Japan - J.League
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
We’re into the home stretch of the 2025 J1 League season with only nine matches remaining on the fixture list. Kicking off matchday 30 is 15th-place Nagoya Grampus hosting 18th-placed Shonan Bellmare. Let’s get into the prediction.
After losing four straight in the J-League, Grampus have now taken four points from their last two outings. A 1-0 win over Okayama in their last outing snapped a four-match winless run across all competitions and marked only their third away victory of this league campaign.
They’ll now return to the Toyota Stadium where they’ve been a much more consistent side. At home, the Red Whales have a respectable 5-5-4 record. However, they’ve failed to manage a victory in their last five appearances at home in the J1 League, something they’ll be desperate to put a stop to here.
Shonan will attempt to move out of the relegation zone on Saturday as they are currently trailing safety by just a single point.
They were bounced out of the J.League Cup quarter-finals after a 6-4 aggregate defeat to Hiroshima. That was then followed up with a 3-0 away loss to Kashima last weekend.
It was the latest defeat in what has been an awful run for Bellmare over the last four months. In the J1 League, Shonan have now gone 13 straight matches without a victory, losing eight times during that stretch.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nagoya Grampus v Shonan Bellmare Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.71 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.7 | 4.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare?
Our prediction for the Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare match is: Nagoya Grampus wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2025 between Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare in J.League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.28% for a win of Nagoya Grampus against Shonan Bellmare with odds of 1.83 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare is 20% with odds of 3.86 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus with odds of 4.6 at Unibet.
Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nagoya Grampus Shonan Bellmare Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nagoya Grampus wins | 54.28% | 1.83 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.83% | 1.98 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nagoya Grampus | 26.25% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare Form
Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare's standings in the J.League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
40 | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | -10 |
|
19
|
26 | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -30 |
Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - J.League
31 Aug 2025 - J.League
27 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
23 Aug 2025 - J.League
16 Aug 2025 - J.League
13 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - J.League
27 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
23 Aug 2025 - J.League
10 Aug 2025 - J.League
16 Jul 2025 - Emperor's Cup
5 Jul 2025 - J.League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - J.League
16 Aug 2025 - J.League
13 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
20 Jul 2025 - J.League
28 Jun 2025 - J.League
15 Jun 2025 - J.League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - J.League
7 Sept 2025 - J. League Cup
3 Sept 2025 - J. League Cup
31 Aug 2025 - J.League
23 Aug 2025 - J.League
16 Aug 2025 - J.League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Sept 2025 - J. League Cup
31 Aug 2025 - J.League
16 Aug 2025 - J.League
19 Jul 2025 - J.League
16 Jul 2025 - Emperor's Cup
28 Jun 2025 - J.League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - J.League
7 Sept 2025 - J. League Cup
23 Aug 2025 - J.League
10 Aug 2025 - J.League
23 Jul 2025 - J.League
5 Jul 2025 - J.League
Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2025 - J.League
24 Aug 2024 - J.League
16 Jun 2024 - J.League
Nagoya Grampus against Shonan Bellmare Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists
Nagoya Grampus
Shonan Bellmare
S. Inagaki
(9 Goals)
A. Suzuki
(7 Goals)
Y. Yamagishi
(5 Assists)
,
T. Morishima
(5 Assists)
,
S. Inagaki
(5 Assists)
K. Onose
(5 Assists)
Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare Key Points
- Shonan have lost their last six straight away J-League matches.
- During that stretch, the visitors have conceded 16 while scoring just two.
- Nagoya Grampus are unbeaten in their last five home matches against Shonan, winning three.
- Grampus are coming off a draw and a win while Shonan have lost four of their last five.
- Shonan have lost 10 of their 15 away league matches.
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Our Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction
Nagoya Grampus have had a difficult run over the last few months but a win and a draw from their last two matches offers some encouragement. On their home patch, Grampus have been a solid team and will be expected to get the full three points here.
Shonan need to stop the bleeding and are in serious risk of relegation if they are unable to quickly turn things around. Unfortunately for them, their away form has been horrid, which will make it tough for them to avoid defeat. Our Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare prediction: Nagoya Grampus wins the match.Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nagoya Grampus Shonan Bellmare
| Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nagoya Grampus wins | 1.66 | 1.71 | +3.0% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.8 | -2.6% |
| Shonan Bellmare wins | 4.5 | 4.2 | -6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nagoya Grampus is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.2% and is now 58.5% (-1.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
