England - League One
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by Ian John in League One Predictions
Two teams that were relegated from the Championship last season meet at Kenilworth Road on Saturday lunchtime as Luton Town host Cardiff City in a key League One match. The Hatters and the Bluebirds have enjoyed good starts to the campaign and this means a keenly fought contest is expected on Saturday lunchtime. What is the market our prediction will back for this match between two of the early-season top six?
As mentioned previously, both these teams have started the season well. Luton have won three of their four league games played to collect nine points, which leaves them in sixth place in the table. Cardiff City have gone one better than that, claiming three wins and a draw from their four League One matches. The unbeaten Bluebirds sit second in the table behind Stevenage as a result.
Luton opened up the Football League season on the 1st August with a 1-0 home win over Wimbledon. A 2-0 win at Peterborough followed before they were beaten by Bradford City last weekend. However, they were back in action in midweek and earned a solid 1-0 home win over Wigan Athletic.
Cardiff City started the season with a 2-1 home win over Peterborough and then drew 0-0 away to Port Vale. They then faced Rotherham at home, winning 3-0 and in midweek travelled to AFC Wimbledon and came away with an impressive 1-0 win over the South London side.
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The Best Betting Odds for Luton Town v Cardiff Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Luton Town and Cardiff?
Our prediction for the Luton Town vs Cardiff match is: A Draw and Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2025 between Luton Town and Cardiff in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.15% for a win of Luton Town against Cardiff with odds of 2.18 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luton Town vs Cardiff is 25.26% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Cardiff vs Luton Town with odds of 3.5 at Betfred.
Luton Town - Cardiff Prediction and Best Odds:
| Luton Town Cardiff Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luton Town wins | 46.15% | 2.18 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 55.87% | 1.75 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Luton Town | 26.37% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Luton Town vs Cardiff Form
Luton Town and Cardiff's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
|
6
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Luton Town and Cardiff Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - League One
16 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - League One
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - League One
1 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - League One
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - League One
16 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
7 Aug 2025 - League One
2 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - League One
7 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
Luton Town vs Cardiff Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
31 Jan 2023 - Championship
Most goals and assists
Luton Town
Cardiff
J. Clark
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Andersen
(1 Goals)
,
G. Kodua
(1 Goals)
, 
G. Saville
(1 Goals)
R. Colwill
(3 Goals)
Luton Town - Cardiff Key Points
- Cardiff's two away games have seen just one goal scored by the Bluebirds and they are yet to concede.
- Luton Town's two home games have both finished in narrow 1-0 victories.
- Three of the last five games between the two teams have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Cardiff are unbeaten this season in league and cup. Luton are unbeaten at home.
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Our Luton Town vs Cardiff Prediction
Our prediction for the Luton Town vs. Cardiff City League One match is: A Draw and Under 2.5 Goals.
It is tough to find a simple trend in the data for this fixture. Cardiff are unbeaten all season, Luton unbeaten at home. The Welsh side have scored just one goal in two away games, without conceding. Luton have scored two goals in two home games without conceding. This strongly suggests a very close contest and a low-scoring one. As such, the draw and under 2.5 goals scored is a good value option.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Luton Town vs. Cardiff game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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