England - Premier League
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by Thobelani Moyo in Premier League Predictions
Sunderland are out to put a dent in Manchester City's unyielding pursuit of a top spot when they make the trip to the Etihad Stadium on matchday 15 of the English Premier League. Read on for our match prediction.
Manchester City are in second place in the league standings with 28 points amassed from 14 games and five points behind the top spot. A win in this impending encounter could see them cut down the point gap to two, depending on results elsewhere.
Sunderland are hovering outside the European football spots just on goal differential, having accumulated 23 points and level on points with fifth-placed Crystal Palace. This is the first time in eight years that the Black Cats cross paths with Manchester City, and the last time they did so, they found themselves on the receiving end of a 2-0 home defeat. Will this time be any different? Check out our key stats for this match below!
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Sunderland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.25 | 6.5 | 10 |
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1.22 | 5.5 | 10 |
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1.25 | 6 | 10 |
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1.25 | 6 | 11 |
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1.22 | 6.5 | 13 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Sunderland?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Sunderland match is: Manchester City wins and under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/12/2025 between Manchester City and Sunderland in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.95% for a win of Manchester City against Sunderland with odds of 1.28 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Sunderland is 16.29% with odds of 6.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Manchester City with odds of 13 at Unibet.
Manchester City vs Sunderland Form
Manchester City and Sunderland's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
28 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
|
6
|
23 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Manchester City and Sunderland Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
Manchester City vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
5 Mar 2017 - Premier League
Manchester City - Sunderland: Form Analysis
Manchester City comes into this match off the back of a pulsating 5-4 away victory to Fulham on Tuesday. This marked their 19th consecutive win against the Cottagers.
The Citizens have now won two matches on the bounce in the Premier League after back-to-back losses. Overall, they've been impressive with six wins in their last eight matches.
Pep Guardiola's men have been a force at Etihad Stadium. They've won eight of their last nine matches at this venue, with the only blemish being a disappointing 2-0 defeat against Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Champions League.
The last time Sunderland won an away game against Manchester City was in 1998 in the EFL Championship!
Sunderland, on the other hand, salvaged a point in a 1-1 draw against defending champions Liverpool in their first meeting since 2017.
The Black Cats are unbeaten in their last two league games, but just one win in their last five matches (D3, L1) is nothing but an indication of inconsistent form.
In unfamiliar territory, they've gone two matches without a win. In fact, their road record this season is 2-2-3. Their struggles stem from an offense that ranks as the league's second-worst. They'll need to be at their best in the final third if they are to see off the threat of their opponents in this impending encounter.
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Manchester City vs Sunderland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
M. Kovacic
Rodri
A. Alese
L. Hjelde
MidfielderH. Diarra
Manchester City & Sunderland Squad Analysis
Manchester City continues to be without Rodri and Mateo Kovacic, who are recovering from thigh and heel injuries, respectively. Other than that, head coach Pep Guardiola has no injury concerns to worry about.
Erling Haaland has been a force of nature in the final third for his team this season. On Tuesday, the 25-year-old reached 100 goals for Manchester City in 111 Premier League games.
The Norwegian international will aim to get on the scoreboard once again this Saturday at Etihad Stadium. This has been his playground, with 57 of those goals being scored on home soil.
Erling Haaland is brimming with confidence after reaching a century in Premier League goals on Tuesday.
Sunderland boasts the third-best defensive away record in the league this season, with seven goals conceded from seven matches. Behind this defense has been Omar Alderete, Daniel Ballard, and Nordi Mukiele. The trio will be expected to keep the opposition quiet in front of goal.
Head coach Regis Le Bris is likely to go with a 5-4-1 formation in this impending encounter. Brian Brobbey will lead the attack and is out to get his third goal in ten appearances for the team.
Wilson Isidor has been the team's top goalscorer with four goals in 14 appearances. The 25-year-old is expected to make an impact off the bench, replacing Brobbey up front.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Sunderland
E. Haaland
(20 Goals)
W. Isidor
(4 Goals)
T. Reijnders
(5 Assists)
, 
J. Doku
(5 Assists)
G. Xhaka
(4 Assists)
Manchester City and Sunderland Stats in Premier League
Manchester City - Sunderland Key Points
- Manchester City have won their last two Premier League games.
- Sunderland have seen 85.71% of their Premier League games this season end with under 3.5 goals.
- Manchester City have won eight of their last nine home matches across all competitions.
- Sunderland have seen each of their last seven away league games end with under 3.5 goals.
- Manchester City concedes 0.86 goals per game at home, and Sunderland concedes 1 goal per game when playing away.
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Our Manchester City vs Sunderland Prediction
Manchester City are doing well at the moment, winning two consecutive league games. Their potent offense has been on full display, with eight goals scored in those outings. However, they come against a side that has been well-organized at the back, particularly on the road, meaning we could see a subdued offensive performance.
Sunderland have suffered seven consecutive defeats in this fixture, and their last three meetings have produced under 3.5 goals. Defeat is inevitable, but we believe they have it in them to frustrate their opponents here. Our Manchester City vs Sunderland prediction: Manchester City wins and under 3.5 goals.
Manchester City vs Sunderland - Other Interesting Predictions
Erling Haaland to score first
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