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14 October 2022 - 06:00 

- QF

ATP - Florence, Italy, Qualifying

ATP 306 Sweden
Mikael Ymer
VS
ATP 68 Spain
Roberto Carballes Baena

Prediction :

Over 21.5

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Mikael Ymer vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction & Betting Tips - Florence, Italy, Qualifying

 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Qualifier Mikail Yymer takes on unseeded Roberto Carballes Baena in the Firenze Open quarter finals. The winner of this match takes on either seventh seeded Alexander Bublik or unseeded JJ Wolf for a place in the final. Ymer started this week ranked 99th in the world but up to 83rd in the live rankings. A win in this quarter final will take him up to 79th but still 12 places below his career high achieved two years ago. Winning this match will take him into his third ATP Tour semi-final of the year. The others were in Montpellier in January/February and then Washington in August. This week he's had to qualify for this event an was a set down to Borna Gojo before fighting back to reach the main draw. The first round saw him beat  Tim van Rijthoven (for the loss of three games) and then knocked out fifth seed Aslan Karatsev in three sets. He won the first set 6-1, lost the second on a tie-break and then won the decider for the loss of just one game.

World nunber 80 Roberto Carballes Baena can reach a career high ranking if winning this match. Beating Ymer would take him up to 70th in the live rankings. This is his third ATP Tour quarter final of the year, the other two both being in clay rather than hard court tournaments. A lot of his year has been spent on the Challenger Tour with two titles won and a couple of runner-up spots all in clay court tournaments. His most recent title was achieved in Sevilla last month. This week has seen him showing good form on a hard court surface. Wins have come against Daniel Elahi Galan and then an impressive win over second seeded Matteo Berrettini after losing the first set. Can he follow that up? Go for over 21.5 games to be played in what could be a tight match.A

Mikael Ymer vs Roberto Carballes Baena Form

Mikael Ymer and Roberto Carballes Baena Last Matches

Mikael Ymer Last matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

21 Sep 2022 - Moselle Open

Mikael Ymer
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

6 Aug 2022 - Washington, USA

Nick Kyrgios
2 :  0
Mikael Ymer

29 Jun 2022 - Wimbledon Qualification, England

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Mikael Ymer

26 May 2022 - Roland Garros

Daniel Evans
1 :  3
Mikael Ymer

5 Feb 2022 - Open Sud de France

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Mikael Ymer

4 Feb 2022 - Open Sud de France

Mikael Ymer
2 :  1
Richard Gasquet
Roberto Carballes Baena Last matches
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

12 Oct 2022 - Florence, Italy, Qualifying

Roberto Carballes Baena
2 :  1
Matteo Berrettini

1 Sep 2022 - US Open

Denis Shapovalov
3 :  1
Roberto Carballes Baena

29 Jul 2022 - Umag, Croatia

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  2
Jannik Sinner

28 Jun 2022 - Wimbledon Qualification, England

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  3
Jordan Thompson

20 Jun 2022 - Oeiras 3, Portugal, Qualifying

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  2
Kimmer Coppejans

26 May 2022 - Roland Garros

Roberto Carballes Baena
1 :  3
Jannik Sinner

Mikael Ymer against Roberto Carballes Baena : Head to Head (H2H)

1 Jun 2021 - Roland Garros

Mikael Ymer
3 :  2
Roberto Carballes Baena

Mikael Ymer - Roberto Carballes Baena Key Points

  1. Both players second round matches had over 21.5 games played in them.
  2. Both players had a tie-break in their second round matches.
  3. Six of the last 10 Ymer matches have had over 21.5 games played in them.
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Our Mikael Ymer vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction

Both players caused upsets in the second round of this Firenze Open. Mikail Ymer had a difficult time just getting into the main draw and since then also had to battle hard to get past Aslan Karatsev. His opponent also had a tough second round match, coming from behind to beat Matteo Berettini. A bet on over 21.5 games is the suggested wager, also bet on a tie-break happening.

Prediction :

Over 21.5

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Mikael Ymer vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction

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