Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP 104 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi
06/10/2024 00:30
ATP 8
Daniil Medvedev

Prediction :

 

Daniil Medvedev to win in straight sets

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions

Two seeds meet in the last 32 of the Shanghai Masters. Fifth seed Daniil Medvedev faces Matteo Arnaldi who is seeded 29th for this hard court tournament. Who'll make it into the next round? Here's our match prediction.

Daniil Medvedev is fifth in the rankings and one place higher in the ATP Race. The Russian is yet to win a tournament this year and not since 2017 has he gone through a calendar year without lifting a trophy.

He has reached two major finals though, getting to the title decider in the Australian Open and at Indian Wells. He's in good form at present with a run to the last four in Beijing in his most recent tournament.

Medvedev won this tournament back in 2019 and got off to a good start this year. He beat unseeded Thiago Seyboth Wild in straight sets, winning both of them 7-5. This is his fourth match against Arnaldi and he won the three previous ones, two on hard courts.

Matteo Arnaldi is the world number 36 and has never won a set in his two hard court matches against Medvedev. The Italian has shown some better form this week after losing in round one to Tommy Paul in the recent Japan Open.

He'll be wanting to recapture the form that saw him reach the last four in Montreal two months ago. So far in Shanghai, he's beaten qualifier Zachary Svajda but had to come from behind after losing the first set on a tie-break. We tip Medvedev to win this in straight sets.

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Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniil Medvedev Form

Matteo Arnaldi and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches

Matteo Arnaldi Last matches
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

4 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Zachary Svajda

25 Sept 2024 - ATP Japan Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

31 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  3
Jordan Thompson

29 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Matteo Arnaldi
3 :  0
Roman Safiullin

27 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Matteo Arnaldi
3 :  0
Zachary Svajda

14 Aug 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi
Daniil Medvedev Last matches
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

4 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Thiago Seyboth Wild
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

1 Oct 2024 - ATP Beijing Open

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

30 Sept 2024 - ATP Beijing Open

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

28 Sept 2024 - ATP Beijing Open

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

27 Sept 2024 - ATP Beijing Open

Gael Monfils
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

4 Sept 2024 - ATP US Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Daniil Medvedev

Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniil Medvedev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Matteo Arnaldi

0 %

Daniil Medvedev

100 %

27 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi

9 Aug 2023 - ATP Toronto

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

28 Feb 2023 - ATP Dubai Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi - Daniil Medvedev Key Points

  1. Medvedev is 31 places higher than his opponent in the latest rankings.
  2. Only three players have earned more ranking points this year than Medvedev.
  3. Medvedev has won his three previous matches against Arnaldi, two on hard courts.
  4. Arnaldi has never won a set against Medvedev on a hard court.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

The winner of this match will face either Stefanos Tsitsipas or Alexandre Muller in the last 16 in Shanghai. Daniil Medvedev has been in good form and it took Carlos Alcaraz to beat him in his last tournament.

He has won all three of his previous matches against Arnaldi who struggled in the last round. The two wins he's had over Arnaldi on hard courts have both been without dropping a set. Our Matteo Arnaldi v Daniil Medvedev prediction is Daniil Medvedev to win in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Daniil Medvedev to win in straight sets

 
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Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction