Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Tennis Predictions
World No. 13 Naomi Osaka and second-ranked Elena Rybakina meet for the second time in 2026 as they collide in the fourth round of the US Open today at Louis Armstrong Stadium. Elena Rybakina has won 82% of her matches on hard courts in 2026 and stands a chance against Naomi Osaka, who has lost seven of her eight matches against higher-ranked players this year.
A decisive 7–5 final-set win saw Naomi Osaka prevail against a hard-fighting Elise Mertens in the third round. The former World No. 1 blasted nine aces to oust the Belgian 6–3, 3–6, 7–5 in a three-set thriller.
However, the Japanese enters this clash having suffered defeats in both of her recent matchups against higher-ranked players, the most recent of which came against Elena Rybakina in the Toronto quarterfinals. She has lost seven of her eight matches against higher-ranked opponents in 2026.
Elena Rybakina blasted 12 aces to defeat Yuliia Starodubtseva 7–6(8–6), 6–3 in the third round on Sunday, making it three consecutive straight-set wins at the event.
That result marked her sixth win in seven matches against players ranked below her. She has posted an impressive 33–7 record on hard courts in 2026 and will look to further improve that record.
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Naomi Osaka v Elena Rybakina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.1 | 1.68 |
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2.17 | 1.72 |
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2.14 | 1.7 |
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2.14 | 1.7 |
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2.14 | 1.7 |
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Who will win the Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina match is: Elena Rybakina wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina game on 07/09/2026 of the current WTA US Open season:
- Naomi Osaka has a 35.27% chance to win against Elena Rybakina according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.2.
- Elena Rybakina has a 64.73% probability of winning facing Naomi Osaka ⭐ with odds of 1.78 at Shangrila.
Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Naomi Osaka has a 35.27 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | 35.27 % |
| Elena Rybakina | 64.73 % |
Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina Form
Naomi Osaka and Elena Rybakina Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
5 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
3 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
31 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open
11 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
9 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
7 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
5 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
3 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
1 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
19 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
17 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
16 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
11 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Naomi Osaka - Elena Rybakina Key Points
- Elena Rybakina is 33–7 on hard courts in 2026.
- Elena Rybakina has won six of her last seven matches against lower-ranked players.
- Naomi Osaka has lost her last two matches against higher-ranked opponents.
- Naomi Osaka has lost seven of her eight matches against higher-ranked players in 2026.
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Our Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
This is a double-edged tie for Naomi Osaka, who will be looking to avenge her Toronto quarter-final defeat to Elena Rybakina and also progress to the next round. However, that prospect looks unlikely with the Japanese having come up short against higher-ranked opponents several times this year.
Meanwhile, Elena Rybakina arrives for this clash in fine form on hard courts and has been formidable against players ranked below her. She had the better of Osaka in their previous meeting and will be confident of securing another victory. Our Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina prediction: Elena Rybakina wins.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Naomi Osaka vs. Elena Rybakina game!
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It does not matter whether you bet on Naomi Osaka or Elena Rybakina, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
