Mexico vs Paraguay Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Under pressure Mexico will face Paraguay in their final outing of 2025, looking to close the year positively. Meeting in San Antonio, the two sides are preparing for the 2026 World Cup, which Mexico will co-host. Below we have a prediction for the match.
Mexico have the head-to-head advantage in this fixture, winning nine of the last 16 meetings. They will hope the same plays out on Wednesday as they seek to end a disappointing run.
In their last outing, the Mexicans drew blanks in a 0-0 outcome at home to Uruguay. That extended their winless run to five matches since winning the Gold Cup. It was soured by Hirving Lozano’s exit with an injury.
Paraguay had a worse ride in their latest outing, falling 2-1 away to the USA. That marked their second straight defeat and third winless outing.
Before that they had posted an away win in Peru, which is now their only victory in the last six matches. In that six-game run, Paraguay suffered three defeats.
They did win their latest meeting with Mexico, which was away from home, and would wish for the same to ease pressure here. However, Paraguay are in really poor away form.
They have two wins in their last 20 matches on the road.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Mexico v Paraguay Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.1 | 4 |
|
|
1.91 | 3 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.4 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.3 | 4.33 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Paraguay?
Our prediction for the Mexico vs Paraguay match is: Mexico wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/11/2025 between Mexico and Paraguay in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.71% for a win of Mexico against Paraguay with odds of 2 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Paraguay is 37.67% with odds of 3.46 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Paraguay vs Mexico with odds of 4.62 at Melbet.
Mexico - Paraguay Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mexico Paraguay Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 43.71% | 2 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 53.68% | 2.13 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mexico | 22.1% | 5 at Ladbrokes |
Mexico vs Paraguay Form
Mexico and Paraguay Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
11 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
11 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Mexico vs Paraguay Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
26 Mar 2019 - International Friendlies
Players list
L. Malagon
DefenderI. Reyes
J. Orozco
MidfielderO. Pineda
E. Lira
M. Ruiz
E. Alvarez
G. Mora
M. Chavez
ForwardR. Jimenez
J. Ruvalcaba Castro
O. Gill
DefenderA. Benitez
G. Velazquez
A. Duarte
G. Sandez
MidfielderR. Sosa
B. Ojeda
M. Galarza
M. Almiron
D. Gomez
ForwardA. Sanabria
Substitutes
C. Acevedo
R. Rangel
DefenderJ. Gallardo
C. Montes
J. Vasquez
K. Alvarez
MidfielderA. Gonzalez
E. Sanchez
A. Gutierrez
F. Ambriz
O. Vargas
R. Alvarado
ForwardD. Lainez
G. Berterame
Gatito Fernandez
A. Perez
DefenderJ. Caceres
D. Leon
J. Alonso
G. Gomez
B. Riveros
MidfielderKaku
L. Romero
D. Bobadilla
ForwardR. Martinez
D. Gonzalez
A. Arce
J. Enciso
Most goals and assists
Mexico
Paraguay
C. Montes
(3 Goals)
,
R. Jimenez
(3 Goals)
J. Quinones
(1 Assists)
,
A. Vega
(1 Assists)
,
S. Gimenez
(1 Assists)
,
E. Alvarez
(1 Assists)
,
O. Pineda
(1 Assists)
,
M. Ruiz
(1 Assists)
,
J. Vasquez
(1 Assists)
,
G. Mora
(1 Assists)
Mexico - Paraguay Key Points
- Mexico won four of their last five meetings with Paraguay.
- Mexico have only lost three of their 17 matches in 2025.
- Paraguay have only won once in their last six matches.
- In their last 20 away matches, Paraguay won twice.
- Paraguay are coming off two straight defeats.
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Our Mexico vs Paraguay Prediction
Paraguay and Mexico have both had frustrating outings in recent times. With the World Cup approaching, there is a clear need to address the seen shortcomings as early as possible. This match presents them with such a chance. Playing on neutral ground, none will have home advantage, but history gives Mexico an edge.
They’ve only lost three of 17 games this year and have beaten Paraguay in four of their last five meetings. Paraguay have also struggled on the road, winning just once in the last 11. Our prediction for Mexico v Paraguay is: Mexico wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mexico Paraguay
| Mexico vs Paraguay | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 2.7 | 1.9 | -29.6% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.4 | +6.3% |
| Paraguay wins | 2.6 | 4.2 | +61.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mexico is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 29.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 52.6% (15.6%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Mexico vs. Paraguay game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Mexico and Paraguay when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on International Friendlies!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
