Melbourne Victory vs Sydney Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
The final fixture on Matchday 14 in the A-League will see Melbourne Victory taking on Sydney FC on Monday. The Big V are ninth in the league standings, while the Sky Blues are in third place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Melbourne Victory slipped into the bottom four in the league standings last weekend when they conceded in the seventh minute of stoppage time to lose 2-1 to Adelaide United on the road.
The Big V have now lost their last two league games to teams in the bottom half of the table. They had won four matches in a row and were unbeaten in their preceding five league matches.
The hosts lost to Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 in their last home game, but had won three on the bounce before that and scored an impressive 10 goals during that win streak.
Meanwhile, Sydney dropped out of second place to third last week after an against-the-odds defeat to eighth-placed Wellington Phoenix on their home patch.
That result marked the third game in the last four where the Sky Blues failed to score a goal, which is a notable dip after scoring in 11 of their 12 league matches before this period.
The visitors have taken 13 points from their eight away games this term (W4 D1 L3), and they kept clean sheets in three of their last four on the road ahead of this one.
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Melbourne Victory v Sydney Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.14 | 3.55 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.72 | 3.11 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.6 | 2.96 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.55 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Sydney?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Sydney match is: BTTS (NO).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/01/2026 between Melbourne Victory and Sydney in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.42% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Sydney with odds of 2.29 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Sydney is 19.46% with odds of 3.72 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Sydney vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.25 at LSbet.
Melbourne Victory - Sydney Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Sydney Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sydney wins | 41.12% | 3.25 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 55.77% | 2.18 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 69.79% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sydney | 20.38% | 8 at LSbet |
Melbourne Victory vs Sydney Form
Melbourne Victory and Sydney's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
|
5
|
39 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +8 |
Melbourne Victory and Sydney Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
2 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
2 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
6 Dec 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
23 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
6 Dec 2025 - A-League
29 Nov 2025 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Sydney Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
24 Jan 2025 - A-League
28 Dec 2024 - A-League
26 Jan 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Sydney Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
J. Duncan
DefenderJ. Inserra
K. Jelacic
J. Valadon
N. Velupillay
J. Reec
R. Piscopo
A. Zaverdinos
DefenderJ. Courtney-Perkins
A. Popovic
W. Kamijo
N. Gustavo
M. Macallister
A. Akon
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
A. Toure
(5 Goals)
,
T. Quintal
(5 Goals)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
P. Quispe
(5 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Sydney Key Points
- Six of Melbourne Victory’s last 10 games have ended with BTTS (NO).
- Each of Sydney’s last five league games have ended with BTTS (NO).
- Sydney have failed to score in three of their last four games.
- Sydney have kept clean sheets in three of their last four away matches.
- Only one team has scored in each of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Sydney Prediction
After an excellent December in which they took 10 points from a possible 12 (W3 D1), Melbourne enter this match following back-to-back defeats, including a 1-0 loss to basement club Western Sydney Wanderers.
However, backing the visitors with any confidence right now is very difficult, as they have only won one of their last four league games and failed to score in any of the other three during that period. Therefore, our Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC prediction is BTTS (NO).
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Sydney
| Melbourne Victory vs Sydney | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 2.24 | 2.29 | +2.2% |
| Draw | 3.56 | 3.72 | +4.5% |
| Sydney wins | 3.07 | 3.25 | +5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sydney is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.6% and is now 30.8% (-1.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Sydney game!
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Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
