Lyon vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Joseph King | in Ligue 1 Prediction
The Derby des Olympiques is set to kick off in the French Ligue 1 as struggling Lyon host seventh-place Marseille to close out matchday 20. It’s always an entertaining affair when these two teams take to the field and there is still plenty on the line for both clubs, even if they are competing at different ends of the table. For Lyon, they are battling against relegation as they currently sit 16th, placing them in the relegation playoff as things currently stand. Marseille, on the other hand, is fighting for European football as they trail a Conference League spot by just a single point.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lyon v Marseille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.4 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.77 | 3.25 | 2.57 |
|
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Who will win the Lyon vs Marseille Football match?
The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Lyon and Marseille of Ligue 1 on 2/4/24 :
- There is a probability of 29.23% ⭐ for Lyon to win this match against Marseille ⚽ with odds of 2.9 found at Bet365.
- Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.4 which implies a probability of 29.22%.
- Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Marseille to win the match are about 2.57 at NetBet. That means a probability of 41.55%.
Lyon - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lyon vs Marseille prediction | Win Probability | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon is favoured to win | 29.23 % | 2.9 |
| Draw | 29.22 % | 3.4 |
| Marseille wins the game | 41.55 % | 2.57 |
Lyon vs Marseille Form
Lyon and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
53 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | -6 |
|
8
|
50 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Lyon and Marseille Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
19 Jan 2024 - French Cup
14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Jan 2024 - French Cup
20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
15 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2024 - French Cup
12 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Jan 2024 - French Cup
20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
Lyon against Marseille : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
23 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
1 May 2022 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2021 - Ligue 1
Lyon - Marseille: Form Analysis
It’s been a season to forget for fans of Lyon as their team faces the serious threat of playing next season in Ligue 2 for the first time in over 30 years. Lyon’s most recent fixture saw them battle back from 3-0 down against Stade Rennes but ultimately come up one goal short in a 3-2 home loss. It was the second consecutive loss in the league for Les Gones, who prior had looked to be turning things around as they had rattled off three straight Ligue 1 wins. As things currently stand, Lyon trail 15th-place Metz on goal differential as they sit even on 16 points each. They should receive a boost returning to the Groupama Stadium where they have won two of their last three.
Marseille are also experiencing somewhat of a disappointing season after a second-place finish in 2021/22 and a third-place finish in 2022/23. In seventh-place currently, Les Phoeceens are four points off a Europa League spot and six points off a Champions League position. There’s plenty of time for Gennaro Gattuso’s squad to turn things around and secure European football, especially with their improved form in the last two months. Marseille earned a frustrating point in a 2-2 home draw with Monaco in their last appearance as they were unable to fully cash in on a man advantage for the majority of the game. It was the team’s third draw in a row in Ligue 1 but extended OM’s unbeaten league run to eight matches. Marseille are unbeaten on their home field but have struggled mightily to replicate the same type of form on the road.
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Lyon against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Lepenant
V. Rongier
B. Nadir
A. Harit
A. Ounahi
ForwardI. Sarr
Lyon & Marseille Squad Analysis
Lyon have splashed the cash in the January window in an attempt to salvage their season. Fans will be clamoring to see former West Ham winger Said Benrahma in action but it might be too soon for the Algerian after just recently linking up with his new teammates. Pierre Sage, Lyon’s third manager of the 2023/24 season, will be unable to call upon young midfielder Johann Lepenant as well as Mama Balde who is on international duty. The hosts will receive a boost at the back as defender Duje Caleta-Car returns from suspension.
Marseille boss and former Italian international Gennaro Gattuso is missing a number of players due to the African Cup of Nations including: Chancel Mbemba, Ismaila Sarr, Pape Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye. However, new signings Faris Moumbagna is expected to partner Aubameyang up top while another new signing in Ulisses Garcia is expected to take up the left wing back position. The only other absences for the visitors are Valentin Rongier and Amir Murillo who are both battling injuries.
Lyon - Marseille Key Points
- Lyon’s 33 goals conceded is the second most in the league.
- Both teams have scored in six of Lyon's 10 home Ligue 1 fixtures.
- Marseille have seen both teams find the net in six of their nine away league games (67%).
- The last three consecutive matches that Lyon have faced Marseille at the Groupama Stadium have finished with both teams scoring.
- Marseille have seen both teams score in their last five straight in Ligue 1.
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Our Lyon vs Marseille Prediction
Lyon vs Marseille - Other Interesting Predictions
Lyon to win the match
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Lyon vs Marseille match : Frequently asked questions
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