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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in NBA Predictions
Against the 5-17 Sacramento Kings, we're confident that the 14-9 Miami Heat should win at home. But our sharp pick for today is on Tyler Herro, the man who seems to can't stop scoring since his return. Let's get into our match prediction.
Tyler Herro hit the ground running on his return from injury. He has played five games this season, averaging 23.8 points per game. We're betting on home to make 22+ points against the Kings, which is something he has consistently done in recent games and in their H2H.
Of his five games this season, Herro made 22+ points in four games. His latest game (where Herro scored exactly 20 points) was the outlier. He already had 20 by the first half, but failed to score even a single point in the second, going 0/5 in his field goal attempts.
As for his H2H with the Kings, Herro has been equally impressive, winning this bet in six of his last eight games. He scored 26 in their meeting this year and 27 in their one before that.
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The Best Betting Odds for Miami Heat v Sacramento Kings Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.31 | 3.6 |
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1.3 | 3.5 |
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1.3 | 3.65 |
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1.28 | 3.5 |
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1.3 | 3.7 |
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Who will win the Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings match is: Tyler Herro scores over 21.5 points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings game on 06/12/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Miami Heat has a 70.23% chance to pick up the win against Sacramento Kings according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.31.
- There is a probability of 29.77% ⭐ for Sacramento Kings to win vs Miami Heat with odds of 3.7 at Unibet.
Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Form
Miami Heat and Sacramento Kings's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.609 | 23 | 14 | 9 | -2 |
|
14
|
0.227 | 22 | 5 | 17 | -4 |
Miami Heat and Sacramento Kings Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Dec 2025 - NBA
3 Dec 2025 - NBA
1 Dec 2025 - NBA
29 Nov 2025 - NBA
26 Nov 2025 - NBA
24 Nov 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Dec 2025 - NBA
29 Nov 2025 - NBA
26 Nov 2025 - NBA
24 Nov 2025 - NBA
19 Nov 2025 - NBA
17 Nov 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
5 Dec 2025 - NBA
3 Dec 2025 - NBA
23 Nov 2025 - NBA
21 Nov 2025 - NBA
14 Nov 2025 - NBA
5 Nov 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
3 Dec 2025 - NBA
30 Nov 2025 - NBA
28 Nov 2025 - NBA
26 Nov 2025 - NBA
24 Nov 2025 - NBA
22 Nov 2025 - NBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
30 Nov 2025 - NBA
26 Nov 2025 - NBA
24 Nov 2025 - NBA
12 Nov 2025 - NBA
11 Nov 2025 - NBA
9 Nov 2025 - NBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
3 Dec 2025 - NBA
28 Nov 2025 - NBA
22 Nov 2025 - NBA
20 Nov 2025 - NBA
19 Nov 2025 - NBA
16 Nov 2025 - NBA
Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
6 Jan 2025 - NBA
4 Nov 2024 - NBA
26 Feb 2024 - NBA
31 Jan 2024 - NBA
29 Oct 2022 - NBA
28 Mar 2022 - NBA
Miami Heat - Sacramento Kings Key Points
- Herro has averaged 23.8 points in five games this season.
- Herro has scored 22+ points in four of his five games this season.
- Herro scored 20 points in his last game, but all the points were scored in the first half.
- Herro has scored 22+ points in six of his last eight games against the Kings.
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Our Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
If Tyler Herro plays the Kings tonight, we're confident he will make at least 22 points. And this isn't just because of his performances in recent games and in their H2H.
Our confidence also stems from the fact that the Kings have a gaping defense hole caused by their lack of a strong center. That problem has left a star-studded Kings team with 17 losses in its 22 games this season. Hence, our Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings prediction is that Tyler Herro scores over 21.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.