Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Guadalajara

WTA - WTA Guadalajara

WTA 10 Ukraine
Marta Kostyuk
17/09/2026 19:00
WTA 50
Liudmila Samsonova

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 2-1

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Three years after their last meeting, Marta Kostyuk and Liudmila Samsonova get to face off again, this time at WTA Guadalajara. The two will be meeting for the fifth time in a match dominated by Samsonova. Twice in the last three meetings between these two, the matches were settled in three sets, and our prediction backs the same here.

Top seed Marta Kostyuk is a favorite to go all the way here in Guadalajara and approaches this match without having spent a minute on the court. After her first round bye, her second round opponent, Taylor Townsend, withdrew.

Here Kostyuk will have the best chance to avenge her earlier four defeats to this opponent. A great season she’s had, the Ukrainian gets here on a 36-9 record, with titles at Rouen and Madrid.

Samsonova has a winning record against Kostyuk that she will be looking to extend here. In their four previous meetings, the Russian posted straight wins.

The latest of them was, however, three years ago, and here she will find a very different player in Kostyuk. Samsonova comes here on a losing run, having compiled an 18-21 record for the season.

Most of her runs this season ended in the early rounds, and she hasn’t progressed past the quarter-finals in any. In her last outing, Samsonova saw off Kayla Day in three sets to reach the last eight here for the first time.

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Marta Kostyuk v Liudmila Samsonova Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.24 3.8
1xbet
1.28 3.86
Melbet
1.26 3.8
Betwinner
1.26 3.8
Bet365
1.25 4
Check all Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova odds

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Who will win the Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova match is: exact score: 2-1.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova game on 17/09/2026 of the current WTA Guadalajara season:

  • Marta Kostyuk has a 54.45% chance to win against Liudmila Samsonova according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.29.
  • Liudmila Samsonova has a 45.55% probability of winning facing Marta Kostyuk ⭐ with odds of 4 at Bet365.

Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Marta Kostyuk has a 54.45 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Marta Kostyuk54.45 %
Liudmila Samsonova45.55 %

Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Form

Marta Kostyuk and Liudmila Samsonova Last Matches

Marta Kostyuk Last matches
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

6 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Marta Kostyuk
1 :  2
Linda Noskova

4 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Marta Kostyuk
2 :  0
Ekaterina Alexandrova

2 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Marta Kostyuk
2 :  0
Sloane Stephens

30 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Marta Kostyuk
2 :  0
Storm Sanders

21 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Coco Gauff
2 :  0
Marta Kostyuk

19 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Marta Kostyuk
2 :  1
Mirra Andreeva
Liudmila Samsonova Last matches
W L W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

14 Sept 2026 - WTA Guadalajara

Elsa Jacquemot
0 :  2
Liudmila Samsonova

31 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Maya Joint
2 :  1
Liudmila Samsonova

16 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Coco Gauff
2 :  1
Liudmila Samsonova

14 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Yulia Putintseva
1 :  2
Liudmila Samsonova

9 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Liudmila Samsonova
1 :  2
Elena Rybakina

7 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Maya Joint
1 :  2
Liudmila Samsonova

Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Marta Kostyuk

0 %

Liudmila Samsonova

100 %

4 Oct 2023 - WTA China Open

Liudmila Samsonova
2 :  1
Marta Kostyuk

4 Aug 2023 - WTA Washington Citi Open

Liudmila Samsonova
2 :  0
Marta Kostyuk
Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Prediction

Marta Kostyuk - Liudmila Samsonova Key Points

  1. Samsonova has a 0-3 record at the quarter-finals this season.
  2. Six of Samsonova’s last seven meetings needed a deciding set.
  3. Kostyuk is on a 5-1 record in the quarter-finals this season.
  4. Kostyuk posted seven wins in her last 10 outings.
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Our Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Prediction

Marta Kostyuk must have been waiting for this moment. Back in the day, when Samsonova was a top-20 player, she recorded four straight wins over Kostyuk. The script has changed, and it is Kostyuk who is better ranked now, and she is likely to dominate here.

The Ukrainian has won two titles this season and has only lost once in six quarter-final matches. With her opponent losing all her three quarter-finals so far this season, Kostyuk will be the favorite to progress here. Our prediction for Marta Kostyuk v Liudmila Samsonova is for the exact score: 2-1.

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 2-1

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.