Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Melbourne’s fiercest football rivalry is set to reignite on Saturday at AAMI Park when Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory lock horns in the A-League Grand Final. City ended the regular season in second place, while the Big V finished fifth, five points behind their cross-town rivals. Check out our match prediction below!
Melbourne City ended as Premiers’ runners-up this season and are set to feature in their fifth Grand Final, with their last appearance coming in 2023. They have only managed to win the title once, which was in 2021 when they beat Sydney FC. Victory, on the other hand, are in their second consecutive Grand Final, but will be hoping to go one better this time, having lost to Central Coast Mariners last season.
A look at the latest betting odds shows Melbourne City installed as the favourites in this blockbuster showdown. Let’s take a closer look at some of the key stats heading into the final Melbourne Derby of the season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne City v Melbourne Victory Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.4 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory?
Our prediction for the Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/05/2025 between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.27% for a win of Melbourne City against Melbourne Victory with odds of 2.25 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory is 29.83% with odds of 13 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City with odds of 4.13 at 22bet.
Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Form
Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 May 2025 - A-League
16 May 2025 - A-League
3 May 2025 - A-League
26 Apr 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
11 Apr 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 May 2025 - A-League
3 May 2025 - A-League
26 Apr 2025 - A-League
11 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Mar 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
7 Feb 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 May 2025 - A-League
17 May 2025 - A-League
10 May 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
25 Apr 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 May 2025 - A-League
10 May 2025 - A-League
25 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
1 Mar 2025 - A-League
Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
5 May 2024 - A-League
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
17 Feb 2024 - A-League
Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory: Form Analysis
Melbourne City ended the regular season in great shape, unbeaten in their final six games, including four wins and two draws, while scoring two or more goals in four of those matches.
The City Blues carried that momentum into the semi-finals, where they beat Western United 3-0 in the first leg and secured a 4-1 aggregate win after playing out a 1-1 draw in the second match.
At AAMI Park, Hearts are unbeaten in five games and have lost just one of their last 12. They also maintained seven clean sheets during that 12-match period.
The last two matches between these Melbourne rivals have ended level!
Meanwhile, Melbourne Victory’s record leading up to the postseason was mixed, with the team producing five wins, three draws and two defeats in their final 10 regular-season matches.
The Big V took down Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 in the Elimination finals before coming from a goal down to oust the heavily fancied Auckland 2-1 on aggregate in the semi-final.
While City are the favourites in this match, Victory have been the more successful in the Melbourne Derby in recent times, unbeaten in their last seven encounters against their cross-town rivals.
Melbourne City have not beaten Melbourne Victory since April 2023.
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Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Melbourne City & Melbourne Victory Squad Analysis
Aurelio Vidmar has made two additions to his squad for the final, with academy stars Lawrence Wong and Harry Shillington being brought in. Wong missed the team’s last two games with a wrist injury.
However, City still have several players sidelined through injury, including Jayden Necovski, Andrew Nabbout, James Jeggo and Samuel Souprayen.
Patrick Beach has kept the joint-most clean sheets in the A-League this season (12)!
Arthur Diles, meanwhile, also received a significant injury boost ahead of this match, with Kasey Bos set to return after missing out on the semi-final second leg with a foot injury.
Nishan Velupillay has been included in Victory’s extended squad, but he will have to pass a late fitness test after sustaining an ankle injury in the semi-final victory over Auckland.
Brendon Hamill is the only known injury absentee for the Big V. Zinedine Machach scored in the elimination and semi-finals, and is one to watch in Victory’s attack in this match.
Most goals and assists
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
M. Caputo
(5 Goals)
,
M. Tilio
(5 Goals)
, 
Y. Cohen
(5 Goals)
,
M. Memeti
(5 Goals)
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
,
N. Velupillay
(7 Goals)
, 
Z. Machach
(7 Goals)
A. Kuen
(7 Assists)
Z. Machach
(6 Assists)
,
D. Arzani
(6 Assists)
,
J. Valadon
(6 Assists)
Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory Key Points
- Four of City’s last six games have ended with both teams scoring.
- City have scored two or more goals in five of their last eight matches.
- Six of Victory’s last nine games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Victory have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last five matches between these sides.
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Our Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
While Melbourne City enter the final as the clear favourites, unbeaten in their last eight matches, they have struggled to overcome this opponent in recent times, now winless in their last seven Melbourne Derbies.
Victory will be buzzing after that sensational comeback win against the heavily fancied Auckland FC in the second leg of the semi-final, and we feel they will find the net at least once in this crucial matchup. Our Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory prediction is both teams to score.
Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
City have scored two or more goals in five of their last eight matches, while Victory have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches. Additionally, two of the three matches between these sides this season have seen three or more goals scored.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne City vs. Melbourne Victory game!
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Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory match : Frequently asked questions
The A League Grand Final between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory will be played on May 31 at 10:40 GMT.
The A League Grand Final between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory will take place at AAMI Park in Melbourne.
The A League Grand Final between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory will be broadcast on Network 10 and Paramount+.
However, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our A-League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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