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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
For the first time in their careers, Matteo Arnaldi and Roberto Bautista Agut will be facing off. The two meet in the first round of the Rome Masters, with Tommy Paul awaiting the winner next. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Arnaldi will be keen to start another long run after falling at the quarter-finals in Madrid. He lost in straight sets to eventual finalist Jack Draper.
Four wins in the last five matches give him the momentum coming here. It hasn’t been a smooth season, but in his performances on clay, there comes a lot of hope.
This season isn’t unfolding well for Bautista-Agut. The Spaniard hasn’t played more than two matches in any of his last seven events. His second-round defeat at the Madrid Masters by Alexander Zverev in straight sets was his latest blow.
It was his seventh defeat in 10 matches, and he comes here on a very poor record: 4-11. In Bautista-Agut’s current run of form, it will take some effort to get back to a winning record.
Somehow, the Spaniard has enjoyed a good run in this round at the Rome Masters. He has only lost once in the first round in his seven appearances. His best at Rome was in the third round.
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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Arnaldi v Roberto Bautista-Agut Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 3.2 |
|
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1.28 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.28 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.42 |
|
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Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Roberto Bautista-Agut Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Roberto Bautista-Agut match is: Arnaldi to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Roberto Bautista-Agut game on 08/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 67.03% chance to win against Roberto Bautista-Agut according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
- Roberto Bautista-Agut has a 32.97% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 3.51 at Betobet.
Matteo Arnaldi vs Roberto Bautista-Agut Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 67.03 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | 67.03 % |
| Roberto Bautista-Agut | 32.97 % |
Matteo Arnaldi vs Roberto Bautista-Agut Form
Matteo Arnaldi and Roberto Bautista-Agut Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
28 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
2 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Bautista-Agut Key Points
- Arnaldi dropped at least a set in seven of his last 10 fixtures.
- Six of Bautista-Agut’s last 10 matches had three sets.
- Arnaldi registered four wins in the last five matches.
- Bautista-Agut lost seven of their last 10 games.
- Arnaldi has four wins in the last five outings.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Roberto Bautista-Agut Prediction
Matteo Arnaldi had a slow start to the season, and flashes of that can still be seen. He hasn’t won devoid of struggles in his matches, and though he comes here as the favorite, Bautista-Agut will feel he can shake him.
Four wins in five matches should, however, build in Arnaldi the confidence needed to handle the Spaniard. Bautista-Agut is on a poor run but has time and again won at least a set. He will eye the same here. Our prediction for Matteo Arnaldi v Roberto Bautista-Agut is for Arnaldi to win in three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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