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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Corentin Moutet is having another deep run. Last week's Amalty runner-up faces fourth seed Lorenzo Musetti in the Erste Open quarter-final. Can Moutet cause another seeding upset in this indoor hard court tournament in Vienna? Read our match prediction.
Lorenzo Musetti will be hoping to reach his second ATP Tour hard court semi-final of the year. The other was in Chengdu last month when the world number eight won the title, his second of the year.
This week has seen him defeat Hamad Medjedovic and Tomas Martin Etcheverry. He's yet to drop a set and lost seven games in both of those matches. He won his only previous match against Moutet earlier this year. He only lost five games but it was played on clay.
The winner of this match will face either second seed Alexander Zverev or unseeded Tallon Griekspoor in the last four.
Unseeded Corentin Moutet caused a big shock on Thursday. The Frenchman defeated sixth seed Daniil Medvedev in straight sets. That gave him revenge for last weekend’s loss to the Russian in the Almaty title decider. That’s the only loss he’s had in his last seven matches.
Moutet has risen to a career-high 31st in the live rankings.
We tip more than 22.5 games to be played.
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The Best Betting Odds for Corentin Moutet v Lorenzo Musetti Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 1.44 |
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2.6 | 1.5 |
|
|
2.9 | 1.44 |
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2.75 | 1.4 |
|
|
2.8 | 1.45 |
|
Who will win the Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: more than 22.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 24/10/2025 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Corentin Moutet has a 35.82% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.9.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 64.18% probability of winning facing Corentin Moutet ⭐ with odds of 1.5 at William Hill.
Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Corentin Moutet has a 35.82 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Corentin Moutet | 35.82 % |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 64.18 % |
Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Corentin Moutet and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
19 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
18 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
17 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
15 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
21 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
17 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open
16 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open
8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
13 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- More than 22.5 games have been played in two of Moutet's last three matches.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Moutet has played at least one in six of his last seven matches.
- Six of Musetti's last 11 matches have seen more than 22.5 games played.
- Musetti's last six matches have seen him play five 7-5 or 7-6 sets.
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Our Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
It's been a great month for Corentin Moutet and he's two matches away from a second successive indoor hard court final. Thursday saw him get revenge on Daniil Medvedev for last weekend's defeat in Almaty.
Now he takes on Lorenzo Musetti in this quarter-final and a close match looks likely. Musetti is battling to make it into the Tour Finals so every match is vital for him at the moment. Our Corentin Moutet v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is more than 22.5 games.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Corentin Moutet vs. Lorenzo Musetti game!
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It does not matter whether you bet on Corentin Moutet or Lorenzo Musetti, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
