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Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 10 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
30/08/2025 11:00
ATP 26 Italy
Flavio Cobolli

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 sets

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions

Tenth seed Lorenzo Musetti will face off with compatriot and 24th seed Flavio Cobolli in the third round of the US Open. This is their first-ever meeting at tour level. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Lorenzo Musetti has been in strong form this week and has won both of his matches with just one set surrendered. The Italian fought from a set down to defeat Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the first round.

He was more comfortable in his follow-up tie, outmuscling David Goffin by the loss of just six games. Musetti, the world number 10, is a two-time Grand Slam semi-finalist, achieving his latest feat at this year’s French Open.

Flavio Cobolli is having yet another strong run at a major this year. The 23-year-old recorded his best-ever finish at a Slam when he made the quarter-finals at this year’s Wimbledon Championships.

Now, in his second appearance at Flushing Meadows, he has equalled his best performance here. It hasn’t come easily, though, with Cobolli being forced to win both of his matches via a decider.

He eliminated the qualifier Francesco Passaro in the first round and then crowned favourite Jenson Brooksby. Advancing to this round has nudged Cobolli up to 24th in the live ranking.


 

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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Musetti v Flavio Cobolli Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 3.2
William Hill
1.36 3.1
Betway
1.3 3.5
Ladbrokes
1.35 3.1
Unibet
1.33 3.3
Check all Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobolli odds
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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobolli Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobolli match is: over 3.5 sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobolli game on 30/08/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 57.59% chance to win against Flavio Cobolli according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 1.4.
  • Flavio Cobolli has a 42.41% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at Betway.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobolli Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 57.59 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Lorenzo Musetti57.59 %
Flavio Cobolli42.41 %

Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobolli Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Flavio Cobolli Last Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
David Goffin

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Benjamin Bonzi
2 :  1
Lorenzo Musetti

31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Alex Michelsen

29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
James Duckworth

22 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Lorenzo Musetti
Flavio Cobolli Last matches
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Jenson Brooksby
2 :  3
Flavio Cobolli

25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Francesco Passaro
2 :  3
Flavio Cobolli

9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Terence Atmane
2 :  1
Flavio Cobolli

3 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto

Flavio Cobolli
1 :  2
Ben Shelton

1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto

Flavio Cobolli
2 :  1
Fabian Marozsan

30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto

Flavio Cobolli
2 :  1
Alexis Galarneau
Compare Lorenzo Musetti and Flavio Cobolli with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Musetti - Flavio Cobolli Key Points

  1. Cobolli has surrendered four sets so far at the US Open.
  2. Musetti has won a set in each of his previous 13 fixtures.
  3. Nine of Musetti’s last 11 outings have seen him surrender at least one set.
  4. Both Musetti and Cobolli have won over 50 duels on hard courts in their careers.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Our prediction for Lorenzo Musetti v Flavio Cobolli is for over 3.5 sets. Cobolli has battled his way to this round and should arrive confident of causing an upset. The Italian has won both of his matches in five sets.

Though he might be jaded, he should be able to put up a strong fight against his favoured compatriot. Musetti is the favourite to progress as he is one of the top performers on the ATP. It is also worth noting that Cobolli and Musetti are strong hard-court performers. Seeing them exchange sets, therefore, is likely to be the order of the day.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 sets

 
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Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction
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