Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Napoli will be back at the Diego Maradona Stadium to welcome Genoa for their next Serie A match. The champions lost last time out in the league and consequently dropped to second, while Genoa are second from bottom. Read on to find our match prediction.
Napoli recovered from their league loss with a 2-1 win over Sporting Lisbon in the Champions League. With that result, they have now posted straight wins in their last four home matches.
The champions are unbeaten in 14 home matches across all competitions, and in that process, they only failed to win three times.
Genoa are still in search of their first win in the league. They have done well in the Coppa Italia, but so far Patrick Vieira’s charges haven't been able to click in Serie A.
Their latest outing was another disappointment as they lost 3-0 at home to Lazio. Two of their three losses in the league so far were inflicted by teams in the top four, and this is sure to pile more pressure on Vieira’s shoulders.
Genoa have not only failed to win a league match so far, but they are also the lowest-scoring side, with just two goals to show.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Genoa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 3.9 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 3.9 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.2 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.46 | 3.8 | 8.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Genoa?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Genoa match is: Napoli to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Napoli and Genoa in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.09% for a win of Napoli against Genoa with odds of 1.48 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Genoa is 25.77% with odds of 4.2 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Napoli with odds of 8.9 at LSbet.
Napoli - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Genoa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 57.09% | 1.48 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.51% | 2.3 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 78.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Napoli/Napoli | 29.4% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
Napoli vs Genoa Form
Napoli and Genoa's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
22 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
|
18
|
7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 |
Napoli and Genoa Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
22 Sept 2025 - Serie A
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
25 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
25 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Serie A
11 May 2025 - Serie A
Napoli vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 May 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
17 Feb 2024 - Serie A
16 Sept 2023 - Serie A
15 May 2022 - Serie A
29 Aug 2021 - Serie A
Napoli against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Contini
DefenderA. Buongiorno
A. Rrahmani
MidfielderL. Hasa
C. Saco
ForwardR. Lukaku
E. Lysionok
MidfielderN. Stanciu
M. Cornet
ForwardJ. Messias
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Genoa
R. Hojlund
(4 Goals)
, 
F. Anguissa
(4 Goals)
, 
S. Mctominay
(4 Goals)
, 
K. De Bruyne
(4 Goals)
L. Ostigard
(2 Goals)
L. Spinazzola
(3 Assists)
, 
D. Neres
(3 Assists)
A. Martin
(2 Assists)
Napoli - Genoa Key Points
- Napoli are unbeaten in their last 14 matches at home.
- Genoa have one win in their last 12 away league matches.
- Genoa have scored only twice in the league this season.
- Napoli kept clean sheets in three of their last five meetings with Genoa.
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Our Napoli vs Genoa Prediction
Genoa’s troubles look bound to stretch after their loss to Lazio saw them drop into the relegation zone. They face another top side in Napoli, and the odds are heavily stacked against them in this one.
It doesn’t take more than a look at Napoli’s home for one to see where this is headed. The champions haven't tasted defeat in 14 home matches. Meanwhile, Genoa have posted only a win in their last 12 away games. Our prediction for Napoli v Genoa is for Napoli to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Genoa
| Napoli vs Genoa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 1.44 | 1.48 | +2.8% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 3.9 | -7.1% |
| Genoa wins | 7.5 | 8.5 | +13.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 67.6% (-1.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Napoli vs. Genoa game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Napoli and Genoa? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
