Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mallorca Open
ATP - ATP Mallorca Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Lorenzo Sonego faces fellow unseeded player Mariano Navone in round one of the grass court Mallorca Open. Neither player are in great form on this surface and looking at the statistics, we could be in for a long match here. Our prediction is more than 9.5 games being played in set one.
Sonego has played three grass court matches this year and lost two of them. He was beaten in the second qualifying round in Halle last week. Then the Italian was reinstated as a lucky loser but was beaten by BOSS Open winner Ben Shelton 7-5 6-3. He has only won five matches this year.
Sonego will hope to return to the form that saw him get to the fourth round at Wimbledon last year.
He leads Navone 2-0 in previous meetings and has never lost a set to him. One of the victories was at Wimbledon two years ago.
Mariano Navone is far more at home on clay courts with just two wins and six losses on grass. This is his first grass court tournament of the year. In 2025, he had a 2-2 record. He reached round two at Wimbledon but was beaten in the qualifying rounds of this tournament.
The only other years he has played on grass were in 2023 and 2024 and he lost all four matches.
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Mariano Navone v Lorenzo Sonego Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.11 | 1.73 |
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2.11 | 1.73 |
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2.11 | 1.73 |
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2 | 1.8 |
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|
2.04 | 1.72 |
|
Who will win the Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego match is: more than 9.5 games in set one.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego game on 21/06/2026 of the current ATP Mallorca Open season:
- Mariano Navone has a 53% chance to win against Lorenzo Sonego according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.11.
- Lorenzo Sonego has a 47% probability of winning facing Mariano Navone ⭐ with odds of 1.8 at Bet365.
Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Mariano Navone has a 53 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | 53 % |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 47 % |
Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego Form
Mariano Navone and Lorenzo Sonego Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 May 2026 - ATP French Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
23 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
22 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
21 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
20 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
17 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
14 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
13 Jun 2026 - ATP Halle Open
27 May 2026 - ATP French Open
24 May 2026 - ATP French Open
18 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
20 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
1 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Mariano Navone - Lorenzo Sonego Key Points
- More than 9.5 games have been played in four of Sonego''s last five matches on all surfaces.
- Seven of the last ten matches played by Navone have seen more than 9.5 games played.
- In the two previous matches played between Sonego and Navone, both had more than 9.5 games played in the first set.
- Those two previous matches (one on grass) saw five sets played, all with at least ten games.
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Our Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction
Lorenzo Sonego has lost his last two grass court matches. He has had just one qualifying round win so far and just five on all surfaces this year. His one previous match against Navone saw him win in straight sets.
Mariano Navone has won 258 professional clay court matches but just two on grass. This is his first grass court tournament of the year. There have been two previous meetings (one at Wimbledon) and all five sets have had at least ten games. Our Mariano Navone v Lorenzo Sonego prediction is more than 9.5 games in set one.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
