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Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester City
09/11/2025 11:30
Liverpool

Prediction :

 

Manchester City wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions

The Premier League will serve one blockbuster before shutting doors for the November international break. Manchester City are set to take on Liverpool in a match that will leave ramifications on the top four, at least for a week or so. Hosted at Anfield, this match comes when both City and the Reds are chasing runaway leaders Arsenal. We have below the match preview and a prediction.

City will enter the weekend sitting second, while Liverpool are third, the two trailing Arsenal by six and seven points, respectively. Neither of these sides can afford to drop points here, but at least one must. A fortnight ago City had the chance to close in on Arsenal but lost narrowly at Aston Villa. They’ve, however, responded well, with three straight wins.

Liverpool, on the other hand, have found some new energy and comes here on two straight wins. That run ended a period where they suffered six losses in seven matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Liverpool Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.85 4 3.8
Betfred
1.95 3.75 3.8
William Hill
1.91 3.8 3.5
Betway
1.88 4 3.6
Unibet
1.9 3.95 3.65
Check all Manchester City vs Liverpool odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Liverpool?

Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Liverpool match is: Manchester City wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Manchester City and Liverpool in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.93% for a win of Manchester City against Liverpool with odds of 1.95 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Liverpool is 8.82% with odds of 4 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Manchester City with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.

Manchester City - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:

Manchester City Liverpool Prediction Probability Odds
Manchester City wins 66.93% 1.95 at Betfred
Over 2.5 goals 58.21% 1.46 at Bwin
Both Team To Score 53.33% 1.45 at Betway
Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City 33.51% 3.1 at Betfair

Manchester City vs Liverpool Form

Manchester City and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Manchester City
Manchester City
22 11 7 1 3 15
8
Liverpool
Liverpool
18 11 6 0 5 1

Manchester City and Liverpool Last Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

2 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City

26 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
0 :  2
Manchester City

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

2 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

18 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

14 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United
W D W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City

26 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
0 :  2
Manchester City

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  2
Manchester City

24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup

Huddersfield Town
0 :  2
Manchester City
Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Aston Villa

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  5
Liverpool

19 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester United
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Aston Villa

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

19 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester United

23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
2 :  1
Southampton

20 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Everton
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  5
Liverpool

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Liverpool

30 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  0
Liverpool

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Liverpool

14 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool

Manchester City vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

33 %

Draw

33 %

Liverpool

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (home team)
1.5
Goals scored (away team)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

23 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Liverpool

1 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Manchester City

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Manchester City

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Liverpool

1 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Liverpool

22 Dec 2022 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
3 :  2
Liverpool
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Manchester City - Liverpool: Form Analysis

Manchester City, though showing signs of struggling defensively, have had a good audition for this clash. After their 1-0 loss to Aston Villa, City have scored 10 times in the three matches that followed.

The most recent of them was the Champions League meeting with Borussia Dortmund, which ended 4-1. They also rose from their home defeat to Tottenham Hotspur in their first home game of the season.

The Etihad Stadium is now a fortress with six straight wins following that defeat to Spurs. In each of those six matches, City scored two or more goals and managed three clean sheets.

Liverpool claimed two straight wins in their latest meetings with Manchester City.

Liverpool, who led the league standings with five clear points after matchday five, are getting back to their best.

A 1-0 win at home against Real Madrid in the Champions League will give the Reds much encouragement here. Arne Slot’s side has now pocketed two straight wins, having earlier overcome Aston Villa 2-0.

With two straight clean sheets, Liverpool have posted massive improvement, having earlier lost six of seven matches across all competitions.

Their away form, however, still needs some work, Liverpool having lost four of the last five away games.

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Manchester City against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11

Manchester City

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

25
G. Donnarumma
27
M. Nunes
3
R. Dias
24
J. Gvardiol
33
N. O'Reilly
20
B. Silva
14
N. Gonzalez
47
P. Foden
10
R. Cherki
9
E. Haaland
11
J. Doku
22
H. Ekitike
7
F. Wirtz
8
D. Szoboszlai
11
M. Salah
10
A. Mac Allister
38
R. Gravenberch
26
A. Robertson
4
V. Van Dijk
5
I. Konate
12
C. Bradley
25
G. Mamardashvili

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Liverpool

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Midfielder

M. Kovacic

Rodri

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

Alisson

Defender

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

J. Frimpong

Manchester City & Liverpool Squad Analysis

If looking for a possible star player for Manchester City in this game, it can only be Erling Haaland. The Norwegian is in superb form, and City and his country have benefited a lot.

The forward has scored 19 times in the last nine home matches alone for club and country. He is chasing a record to become the fastest Premier League player to reach 100 goals.

That will be achieved if he can score two more goals. No one in the city setup has come anywhere close to his numbers. With 13 league goals, City’s next best scorer has one goal.

Only Mateo Kovacic is a doubt for Manchester City.

On the Liverpool side, the goals are more spread out, but the usual suspect, Mohamed Salah, leads with four goals and two assists.

Having at least four players with three or more goals, Liverpool will feel more like a team and not a one-man show. It is an advantage, knowing goals can come from anywhere, but Salah will remain the main channel.

Dominik Szoboszlai has been one of their most outstanding players this season even though he only has two goal involvements. His versatility has seen him even play in defence and when called upon, he did well.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (19 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France H. Ekitike (5 Goals) Egypt M. Salah (5 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands T. Reijnders (5 Assists)
Best assists
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (4 Assists)

Manchester City - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Liverpool lost six times in their last nine outings.
  2. Manchester City have six wins in six matches at home.
  3. Liverpool won just once in their last five away matches.
  4. Manchester City beat Liverpool twice in the last three home meetings.
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Our Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction

Manchester City facing Liverpool is a growing rivalry that many Premier League enthusiasts have come to appreciate. This time this will be a special one, as both are playing catch-up. Last season, with Liverpool firmly in control of the title race, they won home and away.

The city will not entertain prospects of a repeat, and they come here feeling like the favorites. While they have six straight wins at home, Liverpool lost four of the last five away. Our prediction for Manchester City v Liverpool is that Manchester City wins.

Prediction :

 

Manchester City wins

 
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Manchester City vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions

Erling Haaland to score

Odds 1.72

Manchester City have been able to reap well on Erling Haaland’s talent. The Norwegian has this season been a goal machine for both club and country. Keeping him quiet can be impossible, and here we feel he will be a handful for the Liverpool defence. Our second prediction is for Erling Haaland to score.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Liverpool

Manchester City vs Liverpool Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Manchester City wins 1.91 1.85 -3.1%
Draw 3.9 4 +2.6%
Liverpool wins 3.6 3.8 +5.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Manchester City is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 54.1% (1.7%)

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Manchester City vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions

The Manchester City v Liverpool match will be played on Sunday, 9th November.

The Manchester City v Liverpool match will be played at the Etihad Stadium, in Manchester.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction

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