Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Sao Paulo

WTA - WTA Sao Paulo

WTA 116 USA
Mary Stoiana
18/09/2026 16:30
WTA 70 Spain
Paula Badosa

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 0-2

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Mary Stoiana and second seed Paula Badosa will face off in the Sao Paulo quarter-finals. The two are set to meet for the first time in their careers. Being much more experienced, our prediction will back Badosa to prevail here.

Stoiana has been on a superb run at this event and will fancy her chances of progressing to the last four. The American had not progressed past the first round in a main draw at the tour level before arriving in Sao Paulo.

In straight sets, she has so far seen off Claire Liu and Dominika Salkova. With a big chunk of her matches having been at the ITF level, Stoiana has compiled a 42-24 record. She is 113th in the live ranking, a record high.

Badosa will bring a lot of experience to this encounter, and she will be expected to sail through in the end. The Spaniard, on her debut here, is looking to go all the way and claim a fifth career tour title.

Badosa has suffered a lot of her losses early at events this season, and this will be her fourth quarter-final this year. She will be looking to replicate her run in Iasi when she went all the way to the final.

To book this slot, Badosa saw off Justina Mikulskyte in straight sets and Jazmin Ortenzi in three. The former world No. 2 is 73rd in the live ranking.

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Mary Stoiana v Paula Badosa Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.75 1.39
1xbet
2.9 1.41
Melbet
2.9 1.41
Betwinner
2.9 1.41
22bet
2.9 1.41
Check all Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa odds

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Who will win the Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa match is: exact score: 0-2.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa game on 18/09/2026 of the current WTA Sao Paulo season:

  • Mary Stoiana has a 38.92% chance to win against Paula Badosa according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 3.
  • Paula Badosa has a 61.08% probability of winning facing Mary Stoiana ⭐ with odds of 1.45 at Shangrila.

Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Mary Stoiana has a 38.92 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Mary Stoiana38.92 %
Paula Badosa61.08 %

Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Form

Mary Stoiana and Paula Badosa Last Matches

Mary Stoiana Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

17 Sept 2026 - WTA Sao Paulo

Dominika Salkova
0 :  2
Mary Stoiana

16 Sept 2026 - WTA Sao Paulo

Mary Stoiana
2 :  0
Claire Liu

1 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Mary Stoiana
0 :  2
Alexandra Eala

28 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Yue Yuan
1 :  2
Mary Stoiana

26 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Katie Swan
1 :  2
Mary Stoiana

25 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Harmony Tan
0 :  2
Mary Stoiana
Paula Badosa Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

17 Sept 2026 - WTA Sao Paulo

Jazmin Ortenzi
1 :  2
Paula Badosa

16 Sept 2026 - WTA Sao Paulo

Justina Mikulskyte
0 :  2
Paula Badosa

3 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Paula Badosa
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

1 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Daria Kasatkina
0 :  2
Paula Badosa

24 Jul 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open

Mayar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz
2 :  1
Paula Badosa

23 Jul 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open

Paula Badosa
2 :  0
Panna Udvardy
Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Prediction

Mary Stoiana - Paula Badosa Key Points

  1. Badosa has been to three quarter-finals this year.
  2. Badosa has a 23-18 record for the season.
  3. Badosa is a four-time tour level champion.
  4. Stoiana is playing her first quarter-final match at the tour level.
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Our Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa Prediction

Badosa is set to play in her fourth quarter-final of the year, and she should be able to prevail with relative ease. The Spaniard is clearly more experienced than her American opponent, and she has had a much better campaign compared to Mary Stoiana.

Badosa failed to make the cut in two of her three quarter-final appearances, but facing an opponent who is playing her first match at this level should be manageable. Stoiana had not made it past the first round in any WTA event before Sao Paulo. Our prediction for Mary Stoiana v Paula Badosa is for the exact score: 0-2.

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 0-2

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.