Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA 23 USA
Madison Keys
24/04/2026 05:00
WTA 62 China
Shuai Zhang

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 2-0

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Shuai Zhang will hope to roll back the years as she goes into another duel with Madison Keys, this time at the Madrid Open. The two are clashing for the ninth time, with Zhang having the edge at 5-3. Read on for our prediction of the match.

Keys has suffered eight defeats in the opening two rounds in her previous 11 appearances in Madrid. That, though, last happened in 2022, and she returns a stronger player, having graced the quarter-finals in the last two seasons.

This year she’s unbeaten in the first two rounds and has the chance to improve her Madrid record from the current 11-12. She’s coming off a loss to Yuliia Starodbtseva in the Charleston semis, leaving her 18th in the live rankings.

Zhang is having a tougher season and comes here on a poor run in Madrid as well. This marks her eighth appearance at this event, returning after her absence in 2025.

She will hope to go past the second round for the first time in Madrid, where she’s also on a losing record at 2-7. Her second win in this event came in the first round as she saw off Eva Lys in straight sets.

Age is also catching up with the Chinese athlete, who has this year made it past the second round just once in 11 tournaments. The 37-year-old has compiled a 9-11 run this season, leaving her 72nd in the live rank.

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Madison Keys v Shuai Zhang Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.21 4.48
Betwinner
1.18 4.88
Bet365
1.17 5
Roobet
1.18 4.4
BC Game
1.17 4.6
Check all Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang odds

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Who will win the Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang match is: exact score: 2-0.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang game on 24/04/2026 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Madison Keys has a 58.71% chance to win against Shuai Zhang according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.21.
  • Shuai Zhang has a 41.29% probability of winning facing Madison Keys ⭐ with odds of 5 at Bet365.

Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Madison Keys has a 58.71 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Madison Keys58.71 %
Shuai Zhang41.29 %

Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang Form

Madison Keys and Shuai Zhang Last Matches

Madison Keys Last matches
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

4 Apr 2026 - WTA Charleston Open

Madison Keys
0 :  2
Yuliia Starodubtseva

3 Apr 2026 - WTA Charleston Open

Madison Keys
2 :  1
Belinda Bencic

2 Apr 2026 - WTA Charleston Open

Madison Keys
2 :  0
Anna Bondar

1 Apr 2026 - WTA Charleston Open

Madison Keys
2 :  0
Donna Vekić

22 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  1
Madison Keys

21 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami

Elena-Gabriela Ruse
0 :  2
Madison Keys
Shuai Zhang Last matches
L L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

22 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Shuai Zhang
2 :  0
Eva Lys

15 Apr 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Shuai Zhang
1 :  2
Linda Noskova

8 Apr 2026 - WTA Linz

Anastasia Potapova
2 :  0
Shuai Zhang

31 Mar 2026 - WTA Charleston Open

Shuai Zhang
0 :  2
Yuliia Starodubtseva

17 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami

Shuai Zhang
0 :  2
Sorana Cirstea

5 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells

Dayana Yastremska
2 :  0
Shuai Zhang

Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Madison Keys

0 %

Shuai Zhang

100 %

4 Aug 2021 - Stanford, USA

Shuai Zhang
2 :  0
Madison Keys
Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang Prediction

Madison Keys - Shuai Zhang Key Points

  1. Keys has 11 wins in her 17 matches so far this year.
  2. Keys has a 6-0 record in the second round this season.
  3. Zhang has only managed two wins in nine matches in Madrid.
  4. Zhang has a 24-79 record against top 20 players in her career.
  5. Zhang has played in 11 events this year but went past the second round once.
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Our Madison Keys vs Shuai Zhang Prediction

Our prediction for Madison Keys v Shuai Zhang is for the exact score: 2-0. Zhang has a poor record in Madrid, and her poor run so far this season will not be very helpful. In four of her latest six defeats, she failed to win a set.

She also lost in her last meeting with Madison Keys, and her years of dominance in this matchup are long gone. A younger Keys will test her, and the American, having posted straight sets in five of her six wins, will be a clear favorite here.

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 2-0

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.