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Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction & Betting Tips - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

ATP - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

ATP 57 USA
Marcos Giron
21/10/2025 11:20
ATP 23 Canada
Denis Shapovalov

Prediction :

 

Denis Shapovalov wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Ninth seed Denis Shapovalov takes on the unseeded Marcos Giron in the opening round of the 2025 Swiss Indoors event. This is their fourth meeting of the season. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Marcos Giron has returned to Basel hoping for a better showing than on his debut two seasons ago. The American suffered an opening round exit in his first appearance here. To avoid another early exit, he will have to up his game.

Giron has struggled recently and has won just one of his last five fixtures. This form highlights how 2025 has been for the 32-year-old, who has compiled a 21-25 record.

Despite his struggles, Giron has had success whenever paired up against Shapovalov. Currently 63rd in the live ranking, Giron has won twice against Shapovalov this season to improve to 3-1 in this fixture.

Denis Shapovalov arrives for this match in relatively better form than Giron. He, however, will know this is a tricky fixture, as he hasn’t fared well against the American.

The Canadian, who has compiled a 24-20 record, registered his only win against Giron in Acapulco earlier in the season. This year’s Dallas and Los Cabos champion, Shapovalov, won on his way to a semi-final finish in Mexico.

Currently ranked 24th in the live ranking, Shapovalov is coming off another last-four appearance in Stockholm.

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The Best Betting Odds for Marcos Giron v Denis Shapovalov Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.2 1.67
William Hill
2.2 1.67
Betway
2.1 1.7
Ladbrokes
2.15 1.65
Unibet
2.08 1.74
Check all Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov odds

Who will win the Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov match is: Denis Shapovalov wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov game on 21/10/2025 of the current Swiss Indoors ATP Basel season:

  • Marcos Giron has a 48.61% chance to win against Denis Shapovalov according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.2.
  • Denis Shapovalov has a 51.39% probability of winning facing Marcos Giron ⭐ with odds of 1.74 at Unibet.

Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Marcos Giron has a 48.61 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Marcos Giron48.61 %
Denis Shapovalov51.39 %

Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov Form

Marcos Giron and Denis Shapovalov Last Matches

Marcos Giron Last matches
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

15 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open

Marcos Giron
1 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

13 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open

Marcos Giron
2 :  0
Mattia Bellucci

2 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Marcos Giron
0 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

24 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Marcos Giron
1 :  2
Sebastian Korda

21 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Marcos Giron
1 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

19 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Marcos Giron
Denis Shapovalov Last matches
L W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

18 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

17 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Elias Ymer
1 :  2
Denis Shapovalov

15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Leo Borg
1 :  2
Denis Shapovalov

6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Jiri Lehecka

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Christopher O'Connell

24 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Daniel Altmaier
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Marcos Giron

75 %

Denis Shapovalov

25 %

7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Marcos Giron
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

27 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  1
Marcos Giron

7 Jan 2025 - Adelaide International

Marcos Giron
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

2 Apr 2024 - ATP Houston

Marcos Giron
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov
Compare Marcos Giron and Denis Shapovalov with our comparison tool.

Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov Key Points

  1. Giron has suffered 10 first-round losses in 2025.
  2. Shapovalov has defeated Giron once this season.
  3. Four of Giron’s last five outings have ended in defeat.
  4. Shapovalov has won seven of eight indoor duels this season.
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Our Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Giron has won three times previously against Shapovalov. However, he isn’t our best bet to win their coming duel. This is because he arrives for the match struggling with his form. The American has won just once in his last five outings and also has struggled on indoor surfaces.

Shapovalov, on the other hand, has found tremendous success indoors, with his season highlight coming on such a surface. Also, his only success against Giron came earlier in the season. Our prediction for Marcos Giron v Denis Shapovalov is that Denis Shapovalov wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Denis Shapovalov wins

 
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When you place a bet on the match between Marcos Giron and Denis Shapovalov you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

It does not matter whether you bet on Marcos Giron or Denis Shapovalov, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

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