Mali vs Ivory Coast Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Mali
03/02/2024 12:00
Ivory Coast

Prediction :

 

Mali wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah in AFCON Predictions

After upsets in the Round of 16 at AFCON 2023, Mali have emerged as second favorites to win it all. With their win over Burkina Faso, they’ve set up a quarterfinal clash against hosts Ivory Coast at the Peace Stadium in Bouake. The winner from this encounter proceeds to the semifinals where they’ll meet either DR Congo or Guinea. 

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Mali v Ivory Coast Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.45 2.75 2.27
1xbet
3.8 2.83 2.29
Melbet
3.42 2.98 2.34
Betwinner
3.46 3.03 2.3
Bet365
3.75 2.88 2.38

What is the prediction for the football match between Mali and Ivory Coast?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/02/2024 between Mali and Ivory Coast in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.74% for a win of Mali against Ivory Coast with odds of 3.8 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mali vs Ivory Coast is 19.93% with odds of 3.03 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Ivory Coast vs Mali with odds of 2.45 at LSbet.

Mali - Ivory Coast Prediction and Best Odds:

Mali Ivory Coast Prediction Probability Odds
Mali wins 48.74% 3.8 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 64.56% 1.4 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 56.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mali 19.48% 7.25 at LSbet

Mali vs Ivory Coast Form

Mali and Ivory Coast Last Matches

Mali
Mali Last matches
D W W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

30 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Mali
2 :  1
Burkina Faso

24 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Namibia
0 :  0
Mali

20 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Tunisia
1 :  1
Mali

16 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Mali
2 :  0
South Africa

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Mali
6 :  2
Guinea-Bissau

20 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Mali
1 :  1
Central African Republic
W W D W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Mali
2 :  1
Burkina Faso

16 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Mali
2 :  0
South Africa

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Mali
6 :  2
Guinea-Bissau

20 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Mali
1 :  1
Central African Republic

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Mali
3 :  1
Chad

8 Sept 2023 - AFCON

Mali
4 :  0
South Sudan
W L L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Namibia
0 :  0
Mali

20 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Tunisia
1 :  1
Mali

18 Jun 2023 - AFCON

Congo Republic
0 :  2
Mali

28 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Gambia
1 :  0
Mali

24 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship

Mauritania
1 :  0
Mali

9 Jun 2022 - AFCON

South Sudan
1 :  3
Mali
Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast Last matches
W W W L L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
Ivory Coast

22 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
4 :  0
Ivory Coast

18 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
0 :  1
Nigeria

13 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
2 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Ivory Coast
5 :  1
Sierra Leone

20 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Gambia
0 :  2
Ivory Coast
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
0 :  1
Nigeria

13 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
2 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Ivory Coast
5 :  1
Sierra Leone

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
9 :  0
Seychelles

9 Sept 2023 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
1 :  0
Lesotho

24 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Ivory Coast
3 :  1
Comoros
L W L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
Ivory Coast

22 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
4 :  0
Ivory Coast

20 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Gambia
0 :  2
Ivory Coast

17 Jun 2023 - AFCON

Zambia
3 :  0
Ivory Coast

28 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Comoros
0 :  2
Ivory Coast

27 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship

Algeria
1 :  0
Ivory Coast

Mali vs Ivory Coast Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Mali

0 %

Draw

0 %

Ivory Coast

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

8 Jul 2019 - AFCON

Mali
0 :  1
Ivory Coast

8 Oct 2016 - World Cup

Ivory Coast
3 :  1
Mali

Mali - Ivory Coast: Form Analysis

After two straight draws, Mali came back to life with a well-deserved 2-1 win over Burkina Faso in the Round of 16. While Burkina Faso went into that game favored based on their recent AFCON history, Mali made their pedigree count. This came albeit with a slice of luck, as Burkina Faso’s Edmond Tapsoba conceded an early own goal. The ever-reliable Lassine Sinayoko made sure the win was Mali’s with an early second half goal to double their lead. Bertrand Traore did pull one back just before the hour mark but in the end, it proved to be a mere consolation. Mali will be targeting their third win at this competition. As they are unbeaten in the last 11 matches, Mali will command some sizable respect from the hosts, and local fans. In those 11 matches, Mali have posted eight wins. That run should pump them up ahead of this game, seeking positivity after going winless in three previous meetings with Ivory Coast. Their last meeting came in July 2019, the Ivorians winning 1-0, the second in three matches. In their last 13 AFCON matches, Mali have only lost once inside 90 minutes. That defeat was inflicted by Ivory Coast.

Ivory Coast rose from the ashes to claim the biggest scalps so far at this competition. They eliminated favorites, defending champions Senegal at the Round of 16. Ahead of that game, the Ivorians had been written off, after a shambolic showing at the group stages. The hosts only managed to advance as one of the best third placed teams, managing three points from as many games. However, after conceding early against Senegal, they regrouped and gave a performance befitting the giants they are. Pulling back to draw 1-1. To break the tie, penalties were called and Ivory Coast emerged tops. Frank Kessie, who got their late leveler, was also on hand with the winning penalty, playing a real leader’s role. Ivory Coast have proven to not be great scorers, failing to score in two of the last three matches. However, after rising from their nightmare against Equatorial Guinea, the Elephants will want to stay alert under so much pressure. In four matches against Mali at AFCON, the Ivorians have never lost, winning three.

