Lorient vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lorient have a manageable game to start off their 2026 in Ligue 1. The 12th-placed Lorient will be at home against bottom side Metz in their next game. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Lorient have been on a fine run, after wrapping up 2025 unbeaten in their last six matches. Three of those ended in wins, and that includes a 7-0 defeat of AS Le Gosier in their latest outing.
The hosts’ confidence will not just be drawn on their recent form but also head-to-head numbers. In the last three meetings between the two, Lorient are unbeaten, winning once and drawing the other two.
Metz did recover from their slump in Ligue 1 with a win in the French Cup to wrap up 2025 on a high. They beat Biesheim 3-0 to advance.
Now it gets to the hard part again, and they need to rise from a run of four straight losses in the league. Not much fault can be attached to their attack, with the team having only failed to score once in eight league games.
Metz’s best moment in the season came between October and November. It didn’t last long, only allowing them to win three straight games, and that’s all they have in the league this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lorient v Metz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.7 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.65 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lorient and Metz?
Our prediction for the Lorient vs Metz match is: Lorient wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between Lorient and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.56% for a win of Lorient against Metz with odds of 1.9 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lorient vs Metz is 27.45% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Lorient with odds of 4.52 at 888Starz.
Lorient - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lorient Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 54.56% | 1.9 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.63% | 1.93 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | 1.78 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lorient/Lorient | 29.05% | 2.88 at Bet365 |
Lorient vs Metz Form
Lorient and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
19 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -9 |
|
18
|
12 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -20 |
Lorient and Metz Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Lorient vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 2
21 Sept 2024 - Ligue 2
4 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
12 Dec 2021 - Ligue 1
Lorient against Metz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Faye
A. Kouassi
D. Yongwa
M. Talbi
I. Toure
MidfielderP. Katseris
A. Ebong
ForwardT. Aiyegun
P. Sy
MidfielderJ. Gbamin
ForwardJ. Mangondo
C. Sabaly
H. Diallo
Most goals and assists
Lorient
Metz
P. Pagis
(5 Goals)
G. Hein
(5 Goals)
G. Hein
(3 Assists)
Lorient - Metz Key Points
- Lorient have posted three wins in their last four matches.
- Lorient are unbeaten in their last six home games, winning three.
- In their last four league matches, Metz suffered straight defeats.
- Seven of Metz’s last nine away league games ended in defeat.
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Our Lorient vs Metz Prediction
Metz haven't won in this fixture in the last three meetings, and the chance that this will change are quite minimal. Their season has generally been poor, and they have dropped the ball since posting three straight wins in November.
Metz have played nine away league games and lost seven times. In this shape, they will struggle against Lorient in their current form. The hosts haven't lost in their last six games and are on three wins in four outings. Our prediction for Lorient v Metz is that Lorient wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lorient Metz
| Lorient vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 1.75 | 1.8 | +2.9% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.7 | +5.7% |
| Metz wins | 4.75 | 4.33 | -8.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lorient is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 55.6% (-1.6%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Lorient vs. Metz game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Lorient and Metz when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
