Spain - LaLiga
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by Kennedy Kechula | in LaLiga Predictions
Recent outings haven't been great for Mallorca or Atletico Madrid, and a return to winning ways will dominate the targets as they face off. Mallorca welcomes Atleti at the Estadi Son Moix on Sunday. Read on for our prediction of the match below.
Mallorca have so far failed to add to the one point gained in a 1-1 draw with Celta Vigo on matchday two. Three losses in the opening four matches have Mallorca sitting deep in the relegation zone.
They are one of the three teams on one point after four matches, and it will take some top effort from Mallorca to grab a first win this weekend. That is because they have failed to beat Atletico in the last five meetings.
Atletico are coming from Europe; they suffered a last-gasp 3-2 defeat to Liverpool in the Champions League. That was their first loss in four matches, a run in which they also managed just a win.
For the Spanish giants, it has generally been a tough start to the season; before heading to Liverpool, they had beaten Villarreal 2-0, meaning they have scored in each of their five matches so far.
The team’s fighting spirit will also be a factor to encourage away fans that better will come. In the two meetings with Mallorca last season, Atletico posted straight wins.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mallorca v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 3.6 | 1.75 |
|
|
5 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.8 | 3.3 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
|
|
5.1 | 3.55 | 1.71 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid match is: Atletico Madrid to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2025 between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.32% for a win of Mallorca against Atletico Madrid with odds of 5.1 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid is 21.99% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca with odds of 1.8 at Betfred.
Mallorca - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mallorca Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 47.69% | 1.8 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 54.54% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 22.33% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Form
Mallorca and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
22 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 |
|
17
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 |
Mallorca and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
14 May 2025 - LaLiga
5 May 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
10 May 2025 - LaLiga
24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
4 May 2024 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2022 - LaLiga
Players list
L. Roman
DefenderJ. Tenas
M. Valjent
A. Raillo
P. Torre
J. Mojica
MidfielderS. Darder
Abdon
A. Sanchez
ForwardM. Domenec
V. Muriqi
J. Oblak
DefenderR. Le Normand
C. Lenglet
D. Hancko
MidfielderM. Llorente
Koke
C. Gallagher
ForwardA. Griezmann
M. Ruggeri
A. Sorloth
N. Molina
Substitutes
L. Bergstrom
I. Cuellar
DefenderD. Lopez
P. Maffeo
Lato Toni
MidfielderJ. Tenas
P. Torre
O. Mascarell
A. Sanchez
M. Domenec
Abdon
Mateo Joseph
S. Esquivel
J. Musso
DefenderN. Molina
M. Ruggeri
M. Pubill
MidfielderT. Zanzi
C. Gallagher
A. Monserrate
A. Griezmann
J. Galan
ForwardA. Sorloth
C. Martin
Missing players
J. Llabres
J. Gimenez
MidfielderA. Baena
T. Almada
J. Cardoso
Most goals and assists
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
V. Muriqi
(5 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(9 Goals)
J. Mojica
(2 Assists)
G. Simeone
(5 Assists)
Mallorca - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Both teams scored in four of Atletico’s last five matches.
- Three of Mallorca’s four matches this season have had over 2.5 goals.
- Mallorca’s last three matches had both teams score.
- Atletico Madrid have five wins in the last five meetings with Mallorca.
- Mallorca are winless this season, losing three of the four matches.
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Our Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Mallorca haven't won this fixture since their back-to-back wins in 2022. A run of five straight defeats against Atletico means they come into the game as underdogs. The hosts are also winless in their opening four matches this season.
Not everything has gone against Atletico; one strength they take here is their fighting spirit and scoring run. With such qualities, we expect the visitors to carry the day. Our prediction for Mallorca v Atletico Madrid is for Atletico Madrid to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mallorca Atletico Madrid
| Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca wins | 4.75 | 5 | +5.3% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.6 | +10.8% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.83 | 1.75 | -4.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 57.1% (2.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