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Mali vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Mali against Ivory Coast Lineups: Starting 11

Mali

Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2

16
D. Diarra
2
H. Traore
5
Kiki
6
S. Niakate
17
F. Sacko
11
L. Coulibaly
8
D. Samassekou
4
A. Haidara
26
K. Doumbia
25
L. Sinayoko
21
A. Traore
20
C. Kouame
15
M. Gradel
6
S. Fofana
19
N. Pepe
8
F. Kessie
4
J. Seri
3
G. Konan
21
E. Ndicka
7
O. Kossounou
17
S. Aurier
1
Y. Fofana

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Ivory Coast

Substitutes

Mali
Mali
Goalkeeper

I. Diawara

Defender

M. Fofana

L. Sinayoko 88'

M. Diarra

Midfielder

B. Traore

L. Coulibaly 89'

Y. Bissouma

K. Doumbia 90'

A. Dieng

Forward

F. Diabate

A. Haidara 62'

I. Sissoko

D. Samassekou 102'

S. Koita

N. Dorgeles

A. Traore 62'

M. Doumbia

Y. Niakate

Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast
Goalkeeper

B. Sangare

Defender

W. Singo

N. Pepe 45'

W. Boly

S. Aurier 46'

I. Diallo

Midfielder

L. Amani

J. Boga

I. Sangare

Forward

J. Bamba

S. Haller

C. Kouame 46'

O. Diakite

M. Gradel 73'

K. Konate

S. Adingra

J. Seri 86'

Missing players

Mali
Mali
Midfielder

M. Camara

Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast

Mali & Ivory Coast Squad Analysis

Mali have a dangerman in Lassine Sinayoko. Whenever Mali have scored, Sinayoko has been on the score sheet. Here he will be targeting his fourth goal of the competition. Facing a defence that has been breached six times in the last three games, the Auxerre man will definitely be looking forward to this game. Yves Bissouma may however miss this game, after sitting out the Round of 16 with injury. Amadou haidara was also withdrawn with injury in the Burkina Faso game. In the Ivorians’ camp, Ibrahima Sangare will remain as a doubt following a nasty tackle by Sadio Mane in the last round. He was replaced by Frank Kessie, who should keep his place after a great cameo. Meanwhile, the Elephants welcomed back Sebastian Haller from Injury and the Dortmund man will be vying for a starting berth.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Mali
CD Huachipato Ivory Coast
Top Goalscorer
Mali L. Sinayoko (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast F. Kessie (2 Goals) Ivory Coast S. Haller (2 Goals)
Best assists
Mali K. Doumbia (2 Assists)
Best assists
Ivory Coast S. Adingra (2 Assists)

Mali - Ivory Coast Key Points

  1. Mali are unbeaten in 11 matches, winning eight
  2. Mali have two wins in their four matches at AFCON 2023
  3. Ivory Coast have two losses in their four matches at AFCON 2023
  4. Ivory Coast have failed to score in three of their last five AFCON matches
  5. Mali haven't lost in regular time in their last eight AFCON matches
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Our Mali vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Mali will have reason to come into this game as favorites. While they haven't shown much prowess as an attacking side, they’ve done the needed business satisfactorily. They carry an unbeaten run of 11 matches here, and they will be confident of their performance so far. The Ivorians come into this game with a lot of pressure on their shoulders. The failures at the group stages are still alive and this pressure could come costly. Another consideration to this game is that fatigue could be an issue for Ivory Coast after playing 120 minutes in their Round of 16 game before heading to penalties. Meanwhile, Mali did their business inside 90 minutes. Our prediction for Mali v Ivory Coast is for Mali to win.

Prediction :

 

Mali wins

 
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Mali vs Ivory Coast Alternative Predictions

Mali win to nil

Odds 5

Home support, and a little help from Morocco on Match Day 3 of the group stage, have been key to seeing Ivory Coast get here. However, one fact remains, they have been weak in attack. Their only goal in the last three matches came from the penalty spot, having lost twice without scoring at the group stage. We can’t overlook the fact that Mali’s strongest point thus far has been their defence. This is what they’ve been known for even in previous AFCON competitions. As we go for Mali to win here, we will be backing them to do so without conceding.

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Mali vs Ivory Coast - FAQs

The Mali v Ivory Coast match will be staged at the Stade de la Paix in Bouake

The Mali v Ivory Coast match will be played on Saturday 3rd February from 5pm GMT

Yves Bissouma remains a doubt for the Mali v Ivory Coast match after missing the last game.

The winner of the Mali v Ivory Coast encounter proceeds to the semifinals where they’ll meet either DR Congo or Guinea

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.