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Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Geneva Open

ATP - ATP Geneva Open

ATP 39 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi
22/05/2025 12:00
ATP 6 Serbia
Novak Djokovic

Prediction :

 

Match will have three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic are set to battle for the second time in about four weeks. The two meet in the Geneva Open quarter-finals, seeking a ticket to face Alexei Popyrin or Cameron Norrie next. Below we have a prediction for the match.

This has been a tough season for Djokovic, and he will be eyeing success here to prepare for Roland Garros. The former world No. 1 is facing a race against time, having so far this season failed to win a title.

He swept Marton Fucsovics aside in the last round, and another win will equal his best performance at this ATP event.

Matteo Arnaldi will, however, have other plans for this match, seeking to add to Djokovic’s woeful run this season. The two have already faced off this season, and the Italian claimed a 2-0 win at the Madrid Masters.

Arnaldi is coming into this match having triumphed against Fabian Marozsan and Hugo Gaston. With a compilation of 6-4 on clay this season, we can’t deny he will be confident of inflicting a second defeat on Djokovic.

His quarter-final run at Madrid will be enough to fuel this belief. The downside for Arnaldi is that he has played about three more hours than Djokovic in Geneva.

Up to $300 to bet on Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic! 

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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Arnaldi v Novak Djokovic Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.75 1.29
Betway
3.75 1.29
Ladbrokes
3.4 1.3
Unibet
3.5 1.3
Vbet
3.3 1.28
Check all Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic odds
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Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic match is: match will have three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic game on 22/05/2025 of the current ATP Geneva Open season:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has a 48.41% chance to win against Novak Djokovic according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.75.
  • Novak Djokovic has a 51.59% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 1.32 at Melbet.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 48.41 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Matteo Arnaldi48.41 %
Novak Djokovic51.59 %

Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Form

Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic Last Matches

Matteo Arnaldi Last matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

21 May 2025 - ATP Geneva Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  0
Fabian Marozsan

19 May 2025 - ATP Geneva Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Hugo Gaston

8 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Roberto Bautista-Agut

1 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Frances Tiafoe
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

28 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Damir Dzumhur
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi
Novak Djokovic Last matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

21 May 2025 - ATP Geneva Open

Marton Fucsovics
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  0
Novak Djokovic

9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Novak Djokovic
0 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

30 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Jakub Mensik
2 :  0
Novak Djokovic

28 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Grigor Dimitrov

27 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Sebastian Korda
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic

Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  0
Novak Djokovic
Compare Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic with our comparison tool.

Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic Key Points

  1. Arnaldi failed to win a set in only two of his last 10 matches.
  2. Half of Arnaldi’s last 12 matches produced three or more sets.
  3. Djokovic dropped at least a set in three of his last four matches.
  4. Djokovic failed to win at least a set in just three of the last 10 matches.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

A second meeting between these two players in less than a month means we are in line for a grueling encounter. Djokovic is back to winning ways, and he faces one of the players who beat him to stifle his rise. 

While his peers have ignored this event to prepare for Roland Garros, Djokovic opted to use it to prepare for the French Open. Arnaldi will be charged up to beat a top-10 player and, after his earlier win, will be high in confidence. Our prediction for Matteo Arnaldi v Novak Djokovic is that the match will have three sets.

Prediction :

 

Match will have three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
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