Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Moreirense’s perfect home record in the 2025-26 Liga Portugal faces the defensive might of Porto as the teams meet in a matchday nine fixture on Monday. This match in Moreira de Conegos between the fifth-placed ‘Green and Whites’ and the leaders, ‘Dragons’, comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With 15 points (W5, L3) ahead of this round, Moreirense are four points outside the top four teams. Porto’s 22 points (W7, D1) keep them three points ahead of Benfica after Saturday’s matches.
Moreirense were dumped from the cup competition with a 1-0 loss away at AD Fafe last weekend. That made it three defeats in the last four competitive games for the hosts (W1, L3). In the league too, they have had alternating results with three wins and losses each across the last six games.
It's a different ball game at home, where they have won all four league fixtures this season.
Porto were beaten 2-0 away at Nottingham Forest in the Europa League last week, which meant they could win only one of their last three competitive matches (W1, D1, L1).
The draw came in the league before the international break, where they drew 0-0 at home against Benfica. They remain a tough team to crack, with only one goal conceded so far in the season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Moreirense v Porto Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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9.5 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
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11 | 5.5 | 1.25 |
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12 | 5.8 | 1.22 |
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10 | 5.5 | 1.25 |
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11 | 5.5 | 1.26 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Moreirense and Porto?
Our prediction for the Moreirense vs Porto match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/10/2025 between Moreirense and Porto in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.59% for a win of Moreirense against Porto with odds of 12 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Moreirense vs Porto is 9.84% with odds of 6.05 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Moreirense with odds of 1.28 at Bwin.
Moreirense - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Moreirense Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 56.58% | 1.28 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.7% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 40.42% | 2.3 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Porto | 33.75% | 4.33 at Betfair |
Moreirense vs Porto Form
Moreirense and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
25 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
|
6
|
15 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Moreirense and Porto Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
4 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
4 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
29 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
29 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
19 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
31 Oct 2024 - Portugal League Cup
20 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
14 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
Moreirense against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
L. Ofori
ForwardF. Ribeiro Tome Tavares Bondoso
N. Perez
ForwardL. De Jong
Most goals and assists
Moreirense - Porto Key Points
- In three of Moreirense’s last four league games, both teams scored goals.
- Moreirense scored 2+ goals in each of their four home league games this season.
- The only goal Porto conceded this league campaign came on the road against Sporting CP.
- Porto failed to win two of their last three competitive matches, conceding twice in their latest fixture.
- Two of the last three competitive matches between these teams produced BTTS.
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Our Moreirense vs Porto Prediction
Porto leads the league by a significant margin, particularly in their defensive capabilities. They have conceded only one goal all season long and dropped only two points in the league campaign. That said, a 2-0 loss in Europe last week plus a league draw last matchday put them in a slightly awkward position. The hosts have been in rampant form too, winning all four of their league matches played here.
The fixture could be a tricky game for the visitors, and the teams may end up with a low-scoring one. Our Moreirense vs Porto prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Moreirense Porto
| Moreirense vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense wins | 9.5 | 9.5 | 0% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.75 | +15.0% |
| Porto wins | 1.3 | 1.25 | -3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 80.0% (3.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Moreirense vs. Porto game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.