Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov Prediction & Betting Tips - Hong Kong Open

ATP - Hong Kong Open

ATP 288 USA
Michael Mmoh
08/01/2026 02:10
ATP 18 Russia
Karen Khachanov

Prediction :

 

Michael Mmoh wins at least 1 set

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions

Michael Mmoh’s clash with Karen Khachanov in the RO16 of the Hong Kong Open is promising to be one of the most exciting of this stage. While the odds suggest a sweep for Khachanov, you must remember that Mmoh beat the Russian 3-0 in the US Open (their only career meeting). Let's get into this match prediction.

Unlike Khachanov, who'll be playing his first Hong Kong Open game in the RO16, Mmoh has already been quite busy from the qualifying rounds. The American has won all three games as the underdog, beating Cristian Garin and Patrick Kypson each 2-1 before Alejandro Talibo in his latest game.

Interestingly, this is Mmoh’s first appearance in the Hong Kong Open since the tournament’s revival in 2024. And the American hopes to mark the end of his career title drought with his first ATP Tour win. But as fate would have it, Mmoh is paired with the fourth-highest-ranked player in this stage.

Khachanov, who exited at this stage in the last tournament, will be looking to make progress as he eyes a revenge against Mmoh. Karen is also fresh off another RO16 exit in the Paris Masters. Khachanov did make it to the Toronto Open final in August, but lost out to Ben Shelton, and then lost eight of the following 13 singles.

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The Best Betting Odds for Michael Mmoh v Karen Khachanov Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.4 1.33
William Hill
3.3 1.33
Unibet
3.25 1.35
Betway
3.5 1.3
Ladbrokes
3.2 1.3
Check all Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov odds

Who will win the Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov match is: Mmoh wins a set.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov game on 08/01/2026 of the current Hong Kong Open season:

  • Michael Mmoh has a 45.82% chance to win against Karen Khachanov according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 3.5.
  • Karen Khachanov has a 54.18% probability of winning facing Michael Mmoh ⭐ with odds of 1.35 at Unibet.

Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Michael Mmoh has a 45.82 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Michael Mmoh45.82 %
Karen Khachanov54.18 %

Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov Form

Michael Mmoh and Karen Khachanov Last Matches

Michael Mmoh Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

6 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Alejandro Tabilo
0 :  2
Michael Mmoh

4 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Michael Mmoh
2 :  1
Patrick Kypson

4 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Christian Garin
1 :  2
Michael Mmoh

13 Nov 2025 - Drummondville, Canada

Maks Kasnikowski
abort
Michael Mmoh

12 Nov 2025 - Drummondville, Canada

Cleeve Harper
0 :  2
Michael Mmoh

20 Oct 2025 - ATP Challenger Sioux Falls, USA Men Singles

Jordan Thompson
2 :  0
Michael Mmoh
Karen Khachanov Last matches
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
2 :  1
Joao Fonseca

27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Ethan Quinn

20 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Karen Khachanov
1 :  2
Tallon Griekspoor

16 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Karen Khachanov
1 :  2
Jan-Lennard Struff

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Karen Khachanov
0 :  2
Juncheng Shang

Michael Mmoh - Karen Khachanov Key Points

  1. Mmoh beat Khachanov in their only meeting, winning all three sets when they met in the US Open in 2023.
  2. Mmoh has played more career hardcourt games (322) than Khachanov (293), with almost no difference in win rate (60.4% to 59.9%).
  3. Mmoh enters this tournament with momentum, winning his last three singles, four of his last five, and at least one set won in all five games.
  4. Khachanov has lost a set in nine of his last ten singles, losing seven of those games.
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Our Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov Prediction

We don't doubt that Khachanov can beat Mmoh. What we don't see is the Russian doing so unscathed. Mmoh already proved himself against Khachanov when he beat him in the 2023 US Open 3-0, winning 18-8 in games. What we're also looking at is momentum and experience.

Despite Khachanov playing over 200 more career games, Mmoh has played more on hardcourt and only trails in win rate by 0.5%. Additionally, Mmoh has won a set in his last five games while Khachanov has lost a set in nine of his last ten. Hence, our Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov prediction is that Mmoh wins a set.

Prediction :

 

Michael Mmoh wins at least 1 set

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov Prediction