Europe - Champions League
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by Nella Wagah | in Champions League Predictions
After missing a season in Europe, Italian champions Napoli returned to a not-so-welcome reception at Manchester City. Their story of the Champions League matchday one wasn’t so encouraging, but they have the chance to write a better one in round two of the league phase. Napoli will be at home, welcoming Portuguese champions Sporting Lisbon to the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Napoli endured a tough outing at Manchester City at the start of the competition and will be looking to make things tick back at home. As they take part in Europe, the Italians are also looking to mount a successful title defence.
Sporting Lisbon are also defending their league title back in Portugal, and they are well in the race. Their charge in the Champions League is also off to a good start, as the Portuguese giants beat minnows Kairat Almaty in Lisbon.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.6 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.75 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/10/2025 between Napoli and Sporting Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.19% for a win of Napoli against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 1.88 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon is 16.71% with odds of 3.83 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Napoli with odds of 4.51 at 22bet.
Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Napoli and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|
30
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Napoli and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2025 - Serie A
22 Sep 2025 - Serie A
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2025 - Serie A
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
Napoli - Sporting Lisbon: Form Analysis
It is safe to say the month of September hasn’t been great for Napoli. They are coming off their second defeat of the season, with both having been registered in this month.
The first of them was at Manchester City, as a poor start in the match condemned the Partenopei to an unwanted start. Their night started with skipper Giovanni Di Lorenzo getting sent off in 21 minutes.
From that 2-0 loss, they recovered in Serie A with a shaky 3-2 win over newly promoted Pisa. They couldn’t hold onto their undefeated start to the Serie A, though, as two early goals and a red card delivered a 2-1 loss to AC Milan last weekend.
Napoli are unbeaten at home, while Sporting’s two losses were on the road.
Sporting suffered a bit at the start of the season but seem to have their shape back ahead of this match. The Portuguese giants lost to Benfica in the season-opening Super Cup and FC Porto in the league earlier in the campaign.
Things have flowed well since, and Sporting arrive here on four straight wins. In their opening nine matches, they won seven, including a 4-1 thumping of Kairat Almaty on matchday one of the Champions League.
Rui Borges’ men have added an edge to their already impressive run with two straight clean sheets coming into this game; they saw off Estoril in their latest league outing.
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Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Contini
DefenderG. Di Lorenzo
A. Buongiorno
L. Spinazzola
A. Rrahmani
ForwardR. Lukaku
Napoli & Sporting Lisbon Squad Analysis
Napoli will have to plan for this game without skipper Giovanni Di Lorenzo, after the defender was sent off on matchday one. It will be a blow, particularly as the Italian has led the team well from the back this season.
He has already won 22 duels, translating to 71% success, and has a long ball accuracy of 75%. Their week will not be easier with Alessandro Buongiorno also missing the Milan loss with a thigh injury.
Romelu Lukaku is also out with a thigh injury. Kevin De Bruyne will get a proper chance in this game after lasting only 26 minutes against City on matchday one. He is coming here on a high after scoring his third Serie A goal and will look to leave a mark.
Napoli are set to miss up to four defenders for this match.
Sporting have listed defender Ousmane Diomande as questionable. The Ivorian has been out for over a month now, and even if he were to return, starting in a game of such magnitude would be unthinkable.
It is safe to say after missing seven games, he is out of this. There is certainty, though, that Daniel Braganca and Nuno Santos will be out of this match as the pair copes with knee injuries.
Both have been out all season so far, and no timelines have been issued for their return to action.
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Sporting Lisbon
K. De Bruyne
(3 Goals)
L. Suarez
(5 Goals)
, 
F. Trincao
(5 Goals)
,
P. Goncalves
(5 Goals)
S. McTominay
(1 Assists)
, 
S. Lobotka
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Anguissa
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Spinazzola
(1 Assists)
,
A. Buongiorno
(1 Assists)
,
M. Politano
(1 Assists)
G. Quenda
(4 Assists)
Napoli and Sporting Lisbon Stats in Champions League
Napoli - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Both teams scored in three of Napoli’s last four matches.
- Napoli have one clean sheet in their last five matches.
- Four of Sporting’s last six matches saw goals on both sides.
- Sporting scored in each of their last eight matches.
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Our Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
Napoli’s quest for a return to winning ways is hinged on their ability to also keep clean sheets. Of all their wins this season, 50% came with clean sheets. However, the hosts are without as many as four defensive players for this match, including the ever-reliable skipper Giovanni Di Lorenzo.
This will jeopardize much of their plans in defence. Luckily, they have the firepower in attack and can look to outscore their visitors. Sports are not to be taken lightly either. The Portuguese also have goals in them and are capable of troubling Napoli. Our prediction for Napoli v Sporting Lisbon is for both teams to score.
Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Napoli to win.
Napoli playing at home comes with an elevated win probability. They haven't lost a home match in their last 13 outings. In the two they’ve hosted this season, they won. This is another game they will go in as favorites, and we are backing them for a win, especially as Sporting’s two defeats this season were in away matches. Our second prediction for this match is that Napoli wins.
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Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
Yes, the Napoli v Sporting match will be aired live. For fans in Italy, Sky and Amazon Prime will beam the match. Sport TV and DAZN will air the game in Portugal, and Sportytrader will have the Champions League livescore for this match.
The Napoli v Sporting match will be played on Wednesday, 1 October.
The Napoli v Sporting match will be played at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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