Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in NBA Predictions
Up next for the Miami Heat in the NBA is a home game against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Both teams occupy the 6th spot in their respective conferences, and a win here would help cement an automatic playoff spot as we approach the halfway point of the season. Let's get into our match prediction.
The Heat are back to their winning ways after four straight wins, with the latest coming against the Detroit Pistons, the Eastern leaders. Prior to that were wins against the Nuggets, Pacers, and Hawks, which helped Miami overtake the Cavs and Magic. They now inch the 76ers spot with only one win and a 0.004 win percentage separating them.
Getting their revenge against the Timberwolves, who beat Miami 106-104 earlier this season, is now the focus for Miami. However, they aren't about to rollover, even after a sharp drop in performance over their last few games. Minnesota is determined to also get back to its winning ways after just losing to the Hawks (126-102) and losing three of their last five games.
Their own three-game winning streak ended after the Nuggets took a slim OT win (142-138) over Minnesota, before the Nets schooled them in their own backyards with a 123-107 win. But for bettors, those performances shouldn't overshadow what's been an impressive season for the 21-13 Timberwolves.
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The Best Betting Odds for Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.25 | 1.67 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.14 | 1.74 |
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2.1 | 1.71 |
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2.15 | 1.67 |
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Who will win the Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves match is: Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves game on 03/01/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Miami Heat has a 43.31% chance to pick up the win against Minnesota Timberwolves according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.25.
- There is a probability of 56.69% ⭐ for Minnesota Timberwolves to win vs Miami Heat with odds of 1.74 at Unibet.
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Form
Miami Heat and Minnesota Timberwolves's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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4
|
0.641 | 39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
|
8
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0.526 | 38 | 20 | 18 | -2 |
Miami Heat and Minnesota Timberwolves Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Dec 2025 - NBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
7 Mar 2025 - NBA
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28 Oct 2023 - NBA
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Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves Key Points
- Minnesota still has the 9th-highest offensive rating this season (116.4).
- While the Heat are 4th in defensive rating (111.9), the Timberwolves aren't far behind, sitting at 6th with a rating of 112.7.
- The Timberwolves have a DIFF of +142, significantly higher than the Heat’s +119.
- Miami makes more PPG (121.3) than Minnesota (118.8), but the Timberwolves allow 2.8 points, leaving them with a higher +/- of (+4.2) than the Heat (+3.9).
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Our Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
The Heat are the ones with the momentum after winning four games in a row. However, Minnesota’s season cannot be overshadowed by its recent slump. The Timberwolves have still been one of the best teams so far, and even surpass the Heat in offensive ratings despite scoring fewer points per game.
Considering all the key stats and the fact that the Timberwolves edge the Heat in DIFF and +/-, Minnesota should win with a +3.5 spread just as they did earlier this season. Hence, our Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction is Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
