31 March 2024 - 14:45

- Day 27

France - Ligue 1

Marseille

PSG

Prediction :

PSG wins the match

Exclusive Offer

$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Marseille vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

Prediction published on 31/03/2024, 08:00 by Ian John | Modified on 31/03/2024 at 08:12 in Ligue 1 Prediction

The best home record in Ligue 1 takes on the best away as Marseille host Paris St Germain at the Stade Velodrome in Sunday Night's big game in France (Kick off 7.45pm). Le Classique is regarded as the biggest game in French Football and current Champions and Ligue 1 leaders Paris St Germain can expect a very warm welcome from the home fans on the Virage Nord. The league title may not be on the line in this game, but the rivalry will be as fierce as ever.

Up to $200 to bet on Marseille - PSG!

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v PSG Match

1	X	2
3.4	3.75	2.05
3.47	3.96	2.11
3.47	3.96	2.11
3.34	3.8	2.03

Check all Marseille vs PSG odds

Up to $200 to bet on Marseille - PSG!

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Who will win the Marseille vs PSG Football match?

The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Marseille and PSG of Ligue 1 on 3/31/24 :

There is a probability of 29.5% ⭐ for Marseille to win this match against PSG ⚽ with odds of 3.47 found at 1xbet.
1xbet ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.96 which implies a probability of 23.43%.
Currently, the best odds ⭐ for PSG to win the match are about 2.11 at 1xbet. That means a probability of 47.07%.

Marseille vs PSG Form

Marseille and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1 PSG	70	31	20	10	1	47
7 Marseille	44	31	11	11	9	9

Marseille and PSG Last Matches

Marseille Last matches

W W W W L L

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals

3.83

BTTS

50%

Goals scored

2.67

Goals conceded

1.17

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Rennes

2 : 0

Marseille

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Villarreal

3 : 1

Marseille

10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

2 : 0

Nantes

7 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Marseille

4 : 0

Villarreal

2 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Clermont

1 : 5

Marseille

25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

4 : 1

Montpellier Hsc

PSG Last matches

D D W D W W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals

3.5

BTTS

83%

Goals scored

2.33

Goals conceded

1.17

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Montpellier Hsc

2 : 6

PSG

13 Mar 2024 - French Cup

PSG

3 : 1

Nice

10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG

2 : 2

Reims

5 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Real Sociedad

1 : 2

PSG

1 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Monaco

0 : 0

PSG

25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG

1 : 1

Rennes

Marseille against PSG : Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

17 %

Draw

17 %

PSG

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals

2.33

BTTS

33%

Goals scored (Team 1)

0.5

Goals scored (Team 2)

1.83

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

24 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG

4 : 0

Marseille

26 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille

0 : 3

PSG

8 Feb 2023 - French Cup

Marseille

2 : 1

PSG

16 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1

PSG

1 : 0

Marseille

17 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1

PSG

2 : 1

Marseille

24 Oct 2021 - Ligue 1

Marseille

0 : 0

PSG

Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Marseille - PSG: Form Analysis

To say Marseille's season has a Jekyll and Hyde quality to it is an understatement. At home, Marseille have been the best team in Ligue 1. Unbeaten in their 13 home games, they have won eight and drawn five this season, conceding just seven, the joint-second best defensive record in Ligue 1, while their 24 goals are the 2nd best behind PSG (33) and Rennes (28). In contrast, on the road Marseille have lost seven of their 13 games, winning just twice and drawing four times. They have also lost three of their last five away games, drawing one and winning one. That discrepancy in form is a large reason why Marseille, despite that home record, lies 7th in the Ligue 1 table, three points behind Lens in sixth and level on points with Rennes who lie below them on goal difference.

Ligue 1 leaders Paris St Germain seem set for yet another league title win. The mega-rich side from the capital have a 12 point lead over Brest in second place in the table and a +23 better goal difference than the second placed team. Incredibly, PSG's away record is even better than Marseille's home record with the leaders having won nine and drawn four of their thirteen away games, conceding just nine goals in the process and scoring an impressive 29 goals. They have won four of their last five away games, drawing the other. Far better form that at home where they have drawn three and won one of the last four. They have won six penalties in their 13 away games and are unbeaten in their last 21 Ligue 1 games, winning 15 and drawing 6.

Up to $200 to bet on Marseille - PSG!

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Marseille against PSG Lineups: Starting 11

Marseille

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

P. Lopez

U. Garcia

C. Mbemba

L. Balerdi

Q. Merlin

J. Veretout

G. Kondogbia

A. Harit

I. Ndiaye

Luis Henrique

P. Aubameyang

K. Mbappe

R. Kolo Muani

O. Dembele

F. Ruiz

Vitinha

W. Zaire-Emery

L. Hernandez

L. Beraldo

D. Pereira

A. Hakimi

G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

PSG

Missing players

Marseille

Defender

B. Meite

Q. Merlin

C. Mbemba

Midfielder

V. Rongier

B. Nadir

E. Soglo

PSG

Goalkeeper

S. Rico

Defender

P. Kimpembe

Marseille & PSG Squad Analysis

Marseille's defense has had a number of injuries to contend with in recent times. Right back Jonathan Clauss is out along with Amir Murillo, Samuel Gigot, Bamo Meite, Leonardo Balerdi and Ulisses Garcia. This does leave Marseille severely understaffed in defense with Quentin Merlin and Chancel Mbemba their only two fit specialist defenders, though Geoffrey Kondogbia could drop into a defensive role while Leo Jousselin and Roggerio Nyakossi could make the step up from their B team. Midfielders Valentin Rongier and Jean Onana are also ruled out, while winger Ismaila Sarr will also be out with a hamstring injury. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has been one of their top performers this season, netting 11 goals in 26 Ligue 1 games so far this season, as well as another 11 in European competition.

