Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
We head to AAMI Park for a Matchday 22 clash between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners on Saturday. The Big V and the Mariners are fourth and sixth in the league standings, respectively. Let’s get into the match prediction.
With five games left to play in the season, Melbourne Victory moved into the top four in the standings thanks to a very impressive 4-1 victory over a slumping Macarthur last weekend.
The Big V are now riding a six-game unbeaten run and have scored two or more goals in four of these matches. Notably, the last defeat they suffered was to this very opponent at the start of the year.
The hosts have earned 18 of their 32 points on their home patch this season (W5 D3 L2), which is the second-best record in the league. They have won three of their last four against this opponent at this venue.
Meanwhile, the Central Coast Mariners are having a strong run-in, now unbeaten in their last nine league games (W5 D4), following a 1-1 draw at home to Adelaide United last week.
Across the last five gameweeks, only Auckland have earned as many points in the top flight as the Mariners (both 11), who are now trailing Adelaide by five points with a game in hand.
The visitors have taken seven points from their last three away games, one more than they earned across their first six matches on the road this season.
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Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.43 | 4.9 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.78 | 6.55 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.96 | 6.95 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.7 | 6.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2026 between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.85% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Central Coast Mariners with odds of 1.47 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners is 25.81% with odds of 4.96 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 7 at LSbet.
Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Central Coast Mariners Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 43.85% | 1.47 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.97% | 1.55 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 62.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory | 21.03% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners Form
Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
|
9
|
32 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -7 |
Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - A-League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
26 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
2 Jan 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
1 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - A-League
4 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
22 Feb 2026 - A-League
7 Feb 2026 - A-League
1 Feb 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
22 Feb 2026 - A-League
1 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
31 Dec 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Feb 2026 - A-League
23 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
4 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2026 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2024 - A-League
25 May 2024 - A-League
25 Feb 2024 - A-League
19 Mar 2023 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Central Coast Mariners Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
J. Duncan
DefenderJ. Davidson
M. Grimaldi
K. Jelacic
X. Stella
ForwardR. Piscopo
N. Vergos
D. Peraic-Cullen
DefenderN. Paull
MidfielderJ. Nasso
H. Steele
ForwardO. Lavale
B. Brandtman
K. Taniguchi
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
J. Sabit
(6 Goals)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
M. Di Pizio
(4 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners Key Points
- Each of Melbourne Victory’s last six league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Melbourne Victory have only kept two clean sheets in 10 home games this season.
- Six of the Mariners’ last eight league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- The Mariners have scored two or more goals in each of their last three away matches.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction
After a poor run of results between the end of January and the start of February, Melbourne Victory are now on a nice run of form, unbeaten in six and just one point behind third-placed Sydney FC.
However, Central Coast Mariners have been the joint-best team in the league across the last five gameweeks and beat this opponent a couple of months ago. Given these sides’ recent form, we’re expecting an entertaining matchup and a few goals. Our Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Central Coast Mariners
| Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 1.5 | 1.47 | -2.0% |
| Draw | 4.6 | 4.96 | +7.8% |
| Central Coast Mariners wins | 6 | 7 | +16.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 68.0% (1.4%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Melbourne Victory vs. Central Coast Mariners game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on A-League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
