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Mexico vs Honduras Prediction & Betting Tips - CONCACAF Gold Cup

International - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
03/07/2025 03:00
Honduras

Prediction :

 

Mexico to win to nil

1.83
€50 offered for betting!

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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Mexico are two wins away from clinching their 10th Gold Cup crown. They will be heading into the semi-finals, taking on Honduras, with the winner to face the USA or Guatemala in the final. Meanwhile, Honduras are participating in the semis for the first time in 12 years, and we have a prediction for this match below.

Mexico dumped out guest nation Saudi Arabia in a 2-0 win in their quarter-final duel. Closing in on a fourth straight final, their win over the Asian giants wasn’t a walk in the park.

The champions were dominant but had to wait till the second half to successfully open up Saudi Arabia. Goals from Alexis Vega and Abdullah Madu’s own goal did the job for the Mexicans.

Honduras pulled a surprise on Panama to book their slot in the semis. This will mark the first time they participate in the last four since 2013.

They didn’t particularly start this competition strongly, losing 6-0 to Canada. However, Reinaldo Rueda’s men recovered to beat El Salvador and Curacao 2-0 and 2-1, respectively.

In the quarter-final they showed similar resilience to come from down with a late equalizer against high-flying Panama. Anthony Lozano’s goal sent the match into the penalties, where Honduras picked up a 5-4 win.


 

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The Best Betting Odds for Mexico v Honduras Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Betfred
1.29 4.5 9.5
William Hill
1.3 4.6 10
Betway
1.33 4.75 8.5
Unibet
1.27 5 11
Vbet
1.29 4.75 8.7
Check all Mexico vs Honduras odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Honduras?

Our prediction for the Mexico vs Honduras match is: Mexico to win to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/07/2025 between Mexico and Honduras in CONCACAF Gold Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.66% for a win of Mexico against Honduras with odds of 1.33 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Honduras is 13.21% with odds of 5.5 at BC Game.
  • Our prediction model gives a 27.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Honduras vs Mexico with odds of 11 at Unibet.

Mexico vs Honduras Form

Mexico and Honduras Last Matches

Mexico
Mexico Last matches
L W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
Saudi Arabia

23 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Costa Rica

19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Suriname
0 :  2
Mexico

15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
3 :  2
Dominican Republic

11 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Turkey

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  4
Switzerland
W L W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
Saudi Arabia

23 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Costa Rica

15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
3 :  2
Dominican Republic

11 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Turkey

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  4
Switzerland

24 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
2 :  1
Panama
L D L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Suriname
0 :  2
Mexico

21 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
0 :  2
Mexico

22 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies

River Plate
2 :  0
Mexico

16 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

11 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Mexico

27 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Venezuela
1 :  0
Mexico
Honduras
Honduras Last matches
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Panama
1 :  1
Honduras

25 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Honduras
2 :  1
Curacao

22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Honduras
2 :  0
El Salvador

18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Canada
6 :  0
Honduras

11 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Honduras
2 :  0
Antigua and Barbuda

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Cayman Islands
0 :  1
Honduras
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Honduras
2 :  1
Curacao

22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Honduras
2 :  0
El Salvador

11 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Honduras
2 :  0
Antigua and Barbuda

26 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Honduras
2 :  0
Bermuda

16 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

11 Sep 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
1 :  2
Jamaica
L L W W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Panama
1 :  1
Honduras

18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Canada
6 :  0
Honduras

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Cayman Islands
0 :  1
Honduras

21 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Bermuda
3 :  5
Honduras

16 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies

Guatemala
2 :  1
Honduras

20 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
4 :  0
Honduras

Mexico vs Honduras Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Mexico

67 %

Draw

0 %

Honduras

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

20 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
4 :  0
Honduras

16 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

22 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
2 :  0
Honduras

18 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

26 Jun 2023 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
4 :  0
Honduras

28 Mar 2022 - World Cup

Honduras
0 :  1
Mexico
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Mexico vs Honduras last Lineups

Mexico

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
L. Malagon
22
J. Araujo
4
E. Alvarez
5
J. Vasquez
23
J. Gallardo
14
M. Ruiz
6
E. Lira
7
G. Mora
25
R. Alvarado
9
R. Jimenez
10
A. Vega
11
J. Benguche
12
R. Quioto
23
J. Alvarez
16
E. Rodriguez
20
D. Flores
5
K. Arriaga
8
J. Rosales
3
J. Martinez
2
D. Maldonado
26
L. Crisanto
1
E. Menjivar

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Honduras

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Mexico
CD Huachipato Honduras
Top Goalscorer
Mexico C. Montes (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Honduras R. Quioto (1 Goals) Honduras D. Ramirez (1 Goals) Honduras J. Alvarez (1 Goals) Honduras L. Palma (1 Goals) Honduras C. Lozano (1 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico O. Pineda (1 Assists)
Mexico E. Alvarez (1 Assists)
Mexico S. Gimenez (1 Assists)
Mexico A. Vega (1 Assists)
Mexico J. Quinones (1 Assists)
Best assists
Honduras C. Pineda (2 Assists)

Mexico - Honduras Key Points

  1. In their last six wins against Honduras, Mexico kept clean sheets.
  2. Honduras lost six times in their last eight meetings with Mexico.
  3. Mexico haven't conceded a goal in their last three matches.
  4. Mexico are unbeaten in their last five games, winning four.
  5. Honduras have already lost to nil at this tournament.
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Our Mexico vs Honduras Prediction

Mexico and Honduras have played a number of entertaining encounters in recent meetings. Honduras prevailed twice while playing at home. Here they meet at a neutral venue, and Mexico will be outright favorites.

Honduras have already tasted defeat at this tournament, yet here they are set to meet the toughest team at the competition. Mexico, the favorites to go all the way, have been sturdy in defence while doing the job in attack. We could see the same here. Our prediction for Mexico v Honduras is for Mexico to win to nil.

Prediction :

 

Mexico to win to nil

1.83
€50 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mexico vs Honduras Prediction
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