England - Premier League
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by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions
Fresh off of their immense disappointment in the Europa League final, Manchester United host Champions League seeking Aston Villa in the final matchday of the 2024-25 Premier League season. Read on for our match prediction.
It can’t be understated just how devastating the Europa League final defeat was for the Red Devils. They now face the sobering reality of their worst ever Premier League season combined with a lack of European football for only the second time in the last 35 years in the 2025-26 campaign. United sit 16th on 41 points, meaning the highest they can potentially finish would be 14th.
Aston Villa, on the other hand, find themselves in a much different situation. After an encouraging quarter-final run in the Champions League, the Villains are seeking a return to Europe’s premier club competition through a top-five finish in the league. Villa find themselves in sixth place, but even on 66 points with both fifth-placed Chelsea and fourth-place Newcastle. The visitors will likely need to win here and have other results go their way in what is sure to be a must-see final day!
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Aston Villa Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.33 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
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3.75 | 4 | 1.73 |
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4.5 | 4 | 1.7 |
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4.35 | 4.25 | 1.71 |
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4.3 | 4.1 | 1.68 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Aston Villa match is: both teams to score - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/05/2025 between Manchester United and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.26% for a win of Manchester United against Aston Villa with odds of 4.65 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Aston Villa is 11.55% with odds of 4.35 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Manchester United with odds of 1.77 at Bwin.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa Form
Manchester United and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6
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66 | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
16
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39 | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | -12 |
Manchester United and Aston Villa Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 May 2025 - Europa League
16 May 2025 - Premier League
11 May 2025 - Premier League
8 May 2025 - Europa League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
1 May 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Premier League
8 May 2025 - Europa League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 May 2025 - Europa League
16 May 2025 - Premier League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
1 May 2025 - Europa League
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League

4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2025 - Premier League
10 May 2025 - Premier League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2025 - Premier League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
Manchester United vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
30 Apr 2023 - Premier League
10 Nov 2022 - Carabao Cup
6 Nov 2022 - Premier League
Manchester United - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Following their 1-0 defeat to Tottenham in the Europa League final on Wednesday, Manchester United have now lost their last three in a row.
Things are even more grim when looking at their results in the Premier League. Ruben Amorim’s side are winless in their last eight league fixtures, six of which ended in defeat.
Manchester United have struggled all season with putting the ball in the net. With just 42 goals scored, the Red Devils are likely going to finish with their record lowest goals scored tally in Premier League history (previously 49 in the 2015-16 season).
A dramatic conclusion awaits with Aston Villa’s Champions League qualification coming down to the final day!
Unai Emery has transformed the side since arriving in November of 2022. He’s earned an average of 1.83 points per game across all competitions in his time in the West Midlands, putting him among the very best the club has ever seen.
After losing to Crystal Palace in the FA Cup semi-final, Aston Villa would go on to win their next three on the trot, all in the league. Most recently, the visitors ran out 2-0 winners at home against Tottenham in what was a one-sided contest.
Additionally, in the Premier League, Villa have been victorious in eight of their last nine contests. The winning streak has them right in the mix for UCL qualification, although their destiny isn’t completely in their own hands.
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Manchester United vs Aston Villa last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players

L. Martinez
M. De Ligt

Y. Tielemans
J. Ramsey
ForwardM. Rashford
Manchester United & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
United boss Ruben Amorim will face a couple of tough team decisions for the final matchday of the season. It remains to be seen how the players will bounce back, but morale is likely pretty low in the dumps.
At the back, Lisandro Martinez continues to miss out while Dutchman Matthijs de Ligt is also a doubt. It’s likely we see youngsters Leny Yoro, Joshua Zirzkee and Kobbie Mainoo in some capacity after all appeared in the Europa League final.
Alejandro Garnacho made waves in the media following the defeat, stating that his future may lie somewhere else next season.
Unai Emery will be unable to call upon the injured Marcus Rashford, who had hit the ground running in this following his loan move from Manchester United. He’ll also likely be without midfielder Youri Tielemans, who will be a major miss in the engine room.
Tielemans has been one of Villa’s best players of the season.
The Belgium has been Mr. Dependable for Emery’s Aston Villa and has contributed five goals and 10 assists across 52 appearances this season. Tielemans hasn’t featured since May 3rd and could miss out once again with an ankle injury.
Despite not hitting the highs of last season’s 19 goal, 13 assist Premier League season, Ollie Watkins has still had a highly-productive year for the Villans. The 29-year-old has racked up 16 league goals and eight assists, bringing his all time Premier League goal tally to 75.
Most goals and assists







Manchester United and Aston Villa Stats in Premier League


Manchester United - Aston Villa Key Points
- Manchester United have failed to score in 15 of their 37 league fixtures, tied for the second-highest amount.
- Aston Villa have kept a clean sheet in their last three straight matches.
- 11 of Manchester United’s 18 home league games have seen at least one team fail to score.
- BTTS: No has come through in Aston Villa’s last four straight across all competitions.
- The reverse fixture between these two sides finished in a 0-0 draw.
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Our Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction
It wouldn’t come as a huge shock if the Manchester United players showed up with a poor performance after the devastating loss in Bilbao. To make things even more difficult for the hosts, they’ve looked toothless on the attacking side of the ball lately, failing to find the net in their last three straight.
With how sparse both teams scoring has been at Old Trafford this season, this bet presents a very attractive price given the situation. Our Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction: both teams to score - No.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Aston Villa to win
Aston Villa need all three points while Manchester United have nothing left to play for. Additionally, the hosts are coming off a morale-crushing defeat in midweek and there is a real risk of a poor response from the players here. Back the side that desperately needs the win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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