ATP - ATP Hangzhou Open
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions
Round of 32 action continues with Mariano Navone taking on Learner Tien in the ATP 250 Hangzhou on hardcourt. Tien is heavily backed by bookies and punters to come out on top, but their H2H and the nature of knockouts say otherwise. Find the best bet in our Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien match prediction below.
There can only be one winner, and picking Learner Tien to come out on top is straightforward enough. However, considering Mariano Navone actually beat Learner Tien in straight sets earlier this year, we think going for the “two total sets” bet is a smarter move. And that’s not just because of their only meeting.
For Learner Tien, he’s now seen a whopping 17 singles in a row end in 2 sets, which involved eight losses. The same goes for Mariano Navone, who’s seen four of his last six end in two sets, and 13 of his last 17. These are just stats that cannot be ignored.
Learner Tien is coming off a straight-sets defeat against Novak Djokovic in the US Open Grand Slam, which isn’t too surprising. On the other hand, Mariano Navone did feature in a 5-set thriller in his defeat against Marcos Giron, but we still see this one ending in straight sets for either player.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mariano Navone v Learner Tien Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.3 | 1.62 |
|
|
2.3 | 1.6 |
|
|
2.3 | 1.55 |
|
|
2.28 | 1.64 |
|
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Who will win the Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien match is: Total Sets - 2.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien game on 17/09/2025 of the current ATP Hangzhou Open season:
- Mariano Navone has a 49.02% chance to win against Learner Tien according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 2.45.
- Learner Tien has a 50.98% probability of winning facing Mariano Navone ⭐ with odds of 1.64 at Unibet.
Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Mariano Navone has a 49.02 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | 49.02 % |
| Learner Tien | 50.98 % |
Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien Form
Mariano Navone and Learner Tien Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
20 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
19 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
18 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
8 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
6 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Mariano Navone - Learner Tien Key Points
- The only H2H between Mariano Navone and Learner Tien ended in two sets.
- Tien’s last 17 singles in a row ended in straight sets.
- Four of Navone’s last six singles ended in straight sets.
- Of Navone’s last 17 games, 13 have ended in straight sets.
- According to Sofascore, when the odds to win are 2.50 for Navone, with an implied probability of 40%, he actually wins 82% of the time.
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Our Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien Prediction
Tien might indeed get his revenge against Navone in this matchup, but an outright win might be tougher than the betting odds indicate. Not only did Navone win their only H2H in straight sets, but he did so even with much higher odds. So, for us, backing the favourite in this one is riskier than the odds suggest.
However, what we feel is more likely to happen is this game finishing in two sets. After all, that’s how their only meeting ended. And what’s more, Tien’s last 17 singles ended in straight sets, with 13 of Navone’s last 17 following the same pattern. Hence, our Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien prediction is Total Sets - 2.
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Try your luck on this year's ATP Hangzhou Open! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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