ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
20th seed Tomas Machac begins his 2025 Shanghai Masters campaign. He received a bye in round one and now faces unseeded Mattia Bellucci who he's never beaten. Can he get a first win? Time for our match prediction.
The winner of this match will take on either 14th seed Alexander Bublik or qualifier Valentin Vacherot.
Machac was 23rd in the latest rankings but is only 30th in the live list. That's because he's defending the points earned when reaching the semi-final of this tournament last year. That run included a win over Carlos Alcaraz (absent this year) before losing to Jannik SInner.
The 24-year-old has a 16-9 record on hard courts this year and has won one ATP Tour event on this surface in 2025.
Mattia Bellucci won the only previous match played between these two players. That was in a hard court tournament played two years.ago.
Bellucci beat Adam Walton 7-6 6-1 in the first round taking his 2025 hard court record to 16-15. The 24-year-old is 69th in the live rankings. He had lost three of his last five matches before that victory.
Only once this year has Bellucci got past round two of an ATP Tour hard court event but did win a Challenger Tour tournament.
We tip Machac to wn this.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mattia Bellucci v Tomas Machac Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.63 | 1.5 |
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2.75 | 1.44 |
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2.75 | 1.44 |
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2.62 | 1.44 |
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2.7 | 1.47 |
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Who will win the Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Machac Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Machac match is: Tomas Machac to win
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Machac game on 03/10/2025 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Mattia Bellucci has a 48.12% chance to win against Tomas Machac according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 2.78.
- Tomas Machac has a 51.88% probability of winning facing Mattia Bellucci ⭐ with odds of 1.5 at Bet365.
Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Machac Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Mattia Bellucci has a 48.12 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | 48.12 % |
| Tomas Machac | 51.88 % |
Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Machac Form
Mattia Bellucci and Tomas Machac Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
30 Sep 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
22 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open
21 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open
27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
19 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
24 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open
31 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
29 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Mattia Bellucci - Tomas Machac Key Points
- Machac is 39 places above Bellucci in the live rankings.
- Machac reached the semi-finals of this tournament last year.
- Belluci has only once this year made it past this stage of an ATP Tour hard court tournament.
- Bellucci is over 40 places below Machac in the ATP Live Race.
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Our Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Machac Prediction
Tomas Machac made it all the way to the last four of this tournament in 2024. He'd love to repeat that twelve months later and should be able to get off to a winning start here against Mattia Bellucci.
He has shown consistent form on hard courts this year, while his Italian opponent's best result on this surface came on the Challenger Tour. He lost in the qualifying rounds in his last tournament. Our Mattia Bellucci v Tomas Machac prediction is Tomas Machac to win.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Mattia Bellucci vs. Tomas Machac game!
When you place a bet on the match between Mattia Bellucci and Tomas Machac you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Mattia Bellucci or Tomas Machac , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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