International - CONCACAF Gold Cup
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Mexico are two wins away from clinching their 10th Gold Cup crown. They will be heading into the semi-finals, taking on Honduras, with the winner to face the USA or Guatemala in the final. Meanwhile, Honduras are participating in the semis for the first time in 12 years, and we have a prediction for this match below.
Mexico dumped out guest nation Saudi Arabia in a 2-0 win in their quarter-final duel. Closing in on a fourth straight final, their win over the Asian giants wasn’t a walk in the park.
The champions were dominant but had to wait until the second half to successfully open up Saudi Arabia. Goals from Alexis Vega and Abdullah Madu’s own goal did the job for the Mexicans.
Honduras pulled a surprise on Panama to book their slot in the semis. This will mark the first time they participate in the last four since 2013.
They didn’t particularly start this competition strongly, losing 6-0 to Canada. However, Reinaldo Rueda’s men recovered to beat El Salvador and Curacao 2-0 and 2-1, respectively.
In the quarter-final they showed similar resilience to come from behind with a late equalizer against high-flying Panama. Anthony Lozano’s goal sent the match into the penalty shootout, where Honduras picked up a 5-4 win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mexico v Honduras Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 4.2 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.2 | 7 |
|
|
1.6 | 2.87 | 7 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.25 | 12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Honduras?
Our prediction for the Mexico vs Honduras match is: Mexico to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/07/2025 between Mexico and Honduras in CONCACAF Gold Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.99% for a win of Mexico against Honduras with odds of 1.6 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Honduras is 13.66% with odds of 5.25 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Honduras vs Mexico with odds of 12 at Unibet.
Mexico - Honduras Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mexico Honduras Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 58.99% | 1.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.59% | 2.23 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Mexico/Mexico | 28.29% | 2 at Betfair |
Mexico vs Honduras Form
Mexico and Honduras Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
14 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
14 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
24 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
21 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
17 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
21 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
15 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
17 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
16 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
Mexico vs Honduras Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
17 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
25 Jun 2023 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
27 Mar 2022 - World Cup
Mexico against Honduras Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Mexico
Honduras
R. Jimenez
(3 Goals)
,
C. Montes
(3 Goals)
R. Quioto
(1 Goals)
,
D. Ramirez
(1 Goals)
,
J. Alvarez
(1 Goals)
,
L. Palma
(1 Goals)
,
C. Lozano
(1 Goals)
O. Pineda
(1 Assists)
,
E. Alvarez
(1 Assists)
,
S. Gimenez
(1 Assists)
,
A. Vega
(1 Assists)
,
J. Quinones
(1 Assists)
,
G. Mora
(1 Assists)
,
J. Vasquez
(1 Assists)
,
M. Ruiz
(1 Assists)
C. Pineda
(2 Assists)
Mexico - Honduras Key Points
- In their last six wins against Honduras, Mexico kept clean sheets.
- Honduras lost six times in their last eight meetings with Mexico.
- Mexico haven't conceded a goal in their last three matches.
- Mexico are unbeaten in their last five games, winning four.
- Honduras have already lost to nil at this tournament.
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Our Mexico vs Honduras Prediction
Mexico and Honduras have played a number of entertaining encounters in recent meetings. Honduras prevailed twice while playing at home. Here they meet at a neutral venue, and Mexico will be outright favorites.
Honduras have already tasted defeat at this tournament, yet here they are set to meet the toughest team at the competition. Mexico, the favorites to go all the way, have been sturdy in defence while doing the job in attack. We could see the same here. Our prediction for Mexico v Honduras is for Mexico to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mexico Honduras
| Mexico vs Honduras | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 1.25 | 1.33 | +6.4% |
| Draw | 4.6 | 4.2 | -8.7% |
| Honduras wins | 11 | 8.5 | -22.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mexico is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 75.2% (-4.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Mexico vs. Honduras game!
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Try your luck on this year's CONCACAF Gold Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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