Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield Prediction & Betting Tips - League Two

England - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
04/01/2026 07:00
Chesterfield

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Matthew Newman in Football Predictions

The Milton Keynes Dons will take on Chesterfield in League Two action on Sunday lunchtime. The Dons are 6th in the league while the Spireites are 8th ahead of our prediction on this match.

The home side are back on their own soil after a disappointing 0-1 loss away at Colchester on New Year's Day. They have been happier here, unbeaten in their last seven home games in League Two, picking up five wins and two draws. 

They were a little slow to get going at Stadium MK this season but they have netted in each of their last nine home games, though they have conceded in seven of those as well. 

Chesterfield picked up a 1-1 draw at Oldham on New Year's Day to make it five points from their last three away games. They have struggled to get consistency of offence and defence this season, conceding plenty when they score lots and struggling to score when they concede few.

The teams played out a 1-1 draw at the SMH Group Stadium back in September, Chesterfield equalising late on in the piece. No team in the top 17 in League Two has conceded more on the road than Chesterfield but only five teams in the division have scored more away from home.

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The Best Betting Odds for Milton Keynes Dons v Chesterfield Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.79 3.4 4.33
Betfred
1.9 3.3 3.6
William Hill
1.85 3.5 3.9
Unibet
1.82 3.5 3.95
Betway
1.85 3.5 3.75
Check all Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Milton Keynes Dons and Chesterfield?

Our prediction for the Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield match is: BTTS

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between Milton Keynes Dons and Chesterfield in League Two :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.13% for a win of Milton Keynes Dons against Chesterfield with odds of 1.93 at Bwin.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield is 33.69% with odds of 3.5 at William Hill.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Chesterfield vs Milton Keynes Dons with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield Form

Milton Keynes Dons and Chesterfield's standings in the League Two

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
40 24 11 7 6 18
8
Chesterfield
Chesterfield
39 24 10 9 5 7

Milton Keynes Dons and Chesterfield Last Matches

Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons Last matches
L D W W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - League Two

Colchester
1 :  0
Milton Keynes Dons

29 Dec 2025 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  1
Notts County

26 Dec 2025 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  0
Swindon Town

20 Dec 2025 - League Two

Harrogate Town
0 :  4
Milton Keynes Dons

13 Dec 2025 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  1
Cambridge United

9 Dec 2025 - League Two

Notts County
3 :  2
Milton Keynes Dons
W W W D W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  1
Notts County

26 Dec 2025 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  0
Swindon Town

13 Dec 2025 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  1
Cambridge United

6 Dec 2025 - FA Cup

Milton Keynes Dons
3 :  1
Oldham Athletic

29 Nov 2025 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
2 :  1
Fleetwood Town

15 Nov 2025 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
2 :  0
Salford City
W D D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - League Two

Colchester
1 :  0
Milton Keynes Dons

20 Dec 2025 - League Two

Harrogate Town
0 :  4
Milton Keynes Dons

9 Dec 2025 - League Two

Notts County
3 :  2
Milton Keynes Dons

22 Nov 2025 - League Two

Tranmere Rovers
2 :  2
Milton Keynes Dons

8 Nov 2025 - League Two

Barnet
2 :  2
Milton Keynes Dons

1 Nov 2025 - FA Cup

Colchester
2 :  3
Milton Keynes Dons
Chesterfield
Chesterfield Last matches
D W W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - League Two

Oldham Athletic
1 :  1
Chesterfield

29 Dec 2025 - League Two

Chesterfield
0 :  1
Cambridge United

26 Dec 2025 - League Two

Chesterfield
2 :  0
Notts County

20 Dec 2025 - League Two

Shrewsbury Town
0 :  1
Chesterfield

13 Dec 2025 - League Two

Chesterfield
3 :  1
Barnet

9 Dec 2025 - League Two

Cambridge United
1 :  1
Chesterfield
D L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - League Two

Chesterfield
0 :  1
Cambridge United

26 Dec 2025 - League Two

Chesterfield
2 :  0
Notts County

13 Dec 2025 - League Two

Chesterfield
3 :  1
Barnet

6 Dec 2025 - FA Cup

Chesterfield
1 :  2
Doncaster

29 Nov 2025 - League Two

Chesterfield
1 :  2
Swindon Town

11 Nov 2025 - EFL Trophy

Chesterfield
2 :  2
Liverpool
W D L D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - League Two

Oldham Athletic
1 :  1
Chesterfield

20 Dec 2025 - League Two

Shrewsbury Town
0 :  1
Chesterfield

9 Dec 2025 - League Two

Cambridge United
1 :  1
Chesterfield

2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy

Doncaster
5 :  1
Chesterfield

22 Nov 2025 - League Two

Crewe Alexandra
3 :  3
Chesterfield

15 Nov 2025 - League Two

Grimsby Town
0 :  1
Chesterfield

Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Milton Keynes Dons

67 %

Draw

33 %

Chesterfield

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (home team)
0.67
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

13 Sept 2025 - League Two

Chesterfield
1 :  1
Milton Keynes Dons

1 Jan 2025 - League Two

Chesterfield
1 :  2
Milton Keynes Dons

3 Dec 2024 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
3 :  0
Chesterfield

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Milton Keynes Dons
CD Huachipato Chesterfield
Top Goalscorer
England A. Gilbey (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Northern Ireland L. Bonis (6 Goals)

Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield Key Points

  1. Six of the MK Dons last eight home games in the league have seen both teams score.
  2. Chesterfield are 2nd and the MK Dons 4th in the highest percentage of games ending up BTTS this season.
  3. Eight of Chesterfield’s 12 away league games have seen both teams score.
  4. Two of the three times these teams have clashed in League Two, both teams have scored. In the other, Chesterfield were down to 10 men after 24 minutes and lost 3-0.
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Our Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield Prediction

These teams played out a 1-1 draw in Chesterfield earlier on in the season, and it would be no surprise if that was where this one ended up as well. The two teams are amongst the leaders in League Two when it comes to both teams finding the back of the net, and that is very much the way that we see this contest going. Our Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield prediction is for both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield Prediction