International - International Friendlies
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by Nella Wagah in Football Predictions
Mexico will head out to Torreon on Saturday, where Estadio Corona is the designated venue for their friendly match against Uruguay. The two are preparing for the 2026 World Cup, and this is one of the Tier 1 friendlies lined up. Let’s have a look at our prediction.
Mexico’s last win over Uruguay was in a competitive match, as they clashed at the 2016 Copa America. Back then they won 3-1. However, the two nations have since faced off three times in friendly matches, and the Mexicans lost each of those.
They aren’t carrying a strong run into this match, which could point to an extension of their poor run in this fixture. Mexico are winless in four straight games.
Uruguay, on the other hand, have enjoyed a good run coming into this encounter. The visitors haven't lost in their last five outings and only drew once in the process.
In their most recent match, they beat Uzbekistan 2-1, making it two wins in two in the last international window. Uruguay have also done well defensively, only conceding once in the said five matches, while only failing to score once.
It has been a great upturn in fortunes for the visitors, who had gone winless in the earlier four games. Uruguay will also be inspired by the fact they have three straight wins against Mexico.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mexico v Uruguay Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.75 | 3 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.62 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.75 | 3 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.3 | 2.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Uruguay?
Our prediction for the Mexico vs Uruguay match is: Uruguay wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/11/2025 between Mexico and Uruguay in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.8% for a win of Mexico against Uruguay with odds of 2.75 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Uruguay is 35.8% with odds of 3.3 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Uruguay vs Mexico with odds of 2.66 at LSbet.
Mexico - Uruguay Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mexico Uruguay Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35.8% | 3.3 at Unibet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.89% | 1.78 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 31.25% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 21.06% | 4.8 at Unibet |
Mexico vs Uruguay Form
Mexico and Uruguay Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
11 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
11 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
28 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
Mexico vs Uruguay Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
7 Sept 2018 - International Friendlies
Players list
R. Rangel
DefenderC. Montes
J. Gallardo
J. Vasquez
I. Reyes
MidfielderE. Sanchez
R. Alvarado
M. Ruiz
E. Alvarez
ForwardH. Lozano
R. Jimenez
S. Mele
DefenderG. Varela
J. Piquerez
J. Sanabria
J. Gimenez
M. Olivera
MidfielderR. Zalazar
R. Bentancur
B. Rodriguez
E. Martinez
ForwardR. Aguirre
Substitutes
L. Malagon
C. Acevedo
DefenderK. Alvarez
J. Orozco
MidfielderF. Ambriz
O. Vargas
A. Gonzalez
O. Pineda
A. Gutierrez
E. Lira
G. Mora
M. Chavez
ForwardJ. Ruvalcaba Castro
G. Berterame
D. Lainez
Martinez
C. Fiermarin
DefenderP. Rodriguez
M. Vina
R. Araujo
MidfielderF. Torres
M. Ugarte
S. Homenchenko
N. Nandez
ForwardM. Araujo
I. Laquintana
L. Rodriguez
Most goals and assists
Mexico
Uruguay
C. Montes
(3 Goals)
,
R. Jimenez
(3 Goals)
M. Ruiz
(1 Assists)
,
J. Vasquez
(1 Assists)
,
G. Mora
(1 Assists)
,
J. Quinones
(1 Assists)
,
A. Vega
(1 Assists)
,
S. Gimenez
(1 Assists)
,
E. Alvarez
(1 Assists)
,
O. Pineda
(1 Assists)
Mexico - Uruguay Key Points
- Mexico are winless in their last four matches.
- Uruguay have posted three straight wins against Mexico.
- Uruguay are coming off a five-game unbeaten streak, with four wins.
- In the last six meetings between these sides, Mexico managed one win.
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Our Mexico vs Uruguay Prediction
Mexico have failed to win any of their last four matches, and here they go into an even tougher assignment. They haven't beaten Uruguay in the last three meetings between the nations, losing all.
The Mexicans have just one win in the last six meetings with Uruguay, a team that is coming from a five-match unbeaten run. Uruguay registered four wins in those five matches and conceded one goal. Based on these stats, our prediction for Mexico v Uruguay is that Uruguay wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mexico Uruguay
| Mexico vs Uruguay | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 2.6 | 2.63 | +1.2% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.25 | -1.5% |
| Uruguay wins | 2.6 | 2.55 | -1.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.3% and is now 30.8% (0.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Mexico vs. Uruguay game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Mexico and Uruguay? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's International Friendlies! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
