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Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester United
25/05/2025 11:00
Aston Villa

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score - No

 
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 by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions

Fresh off of their immense disappointment in the Europa League final, Manchester United host Champions League seeking Aston Villa in the final matchday of the 2024-25 Premier League season. Read on for our match prediction.

It can’t be understated just how devastating the Europa League final defeat was for the Red Devils. They now face the sobering reality of their worst ever Premier League season combined with a lack of European football for only the second time in the last 35 years in the 2025-26 campaign. United sit 16th on 41 points, meaning the highest they can potentially finish would be 14th.

Aston Villa, on the other hand, find themselves in a much different situation. After an encouraging quarter-final run in the Champions League, the Villains are seeking a return to Europe’s premier club competition through a top-five finish in the league. Villa find themselves in sixth place, but even on 66 points with both fifth-placed Chelsea and fourth-place Newcastle. The visitors will likely need to win here and have other results go their way in what is sure to be a must-see final day!

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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Aston Villa Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.33 4.2 1.7
Betfred
3.75 4 1.73
Betway
4.5 4 1.7
Unibet
4.35 4.25 1.71
Vbet
4.3 4.1 1.68
Check all Manchester United vs Aston Villa odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Aston Villa?

Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Aston Villa match is: both teams to score - No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/05/2025 between Manchester United and Aston Villa in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.26% for a win of Manchester United against Aston Villa with odds of 4.65 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Aston Villa is 11.55% with odds of 4.35 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 46.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Manchester United with odds of 1.77 at Bwin.

Manchester United vs Aston Villa Form

Manchester United and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
66 37 19 9 9 9
16
Manchester United
Manchester United
39 37 10 9 18 -12

Manchester United and Aston Villa Last Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Last matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 May 2025 - Europa League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Manchester United

16 May 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Manchester United

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
West Ham

8 May 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

4 May 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  3
Manchester United

1 May 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Manchester United
W D W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
West Ham

8 May 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

20 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Wolves

17 Apr 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
5 :  4
Lyon

6 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City

13 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Real Sociedad
L D W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 May 2025 - Europa League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Manchester United

16 May 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Manchester United

4 May 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  3
Manchester United

1 May 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Manchester United

27 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Manchester United

13 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  1
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 May 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Tottenham

10 May 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Aston Villa

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Fulham

26 Apr 2025 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Aston Villa

22 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Aston Villa

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  1
Newcastle
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 May 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Tottenham

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Fulham

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  1
Newcastle

15 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
PSG

5 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Al Ain FC
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Aston Villa

26 Apr 2025 - FA Cup

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Aston Villa

22 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Aston Villa

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

9 Apr 2025 - Champions League

PSG
3 :  1
Aston Villa

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

Manchester United vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

67 %

Draw

17 %

Aston Villa

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

6 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Manchester United

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Manchester United

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Aston Villa

30 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  0
Aston Villa

10 Nov 2022 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
4 :  2
Aston Villa

6 Nov 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Manchester United
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Manchester United - Aston Villa: Form Analysis

Following their 1-0 defeat to Tottenham in the Europa League final on Wednesday, Manchester United have now lost their last three in a row. 

Things are even more grim when looking at their results in the Premier League. Ruben Amorim’s side are winless in their last eight league fixtures, six of which ended in defeat.

Manchester United have struggled all season with putting the ball in the net. With just 42 goals scored, the Red Devils are likely going to finish with their record lowest goals scored tally in Premier League history (previously 49 in the 2015-16 season).

A dramatic conclusion awaits with Aston Villa’s Champions League qualification coming down to the final day!

Unai Emery has transformed the side since arriving in November of 2022. He’s earned an average of 1.83 points per game across all competitions in his time in the West Midlands, putting him among the very best the club has ever seen.

After losing to Crystal Palace in the FA Cup semi-final, Aston Villa would go on to win their next three on the trot, all in the league. Most recently, the visitors ran out 2-0 winners at home against Tottenham in what was a one-sided contest.