Similarly, Paris St Germain also have injury absentees in defense too. Milan Skriniar, Presnel Kimpembe, Layvin Kurzawa and club captain Marquinhos are all out injured, while young striker Bradley Barcola picked up an injury when playing for France Under-23s last week, and he joins winger Marco Asensio who is also out with an injury. With three of their first choice back four on the sidelines, Marseille may hope to profit from the lack of options PSG have in defense, but they will also have to contend with the brilliant Kylian Mbappe who, in his final season with PSG has scored 24 goals in 24 Ligue 1 games and a total of 38 goals in 37 matches for the club this season - despite not finishing 90 minutes that often under Luis Enrique.

Marseille - PSG Key Points

Marseille have picked up 29 of their 39 points at home this season, the best record in Ligue 1. However, they have drawn three of their last five at the Orange Velodrome.
Paris St Germain have picked up 31 points from 39 available on the road this season, comfortably the best away record in the league. They are unbeaten in all 13 away matches this season.
Both teams have scored in 62% of PSG's games this season and 65% of their games have seen Over 2.5 goals.
Paris St Germain have scored 15 more goals in Ligue 1 (62) than the team with the next best scoring record (Monaco with 47). Defensively only Nice and Brest have conceded fewer goals (20 compared to 23).
Marseille have faced Paris St Germain 88 times in total, winning 32, losing 36 and drawing 20. Paris St Germain have won on each of the last four occasions the teams have met. Marseille have not beaten PSG at home since a 3-0 win in 2011/12.
Paris St Germain were 4-0 winners when the teams met at the Parc des Princes earlier this season. Achraf Hakimi (8), Randal Kolo Muani (37) and Goncalo Ramos (47,89) handing the home side a comfortable win.

Up to $200 to bet on Marseille - PSG!

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Marseille vs PSG Prediction

The 0 has to go when Marseille faces Paris St Germain on Sunday night in Ligue 1, but the question is, who will be coming out on top of this game? Unfortunately, I think there's one piece of data which is crucial to this fixture and that is Marseille's lengthy defensive injury list. With so many key defenders missing and coming up against the best attack in France, and a team who have beaten them regularly in recent times, our prediction here is for Paris St Germain to take the victory.

Prediction :

PSG wins the match

Exclusive Offer

$200 offered for betting!

Marseille vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions

Kylian Mbappe (Paris St Germain) to score at any time

Kylian Mbappe's phenomenal goalscoring record for Paris St Germain cannot go understated. His hat-trick in the last game against Montpellier took his tally to 24 goals in 24 games this season, many of which he played only 45-60 minutes in. He has added 14 more in cup and European competitions and against that under-strength Marseille defense, he looks a great bet to score at some point in the game. Our second prediction therefore is for Kylian Mbappe to score at any time.

Get Your First Bet Back!

Welcome Bonus Caesars Sportsbook is offering an extraordinary opportunity for new bettors with their $1,000 First Bet Back promotion. Starting from September 19, 2023, eligible participants who are 21 or older and physically present in states like AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, or WY, can take advantage of this offer. To qualify, individuals must open a new Caesars Sportsbook Mobile or Online Account during the promotion period and register using a special promo code. This offer is a grand chance for newcomers to experience the thrill of sports betting with a significant Bonus Bet, courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.

Up to $200 to bet on Marseille - PSG!

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Marseille vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions

Benoit Bastien will referee the Le Classique on Sunday night.

Bastien has refereed 14 Ligue 1 games this season, awarding 57 yellow cards but just one red. He has refereed Marseille on three previous occasions this season, and Paris St Germain twice.

Marseille have lost on all three occasions Bastien has refereed their games this season, while PSG have won on both occasions he has refereed their fixtures.

He will have Aurelien Berthomieu and Hicham Zakrani as his two assistants and Marc Bollengier will be the fourth official. Jeremie Pignard will be the VAR official and Hamid Guenaoui will be his assistant VAR official.

The weather for the game between Marseille and Paris St Germain on Sunday could be changeable.

Ahead of the game starting, there is a 50-60% chance of rain just prior to kick off, but the rain should ease off throughout the game, perhaps stopping before the final whistle.

Temperatures will be around 15 degrees centigrade and windier than usual conditions are expected as the rain blows in with gusts up to 25mph expected around kick off time.

UK football fans can tune in to watch Marseille take on Paris St Germain in Ligue One on Sunday 31st March (7.45pm kick off) by tuning in to the subscription channel TNT Sports 1. It is one of four Ligue 1 games scheduled to be shown live on TNT Sports on Sunday.

If you do not have a TNT subscription, then you can catch the data updates live on the Marseille vs Paris St Germain Livescore page.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.