USA - Major League Soccer
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by Sridhar | in Major League Soccer Predictions
MLS Western Conference rivals Minnesota United and the San Jose Earthquakes meet on Sunday with an eye on moving up the table. This match at Allianz Field between the third-placed Loons and the seventh-placed Quakes comes with our prediction of a home win.
Minnesota’s 37 points put them one point behind San Diego in the Western Conference race for the top spot, while San Jose have 28 points and are only two points ahead in the last place for the Final Series qualification.
A 3-1 win in extra time over Chicago Fire in the US Open Cup last week meant Minnesota have now won three of their last four competitive games, drawing the other. Their recent record in the league reads three wins and one draw from the last five games, leaving the door open for improvement.
That could come at home, where Minnesota have won five of their last seven league fixtures, losing only once.
The Earthquakes are coming off a defeat, losing via penalties at home against Austin in the US Cup. That extended their indifferent recent form with three draws and a defeat from five competitive matches.
They have been a stubborn team to beat, though, with six draws and four wins from their last 11 league fixtures, losing just once in the sequence.
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The Best Betting Odds for Minnesota United v San Jose Earthquakes Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 4 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.86 | 4 | 3.55 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes?
Our prediction for the Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes match is: Minnesota United wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/07/2025 between Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.36% for a win of Minnesota United against San Jose Earthquakes with odds of 1.95 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes is 31.43% with odds of 4.1 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.21% chance ⭐ for a win of San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United with odds of 3.58 at Betwinner.
Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes Form
Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes's standings in the Major League Soccer
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
37 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
|
7
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jul 2025 - US Open Cup
7 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
14 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jul 2025 - US Open Cup
7 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
14 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
24 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
21 May 2025 - US Open Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
1 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
14 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
7 May 2025 - US Open Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jul 2025 - US Open Cup
5 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
13 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
31 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jul 2025 - US Open Cup
5 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
24 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
20 May 2025 - US Open Cup
14 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
13 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
31 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
28 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
17 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
10 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
31 Aug 2024 - Major League Soccer
20 Jul 2024 - Major League Soccer
1 Aug 2020 - Major League Soccer
Missing players
W. Speel
N. Tsakiris
N. Buck
Most goals and assists
Minnesota United
San Jose Earthquakes
T. Oluwaseyi
(8 Goals)
C. Arango
(10 Goals)
J. Pereyra
(5 Assists)
C. Espinoza
(9 Assists)
Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes Key Points
- Minnesota won three of their last four competitive matches, drawing the other.
- Playing at home, Minnesota have five wins from their last seven games in all competitions.
- San Jose failed to win seven of their last nine MLS fixtures, drawing six and losing one.
- Minnesota won the last three MLS matches against San Jose, including a 1-0 win in the reverse fixture.
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Our Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction
Minnesota have found their winning rhythm just in time, as San Diego and Vancouver lost in the previous round, keeping the Loons just two points adrift of the top spot in the Western Conference. A win here would keep them hot on the trail, and San Jose’s recent form gives hope. Too many draws have taken the sheen off San Jose’s season, while their record against Minnesota has been poor recently.
This match could see the home side continue their winning run, and our Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction is Minnesota United wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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