Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC Fight Night
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions
A compelling featherweight striking match-up lands at UFC Vegas 119 this Saturday as veteran Melsik Baghdasaryan welcomes undefeated newcomer Murtazali Magomedov to the promotion. The Gun needs a rebound, while his debutant opponent arrives with a perfect record and serious hype. With Magomedov finishing all ten of his wins, our prediction backs the newcomer.
Baghdasaryan brings a deep striking pedigree, having competed at a high level in kickboxing and K-1 before turning to MMA. But at 8-3, the Armenian's UFC run has stalled, most recently when Jean Silva starched him with a first-round TKO in February 2025, a loss that exposed his defence under heavy fire.
Magomedov, by contrast, could hardly arrive in better shape. The 26-year-old Kyrgyzstani is a perfect 10-0, has finished every opponent he has faced, and earned his contract with a dominant Contender Series showing.
And that 100% finish rate from Magomedov is the headline. Baghdasaryan still carries dangerous power and a wicked left high kick, but his tendency to leak shots in close is exactly the kind of opening a sharp, confident finisher feasts on.
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Melsik Baghdasaryan - Murtazali Magomedov Key Points
- Magomedov boasts a pristine 10-0 professional record and has maintained a flawless 100% finish rate throughout his career.
- The newcomer lands an exceptional 5.57 significant strikes per minute while maintaining an elite 84% striking defense.
- Baghdasaryan has struggled significantly when facing heavy punchers, dropping his most recent fight by first-round knockout.
- The Gun absorbs 3.14 significant strikes per minute, leaving open defensive lanes for an accurate counter-striker.
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Our Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov Prediction
This should be a stand-up battle, and on the feet the momentum sits firmly with the newcomer. The Gun's experience and power keep him dangerous, but his defensive lapses under pressure have been punished before, never more brutally than against Jean Silva.
Magomedov arrives unbeaten, finishing everyone in his path, and should have the sharpness to make Baghdasaryan pay when he overextends. Hence, our Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov prediction is that Murtazali Magomedov wins by KO, TKO, DQ, or Decision.
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