Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Matchday 7 in the A-League kicks off at Campbelltown Sports Stadium with Macarthur playing host to Melbourne Victory. The Bulls are in ninth place, while the Big V are bottom of the league standings after six games. Let’s get into the match prediction!
Macarthur have been enjoying an impressive run of results in the AFC Champions League 2, but it’s been a different story in the A-League, as they’ve only taken seven points from six matches.
The Bulls conceded their third league loss of the campaign last weekend against Perth Glory 2-0. They only produced just 0.54 xG in that match and created only two big chances.
That loss to Perth was the first that the hosts conceded at home this season. They have not beaten their upcoming opponents in their last four encounters at this venue (D1 L3).
Meanwhile, alarm bells are now well and truly ringing for Melbourne Victory after they dropped to the bottom of the A-League standings following a 1-0 defeat to Brisbane Roar last weekend.
The Big V are now on a three-match losing streak and failed to score in any of those defeats. With just four goals to date, they are the joint lowest-scoring team in the division.
The visitors’ only victory this season came in one of their four away games, but they conceded nine goals in total across the remaining three.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Macarthur FC v Melbourne Victory Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.45 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.56 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.56 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.7 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.55 | 2.52 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Macarthur FC and Melbourne Victory?
Our prediction for the Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory match is: less than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/12/2025 between Macarthur FC and Melbourne Victory in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.42% for a win of Macarthur FC against Melbourne Victory with odds of 2.62 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory is 13.58% with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 24% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur FC with odds of 2.67 at 888Starz.
Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:
| Macarthur FC Melbourne Victory Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Macarthur FC wins | 62.42% | 2.62 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.62% | 1.83 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Macarthur FC | 23.67% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory Form
Macarthur FC and Melbourne Victory's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
|
7
|
34 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -7 |
Macarthur FC and Melbourne Victory Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - A-League
27 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
6 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - A-League
27 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
6 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
27 Oct 2025 - A-League
2 Oct 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
23 Oct 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
17 Oct 2025 - A-League
18 Sept 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
24 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
31 May 2025 - A-League
Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Apr 2025 - A-League
3 Nov 2024 - A-League
29 Sept 2024 - FFA Cup
10 Feb 2024 - A-League
Macarthur FC against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Robinson
DefenderW. Scott
MidfielderK. Popovic
B. Oliveira
F. Deli
H. Sawyer
J. Dong Won
J. Warshawsky
DefenderJ. Rawlins
A. Traore
MidfielderO. Dragicevic
M. Grimaldi
N. Velupillay
N. Vergos
Most goals and assists
Macarthur FC
Melbourne Victory
H. Sawyer
(6 Goals)
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
C. Talbot
(6 Assists)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory Key Points
- Each of Macarthur’s last 10 matches across all competitions have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Melbourne Victory have failed to score in their last three league games.
- Five of Melbourne Victory’s six league games this season have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Fewer than four goals were scored in each of the last seven matches between these sides.
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Our Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
Macarthur have yet to find top gear in the A-League this season, and that is likely due to their participation in the AFC Champions League 2, where they currently lead their group with 10 points.
Given that they will travel to Beijing next week, rotation could be possible here and keeping a clean sheet could become the hosts’ priority. The visitors’ goal-scoring form has been very poor this season, suggesting that we could be in for a low-scoring affair. Our Macarthur vs Melbourne Victory prediction is less than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Macarthur FC Melbourne Victory
| Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macarthur FC wins | 2.54 | 2.62 | +3.1% |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.7 | +1.6% |
| Melbourne Victory wins | 2.59 | 2.67 | +3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Macarthur FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.4% and is now 38.2% (-1.2%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Macarthur FC vs. Melbourne Victory game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Macarthur FC and Melbourne Victory when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on A-League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
