Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Marseille
01/11/2026 14:45
Toulouse

Prediction :

 

Marseille wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Marseille will be at home to host Toulouse in their next Ligue 1 encounter, looking to extend their long unbeaten run in this fixture. Heading into this encounter, Marseille are ninth, two places and as many points ahead of Toulouse. Marseille have a long undefeated history in this encounter, and our prediction tips them to extend the run.

The hosts have put behind them their poor start to the season in Ligue 1 and are coming here on three straight wins. It isn’t just that; they also have a long undefeated streak in this fixture, going back to 24 games in Ligue 1.

Les Phocéens won 15 of those and will be banking a lot on that.

Toulouse come here as underdogs even as they are unbeaten in their last five league matches. The visitors have been the draw masters in Ligue 1; no team has drawn more than their current tally of four ahead of this round.

They registered one in their latest outing, a 0-0 outcome at home against Troyes. As they lack a strong record in Ligue 1 on the road, Toulouse may have to wait longer for their third win of the season.

This season, while they are unbeaten on the road, they have just won once in four.

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Marseille v Toulouse Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.91 3.95 3.55
1xbet
2.04 4.09 3.55
Melbet
1.97 3.94 3.42
Betwinner
1.97 3.94 3.42
22bet
1.88 4.00 3.68
Check all Marseille vs Toulouse odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Toulouse?

Our prediction for the Marseille vs Toulouse match is: Marseille wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2026 between Marseille and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.9% for a win of Marseille against Toulouse with odds of 2.04 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Toulouse is 25.52% with odds of 4.09 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Marseille with odds of 3.68 at 22bet.

Marseille vs Toulouse Form

Marseille and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Marseille
12 8 4 0 4 +5
11 Toulouse
10 8 2 4 2 +1

Marseille and Toulouse Last Matches

Marseille
Marseille Last matches
L W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  3
Le Havre

22 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
Marseille

18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Marseille
0 :  1
Olympiacos

11 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
0 :  2
Marseille

20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  2
PSG
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  3
Le Havre

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Marseille
0 :  1
Olympiacos

20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  2
PSG

6 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  3
Paris FC

21 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  0
Strasbourg

14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
Marseille

18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille

11 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
0 :  2
Marseille

17 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
4 :  1
Marseille

11 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

30 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Marseille
Toulouse
Toulouse Last matches
L D W D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Troyes

16 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
0 :  3
Toulouse

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  2
Toulouse

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  2
Le Havre

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Toulouse

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille
W L L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Troyes

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  2
Le Havre

3 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Lille

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  2
Lyon

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
Hamburg

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
2 :  1
Real Sociedad
W L D D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

16 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Mans FC
0 :  3
Toulouse

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  2
Toulouse

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Toulouse

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  2
Toulouse

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
3 :  0
Toulouse

3 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
Toulouse

Marseille vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

50 %

Draw

50 %

Toulouse

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
2.17
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Marseille

4 Mar 2026 - French Cup

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  2
Toulouse

31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  3
Marseille

21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Marseille
Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Marseille vs Toulouse last Lineups

Marseille

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. De Lange
22
T. Weah
4
C. Egan-Riley
21
N. Aguerd
33
Emerson
6
N. Tocukvu
23
P. Hojbjerg
77
A. Harit
8
H. Abdelli
14
I. Paixao
9
A. Gouiri
20
C. Tengstedt
13
J. Russell-Rowe
8
T. Jorgensen
14
N. Sigur
23
C. Casseres Jr
15
A. Donnum
12
C. Tape
3
M. McKenzie
2
R. Nicolaisen
22
R. Messali
16
G. Restes

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Toulouse

Substitutes

Marseille
Marseille
Goalkeeper

T. Vermot

Defender

K. Bezahaf

B. Meite

U. Garcia

Midfielder

G. Kondogbia

N. Kamissoko

A. Gomes

Forward

K. Abdallah

N. Maupay

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

T. Collin

Defender

I. Diallo

S. Koumbassa

Midfielder

N. Schmidt

M. Amougou

A. Vossah

Forward

S. Hidalgo

J. Vignolo

I. Azizi

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

D. Cornelius

Toulouse
Toulouse
Midfielder

R. Messali

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Marseille
CD Huachipato Toulouse
Top Goalscorer
Algeria A. Gouiri (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark C. Tengstedt (5 Goals)
Best assists
Italy Emerson (3 Assists)
Best assists
Venezuela C. Casseres Jr (5 Assists)

Marseille and Toulouse Stats in Ligue 1

Marseille
Marseille
Toulouse
Toulouse
50%
Wins
25%
50%
Losses
25%
0%
Draws
50%
3.88
Average goals per match
2.88
2.25
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.63
Goals conceded per match
1.38
38%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
63%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
25%
No goals conceded
25%
50%
BTTS
50%

Marseille - Toulouse Key Points

  1. Marseille are unbeaten in 24 matches against Lorient.
  2. Marseille have won each of their last three Ligue 1 matches.
  3. Marseille have only lost three of their last 12 home league games.
  4. Toulouse have only won three of their last 11 away league games.
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Our Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Our prediction for Marseille v Toulouse is that Marseille wins. Toulouse haven’t won a lot of their away matches in Ligue 1, and that will not favor them a lot here. They face off with a Marseille side that has set out well in home matches in Ligue 1.

The hosts have also dominated this particular fixture, going unbeaten in 24 league meetings and in the process winning 15. As Marseille have also picked up lately, winning three straight league games, they have our backing here.

Prediction :

 

Marseille wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.