024 - Leagues Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Leagues Cup
27 Jul 2024 - Leagues Cup
6 Jul 2024 - Major League Soccer
New York City vs Inter Miami Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2024 - Major League Soccer
30 Sep 2023 - Major League Soccer
11 Mar 2023 - Major League Soccer
17 Oct 2022 - Major League Soccer
23 Jul 2022 - Major League Soccer
20 Jul 2020 - Major League Soccer
Players list
M. Freese
DefenderM. Ilenic
T. Martins
S. Tanasijevic
MidfielderJ. Sands
A. Perea
J. Fernandez
M. Moralez
S. Rodriguez
ForwardC. McFarlane
M. Bakrar
D. Callender
DefenderI. Fray
S. Kryvtsov
J. Alba
B. Cremaschi
Y. Bright
MidfielderF. Redondo
L. Campana
ForwardT. Aviles
L. Messi
L. Suarez
Substitutes
L. Barraza
DefenderM. Ilenic
C. McFarlane
J. Haak
A. Perea
A. Ojeda
J. Mijatovic
J. Fernandez
M. Bakrar
O. Ustari
DefenderR. Sailor
M. Weigandt
F. Negri
S. Kryvtsov
L. Sunderland
B. Cremaschi
D. Ruiz
ForwardL. Campana
Missing players
M. Jones
Most goals and assists
New York City
Inter Miami
A. Martinez
(17 Goals)
L. Messi
(23 Goals)
, 
L. Suarez
(23 Goals)
T. Gray
(7 Assists)
L. Messi
(13 Assists)
New York City - Inter Miami Key Points
- NYCFC see an average of 3.50 total goals when playing at home in the MLS this season.
- Inter Miami rank top of the MLS in average total goals per match at 3.79.
- NYCFC have seen both teams score (BTTS) in their last eight straight.
- Eight of Inter Miami’s last 10 matches across all competitions have seen BTTS + over 2.5.
- The hosts have seen BTTS + over 2.5 goals in nine of their 14 home league fixtures.
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Our New York City vs Inter Miami Prediction
Inter Miami are the league's highest scoring team and should be able to put a few past an NYCFC team that just gave up five goals to Philadelphia. With Messi and Suarez likely to return to the lineup, we could have a high-scoring game on our hands.
NYCFC will no go from a heavy defeat to Philly to now trying to contain the leauge's most potent attack. While the hosts have been conceding plenty of goals, they've also been able to find the net themselves with some consistency. Our NYCFC vs Inter Miami prediction: both teams to score + over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis New York City Inter Miami
| New York City vs Inter Miami | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City wins | 2.6 | 2.05 | -21.2% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 4 | +11.1% |
| Inter Miami wins | 2.5 | 3.2 | +28.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- New York City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 21.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.5% and is now 48.8% (10.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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