Additionally, in the Premier League, Villa have been victorious in eight of their last nine contests. The winning streak has them right in the mix for UCL qualification, although their destiny isn’t completely in their own hands.

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Manchester United vs Aston Villa last Lineups

Manchester United

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

24
A. Onana
15
L. Yoro
5
H. Maguire
23
L. Shaw
3
N. Mazraoui
18
Casemiro
8
B. Fernandes
13
P. Dorgu
16
A. Diallo
9
R. Hojlund
7
M. Mount
11
O. Watkins
7
J. McGinn
21
M. Asensio
27
M. Rogers
24
A. Onana
44
B. Kamara
22
I. Maatsen
14
P. Torres
4
E. Konsa
2
M. Cash
23
E. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Aston Villa

Missing players

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

L. Martinez

M. De Ligt

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Midfielder

Y. Tielemans

J. Ramsey

Forward

M. Rashford

Manchester United & Aston Villa Squad Analysis

United boss Ruben Amorim will face a couple of tough team decisions for the final matchday of the season. It remains to be seen how the players will bounce back, but morale is likely pretty low in the dumps.

At the back, Lisandro Martinez continues to miss out while Dutchman Matthijs de Ligt is also a doubt. It’s likely we see youngsters Leny Yoro, Joshua Zirzkee and Kobbie Mainoo in some capacity after all appeared in the Europa League final.

Alejandro Garnacho made waves in the media following the defeat, stating that his future may lie somewhere else next season.

Unai Emery will be unable to call upon the injured Marcus Rashford, who had hit the ground running in this following his loan move from Manchester United. He’ll also likely be without midfielder Youri Tielemans, who will be a major miss in the engine room.

Tielemans has been one of Villa’s best players of the season.

The Belgium has been Mr. Dependable for Emery’s Aston Villa and has contributed five goals and 10 assists across 52 appearances this season. Tielemans hasn’t featured since May 3rd and could miss out once again with an ankle injury.

Despite not hitting the highs of last season’s 19 goal, 13 assist Premier League season, Ollie Watkins has still had a highly-productive year for the Villans. The 29-year-old has racked up 16 league goals and eight assists, bringing his all time Premier League goal tally to 75.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester United
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
Portugal B. Fernandes (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (17 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (16 Assists)
Best assists
England O. Watkins (12 Assists)
England M. Rogers (12 Assists)

Manchester United and Aston Villa Stats in Premier League

Manchester United
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
27%
Victories
51%
24%
Draw
24%
49%
Defeats
24%
2.59
Total goals per match
2.89
1.14
Goals scored per match
1.57
1.46
Goals conceded per match
1.32
51%
Over 2.5
65%
49%
Under 2.5
35%
43%
BTTS
62%
24%
No goals conceded
24%

Manchester United - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. Manchester United have failed to score in 15 of their 37 league fixtures, tied for the second-highest amount.
  2. Aston Villa have kept a clean sheet in their last three straight matches.
  3. 11 of Manchester United’s 18 home league games have seen at least one team fail to score.
  4. BTTS: No has come through in Aston Villa’s last four straight across all competitions.
  5. The reverse fixture between these two sides finished in a 0-0 draw.
Up to $300 to bet on Manchester United - Aston Villa! 

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Our Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction

It wouldn’t come as a huge shock if the Manchester United players showed up with a poor performance after the devastating loss in Bilbao. To make things even more difficult for the hosts, they’ve looked toothless on the attacking side of the ball lately, failing to find the net in their last three straight.

With how sparse both teams scoring has been at Old Trafford this season, this bet presents a very attractive price given the situation. Our Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction: both teams to score - No.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score - No

 
Exclusive Offer
$300 offered for betting!

Manchester United vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions

Aston Villa to win

Odds 1.7

Aston Villa need all three points while Manchester United have nothing left to play for. Additionally, the hosts are coming off a morale-crushing defeat in midweek and there is a real risk of a poor response from the players here. Back the side that desperately needs the win.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction
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