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Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA China Open

WTA - WTA China Open

WTA 28 Ukraine
Marta Kostyuk
01/10/2025 05:10
WTA 7 USA
Jessica Pegula

Prediction :

 

Jessica Pegula wins the match

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Tennis Predictions

Marta Kostyuk, the 23rd seed at the Beijing Open, will face off with fifth seed Jessica Pegula in the fourth round. These two meet for the fifth time, with the winner advancing to battle Emma Navarro or Iga Swiatek. We have a prediction for this match below.

Kostyuk has had an easy ride in Beijing and will get her first really tough match when she takes on Pegula. The Ukrainian got a first-round bye before meeting two qualifiers in the second and third rounds.

Here she is coming from a straight-sets win against Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the third round. She has now compiled a 28-18 record and is gunning for her fourth quarter-final appearance of the season.

She’s also never been beyond the fourth round in Beijing, and she’s 27th in the live rank.

Pegula is eyeing an 11th WTA title and fourth for 2025. She has already been to five finals this year alone and comes here sitting seventh in the live rank.

The American is coming off a tough third-round outing, where she needed a third set to see off Emma Raducanu. That was her 45th win in a run of 64 matches in 2025. On hard courts, Pegula has compiled a 30-12 record so far.

If her fourth-round numbers are anything to go by, this should be easy sailing. She has posted an 8-2 record in this round and will target to go past the fourth round for the first time in Beijing.

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The Best Betting Odds for Marta Kostyuk v Jessica Pegula Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.38 1.57
William Hill
2.2 1.67
Betway
2.25 1.65
Ladbrokes
2.2 1.6
Unibet
2.5 1.53
Check all Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula odds
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Who will win the Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula match is: Jessica Pegula wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula game on 01/10/2025 of the current WTA China Open season:

  • Marta Kostyuk has a 50.42% chance to win against Jessica Pegula according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 2.5.
  • Jessica Pegula has a 49.58% probability of winning facing Marta Kostyuk ⭐ with odds of 1.67 at William Hill.

Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Marta Kostyuk has a 50.42 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Marta Kostyuk50.42 %
Jessica Pegula49.58 %

Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Form

Marta Kostyuk and Jessica Pegula Last Matches

Marta Kostyuk Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

28 Sep 2025 - WTA China Open

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

27 Sep 2025 - WTA China Open

Ella Seidel
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

19 Sep 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Elisabetta Cocciaretto
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

17 Sep 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

1 Sep 2025 - WTA US Open

Marta Kostyuk
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

30 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Diane Parry
1 :  2
Marta Kostyuk
Jessica Pegula Last matches
L L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

29 Sep 2025 - WTA China Open

Emma Raducanu
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

27 Sep 2025 - WTA China Open

Ajla Tomljanovic
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

21 Sep 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

20 Sep 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Jessica Pegula
2 :  1
Katie Boulter

17 Sep 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

4 Sep 2025 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula

Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Marta Kostyuk

50 %

Jessica Pegula

50 %

24 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami

Marta Kostyuk
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

2 Mar 2024 - WTA San Diego Open

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk
Compare Marta Kostyuk and Jessica Pegula with our comparison tool.

Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula Key Points

  1. Kostyuk has 28 wins so far this season.
  2. Pegula has posted 45 wins in the season so far.
  3. Kostyuk trails Pegula 3-1 in the two players’ previous meetings.
  4. Pegula has recorded an 8-2 run in the fourth round this season.
  5. Pegula has compiled a 30-12 record on hard courts this season.
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Our Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Prediction

While Marta Kostyuk has looked sharp this season, her numbers still don’t measure up to Pegula. In the four previous meetings with Pegula, she managed to win just once, and we don’t see much changing in that regard. Pegula is having a tremendous season and has already graced five finals.

A win here will see her record her best performance in Beijing, having only been to the fourth round before. The American had to fight from losing a set in the last round, and we expect to see the same here given Kostyuk’s performances too. Our prediction for Marta Kostyuk v Jessica Pegula is that Jessica Pegula wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Jessica Pegula wins the match

 
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When you place a bet on the match between Marta Kostyuk and Jessica Pegula you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

It does not matter whether you bet on Marta Kostyuk or Jessica Pegula , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
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